WDP's FY25 results were fully in line but the company surprised in already revealing its 2030 targets. We like such long-term visibility combined with very clear targets: €500m of yearly capex that can be auto-financed, delivering a +6% CAGR. WDP now has pan-European ambitions and aims to establish a presence in Italy and Spain. While the company has not delivered on its entrance into Germany, we think that opening itself to new countries is the right ambition to have at this stage. The plan loo...
After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...
Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed
Eurocommercial Properties: 19% stock dividend take up, refinancing completion and leasing update; Ontex: 2H25 consensus release; Signify: 4Q25 results; prepare for a reset; Staffing Sector: Manpower; 4Q25 beat on better revenue trends, 1Q26 outlook positive; WDP: 2030 ambitions revealed, Italy and Spain to come
WDP initiated “BLEND30” strategy with €2.00 EPRA EPS by FY30 at +6% growth yoy. Capex is mainly internally sourced and “gradual” entry in Spain and Italy. FY25 EPRA EPS came in line with their €1.53 guidance and our expectation of €1.54. EPRA EPS yoy growth of 2.3% is still impressive due to the abolition of the Dutch FBI regime. WDP estimates its underlying EPS growth at 7%. Current development pipeline stands at 480k sqm of which 81% is pre-let with an expected NOI yield of 7.3%. The high pre...
We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...
Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Belgian Competition Authority approves the deal / AEGON: Sale of UK picking up early momentum / Allfunds Group PLC: Of Bourse they agreed / Ontex: Peer Essity 4Q25 results / Telecoms: Digital Networks Act take-aways / WDP: Catena to raise c.€255m via an ABB with WDP participating pro-rata for c.€26m
La stabilisation des taux d’intérêt et de l’inflation devrait créer un climat plus favorable à l’investissement et permettre aux sociétés immobilières de poursuivre la mise en œuvre de leur feuille de route tout en faisant preuve de prudence. Dans ce contexte, le commerce et la logistique nous semblent les mieux positionnés et nous privilégions CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW, VGP comme les plus à même d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance su...
With stabilising interest rates and inflation creating a more favourable climate for investment, the stocks in our coverage universe should be able to continue to implement their roadmaps, while remaining cautious. On this basis, we think retail and logistics are the best positioned, and see CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW and VGP as the best placed to execute their growth strategies. We are upgrading WDP, Safestore and Instone, to Outperform, downgrading Big Yellow, Colonial-SFL, INEA, L...
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