reports
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
BE Semiconductor Industries: Important TCB Next order. Belgian telcos: Telenet weak Q1 commercially across the board, financials reasonable. D'Ieteren: Belgian April car registrations down 5%, VW down 11%. GBL: NAV per share above estimates. Kinepolis: US Peer Cinemark 1Q25 results a slight miss. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 1Q25 very weak, cut guidance on EBITDA, revenue after 2 months
- David Vagman
- CFA
D'Ieteren/Defensive story, CMD to support a rerating/BUY
We think the solid 2H24 and 2025 operational guidance derisked the short term case despite the volatile macro. The 14 May CMD could help the stock to rerate, on new 2028 targets and new Belron CEO Carlos Brito presenting for the first time. We like Belron's resilience, with recessions seeing only mild drops in miles driven. We also like its self-help, price/mix and ADAS tailwinds and the large US cash market potential, even if USD depreciation is a risk (50% of sales). TVH and Auto have manageab...
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Oddo Sustainability Team
- Stephane Houri
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TEMN TEMENOS AG
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
ORA ORANGE SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
MF WENDEL SE
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
FAGR FAGRON SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
RWE RWE AG
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
BOL BOLLORE SA
ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ALVDM VOYAGEURS DU MONDE SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
SAE SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
FQT FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
NXFIL NX FILTRATION HLDG BV
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
DEME DEME GROUP NV
STM STABILUS SE
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Oddo Sustainability Team
- Stephane Houri
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TEMN TEMENOS AG
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
ORA ORANGE SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
MF WENDEL SE
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
FAGR FAGRON SA
VIRP VIRBAC SA
GEBN GEBERIT AG
RWE RWE AG
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
BOL BOLLORE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
AED AEDIFICA SA
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
KGX KION GROUP AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ALVDM VOYAGEURS DU MONDE SA
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
SAE SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
FQT FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
NXFIL NX FILTRATION HLDG BV
DEME DEME GROUP NV
STM STABILUS SE
- Usama Tariq
- Wim Gille
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
US Tariffs Navigating the impact on Benelux equities
Trumps reciprocal tariffs caused a massive blow to equity markets, following a pressured period of escalating trade wars. Retaliatory measures can further heavily damage market confidence, as seen Friday when China announced their 34% tarrif of US goods. International trade policies have never moved this erratic and untransparant, with uncertainty and volatility being the baseline for now. In this report we highlight the key stocks in our coverage relevant to this discussion.
EURN EURONAV NV
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
UCB UCB S.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
AGFB AGFA-GEVAERT NV
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
CSM CORBION NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
EXO EXOR N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
AUTL AUTOLUS THERAPEUTICS ADS
BAR BARCO NV
DEME DEME GROUP NV
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
SYENS SYENSQO
- Kristof Samoy
NX Filtration Medium-term target to break-even on EBITDA
Today NX Filtration is hosting an in person CMD at its Hengelo HQ which we are attending. At the event the company will present its strategy to drive growth and its new medium-term objectives. The FY25 guidance calling for revenues growing 50-70% was reconfirmed but no financial insight into recent contract wins or 1Q25 revenues was given. The medium-term targets call for an EBITDA break-even but a more precise timing is not shared and likely to be clarified at the event. We currently bank on EB...
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Vranken
- Ahmed Ben Salem
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
PUM PUMA SE
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
CCC CCC SA
SAE SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
BSGR B&S GROUP S.A.
NXFIL NX FILTRATION HLDG BV
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
OVH OVH GROUPE
SHEL SHELL PLC
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
LOUP SOCIETE L.D.C.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
PUM PUMA SE
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
CCC CCC SA
SAE SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
NXFIL NX FILTRATION HLDG BV
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
OVH OVH GROUPE
SHEL SHELL PLC
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
LOUP SOCIETE L.D.C.
- Usama Tariq
- Wim Gille
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update April 2025: Removing Gimv – Adding Adyen
In this April 2025 update of the KBC Securities' Dynamic Top Pick List, we are removing Gimv and adding Adyen. Since adding Gimv to the Dynamic Top Pick List in mid-December 2024, Gimv's performance has remained flat. However, month-to-date, it has increased by nearly 7%, while the indices have all declined. Given the backdrop of a tariff war brewing, we think it's time to remove Gimv from the Dynamic Top Pick List as medium-sized businesses are more likely to feel the pinch of lower demand and...
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Arcadis: Further in German rail. CVC Capital Partners: They beat, they score. D'Ieteren: US Belron peer Boyd 4Q24 a bit ahead, weak 2025 early outlook. Fastned: Preview FY24. IBA: 2H24 better REBIT, net cash but outlook on the low side. Proximus: Interim leadership announced. UCB: Peer Immunovant reports mixed results in gMG Zabka: Peer Jeronimo Martins FY24 results
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren Growth drivers remain intact
Following the publication of the FY24 results on Monday, we have slightly tweaked our estimates to the downside, partially driven by the depreciation of the USD and softer sales growth outlook at Belron. After applying a 20% discount to our new SOTP valuation of € 275ps (prev. € 281ps), we reiterate our Buy rating but lower our TP from € 225 to € 220ps.
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren FY24: good results, outlook slightly disappoints
D'Ieteren reported good FY24 results, with the adj. PBT (gs) up 9.6% and 12.7% at ccy and excluding the financing impact to € 1065m (kbcse: € 1018m, css: € 1006m). The better than expected performance was largely driven by Auto, while Belron performed broadly in line. However, the outlook slightly disappointed with the group banking on a slight increase in Adj. PBT (gs) from € 924m on a comparable basis (kbcse: € 995m, css: € 974m). On a reported basis, the adj. PBT (gs) is expected to decline f...
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
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