reports
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
APAML APERAM SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
CFEB COMPAGNIE D'ENTREPRISES CFE SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
INX IMCD N.V.
JDEP JDE PEET'S NV
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update November 2024 – Adding Azelis – Removing ...
With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SYENS SYENSQO
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Sharad Kumar S.P
Holdings Report - October 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -2.5% Du...
1M Performance - Absolute: During Oct'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -2.5% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-2.8%) while multi-asset holdings posted a slightly less negative return of -2.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+6.7%), D'Ieteren Group (+4.5%), and Solvac (+2.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Sofina (-11.4%), Gimv (-9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-6.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...
GBLB GROUPE BRUXELLES LAMBERT SA
HAL HAL TRUST
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
SOLV SOLVAC S.A.
GIMB GIMV NV
QFG QUEST FOR GROWTH
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
HEIO HEINEKEN HOLDING N.V.
KBCA KBC ANCORA SCA
TEXF TEXAF
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
EXO EXOR N.V.
ROCK WHITESTONE GROUP
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Adecco: 3Q24 miss; stabilising trends in 3Q24 and into 4Q24; accelerating cost savings. B&S Group: 3Q24 preview - liquor bottoming into 4Q24? Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Almost the real thing. D'Ieteren: Belgian October car registrations down 5.5%, VW down 11%. Kinepolis: Oct US/Canada box office at 59% of pre Covid level, France recovery to 78%. Recticel: 3Q24 compares well with Kingspan. Renewi: 1H25 preview - battling cost inflation with self help. Syensqo: Slight beat on 3Q...
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren Update on financing costs
This morning, D'Ieteren group provided an update on its financing costs after raising € 1.0bn in bank loans at the group level, hereby completing the final piece of the puzzle. In total, the refinancing will be a roughly € 30m headwind in FY24, mainly related to the additional charges at Belron (11 weeks impact), while the impact for the increased group debt & PHE refinancing will be marginal. D'Ieteren further mentioned that the charges are excluded from the mid-to-high single digit adj. PBT (...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: More bidders for ESURE UK ASR: Completion of KNAB sale, starting extra SBB D'Ieteren: Holding financing more costly, 2024 guidance (excluding financing) reassures Ebusco: Released from obligation to deliver 76 buses PostNL: 3Q24 below, FY24 outlook down, mail weak, parcels stronger; CEO steps down Sif Group: Preview - getting ready for 2025 Staffing: US temp volume weaker in October, Aug/Sep revised down, NFP jobs miss
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aalberts: 3Q24 preview - no signs of recovery expected. AB InBev: All to play for in the final quarter. Arcadis: A mixed bag. Ayvens: Struggling to get out of neutral. dsm-firmenich: Taking your vitamins is healthy. D'Ieteren: Belron equity at €23.5bn, EV €32.2bn in minority shareholder transaction. Euronext: 3Q24 and CMD Preview. Flow Traders: Bumper harvest. Heijmans: 3Q24 as expected, keeps FY outlook in place. Proximus: Key politician pushing for major governance shake up. ...
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
REC RECTICEL SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
VLK
ARCAD VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
AALB ARCADIS NV
ABI AALBERTS N.V.
ALD ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
SHEL ALD SA
FLOW SHELL PLC
DSFIR FLOW TRADERS LTD
KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren Shareholder transaction values Belron at EV of € 32.2bn
D'Ieteren announced that Atessa, the holding company of ex-CEO Gary Lubner, has signed a binding agreement to sell 1.4% of its stake in Belron to existing minority shareholders (CD&R, H&F, GIC & Blackrock). The transaction values Belron at an EV of € 32.2bn and equity value of € 23.5bn (post dividend recap). This compares to an EV of € 21.0bn and equity value of € 17.2bn in 2021, when CD&R sold part of its stake to Blackrock, H&F & GIC. Note that since the 2021 transaction, Belron also distribut...
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
D`ieteren Group: 1 director
A director at D`ieteren Group bought 400 shares at 193.130EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
- Sharad Kumar S.P
Holdings Report - September 2024 Exor Added To The KBC Securities Hold...
1M Performance - Absolute: During Sept'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -0.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (-1.2%) while single-asset holdings posted a positive return of 2.0%. The 3 top performers during the period were Sofina (+15.3%), Financière de Tubize (+8.4%), and Brederode (+7.2%) while the 3 worst performers were Exor (-4.4%), Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-5.5%), and D'Ieteren Group (-7.2%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (as o...
GBLB GROUPE BRUXELLES LAMBERT SA
HAL HAL TRUST
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
GIMB GIMV NV
QFG QUEST FOR GROWTH
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
HEIO HEINEKEN HOLDING N.V.
KBCA KBC ANCORA SCA
TEXF TEXAF
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
EXO EXOR N.V.
ROCK WHITESTONE GROUP
- Kristof Samoy
NX Filtration HF UF contract win in Saudi Arabia
This morning NXFIL announced a contract win for 800 modules of HF UF modules to Kindasa Water Services (KWS), a private potable water supplier in Saudi Arabia. The order relates to UF membranes and not the high(er) margin dNF membrane modules. We estimate linked revenue recognition in 2024 to be around €1.2m.
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: The Saga continues. ASM International: KKR reportedly interested in ASM PT. D'Ieteren: Belron €8.1bn debt financing at better rates than expected. Elia: Challenges ahead, CEO appointment necessary. Gimv: €150-250m bond issue by Gimv controlling anchor investor WorxInvest. PostNL: Preparation letter on future of Dutch mail market sent to Parliament. Vonovia: Good progress on disposals
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update October 2024 – Adding NN Group
We maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated expectations for interest rate cuts by central banks will finally come to pass. The election fever in the US is reaching boiling point and the conversations are becoming more polarised than before. Also corporate profit growth in Europe slows and the French elections have cast a negative spell. In Germany by-elections in the Eastern part showed a shift to extreme right and left that will make budget decisions even more ...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
FUR FUGRO NV
SYENS SYENSQO
- ING Helpdesk
- David Vagman
- CFA
- Francesca Ferragina
- Hans D’Haese
- Jason Kalamboussis
- Javier Campos Unda
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Maxime Stranart
- Quirijn Mulder
- Reg Watson
- CFA
- Stijn Demeester
- Thymen Rundberg
- Tijs Hollestelle
ING Benelux Favourites/ASM, ASR, D'Ieteren, EVS, Fugro, Randstad, SBM ...
We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We still apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks that provide the best (relative) upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Besides this, we screen our ING Benelux coverage universe on some key investment themes that are topical and which could affect earnings potential and thus a stock's share price performance: (1) interest rate/refinancing opportunity in a lower rates environment; (2)...
- David Vagman
- CFA
D'Ieteren/Digesting the deal, we see a nice entry point/BUY
The shares have underperformed >15% since the announcement of the family transaction and €4bn dividend, €74 per share. We think this is excessive. The shares imply that: (1) all shareholders price in the maximum 30% withholding tax despite a majority not paying it; and (2) the ‘remainco' discount is up from 30% to c.45%. Tax aside, post dividend, the ‘remainco' will trade at >50% discount. Post dividend, there is >70% upside to our new €196 target price, which factors in a 20% discount, up from ...
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