reports
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
ASR: Better results, strong solvency, SBB below though; new CEO, new CMD on 1 Dec / IMCD: Weak 4Q25 / Kinepolis: Bankruptcy of Belga Films, the oldest film distribution business, along with its eight-screen cinema complex in Brussels; 2H25 preview / Proximus: CpaaS peer Sinch 4Q25 results a bit light of consensus, stock down 14%
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
ING Benelux Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update
We update the performance of our ING Benelux Favourites list as well as all valuation and ranking tables for our coverage universe. Performance on the front page is dated from the 28 January 2026, while historical performance is included on the second page. The methodology for our favourites selection is based on a bottom-up approach with a focus on absolute performance with clear near-term triggers. It is a rolling list, ie, stocks can enter/exit whenever we think opportune. The ING Benelux Fav...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica: Results slightly better, guidance for the combined entity to come in Sept. CM.com: 4Q25 results – no turning point yet. D'Ieteren: Allstate reports bumper 4Q25, touts premium cuts, consensus prudent. Heijmans: Construction cool cat. Proximus: CPaaS peer Twilio 4Q25 results better than expected. Talabat: 4Q25 results, doubling down on investments. Theon International: Preview – a busy year it was.
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Company comments AB InBev: Little to disappoint Adyen: 2H25 results – mixed results, soft guidance CVC Capital Partners: Executing well dsm-firmenich: Messy results Fagron: Beat on all lines, confident FY26 outlook to drive c.5% consensus EBITDA upgrade Flow Traders: EMEA saves the day KBC: Good results, opening up “jaws” further to 2028 Kinepolis: Canadian peer Cineplex 4Q25 results below consensus, January 2026 box office revenue up MICC: FX headwind leads to a 50bp margin miss in FY25 Montea:...
ULVR UNILEVER PLC
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
FAGR FAGRON SA
MONT MONTEA SCA
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
ADYEN ADYEN NV
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
- Felix Fischer
- Filipe Botelho
- Haidje Rustau
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
ArcelorMittal: Modest 4Q25 EBITDA beat and upbeat 2026F outlook / KBC Group: BNP Paribas good results in Belgium, increasing outlook, notably reducing C/I ratio / Recticel: Peer Rockwool's 4Q25 results SBM Offshore: Early purchase of ONE Guyana FPSO by Exxon Mobil / Shell: Keeping SBB at $3.5bn / Sligro: FY25 net profit in line with expectations, SBB announced / Universal Music Group: YouTube ads revenue +9% YoY in 4Q25 and Sony Music up by 13% YoY / Wereldhave: Wereldhave Belgium FY25 results a...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB
After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ROYAL VOPAK NV
AED AEDIFICA SA
CSM CORBION NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
DEME DEME GROUP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- David Vagman
- CFA
Kinepolis/Moment of truth in 2026, M&A case gets real/BUY
The stock underperforms 56% since end-2024, 15% YTD, as the long-awaited attendance recovery failed to materialise and a convincing mid-size M&A deal could not turn the tide yet. The stock has derated to 7x EV/EBITDAL 26F, close to our €20 bear case, investors becoming sceptical on the long-term story, while studios consolidation (Netflix/Warner Bros) fuels fears of dangerous structural changes at play. We acknowledge them but also see the upsides, among others, self-help and converting Netflix ...
- David Vagman
- CFA
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Francesca Ferragina
- Jason Kalamboussis
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Maxime Stranart
- Michiel Vereycken
- Quirijn Mulder
- Reg Watson
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
- Tijs Hollestelle
ING Benelux Favourites/Aedifica, Ageas, ASM International, Basic-Fit, ...
We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...
Publication of a transparency notification
Publication of a transparency notification Kinepolis Group NVPress releaseRegulated information Publication of a transparency notification (Article 14, first paragraph, of the law of 2 May 2007 on disclosure of major holdings) 20 January 2026, 17h45 On 16 January 2026, Kinepolis Group NV has received a transparency notification from BNP Paribas Asset Management Holding, notifying that, following a transfer of securities with voting rights, the companies that are controlled by it own 2.98% of the voting rights attached to shares of Kinepolis Group NV, and therefore the threshold of 3% ha...
Publication relative à une notification de transparence
Publication relative à une notification de transparence Kinepolis Group SACommuniqué de presseInformation réglementée Publication relative à une notification de transparence (article 14, alinéa 1er de la loi du 2 mai 2007 relative à la publicité des participations importantes) 20 janvier 2026, 17h45 Le 16 janvier 2026, Kinepolis Group SA a reçu une notification de transparence de la part de BNP Paribas Asset Management Holding, dont il résulte que, suite à un transfert de titres conférant le droit de vote par les sociétés qu’elle contrôle, celles-ci possèdent au total 2,98% des droits d...
Openbaarmaking van een transparantiekennisgeving
Openbaarmaking van een transparantiekennisgeving Kinepolis GroupPersberichtGereglementeerde informatie Openbaarmaking van een transparantiekennisgeving (artikel 14, eerste lid, van de wet van 2 mei 2007 op de openbaarmaking van belangrijke deelnemingen) 20 januari 2026, 17u45 Op 16 januari 2026 heeft Kinepolis Group NV een kennisgeving ontvangen van BNP Paribas Asset Management Holding waaruit blijkt dat de door haar gecontroleerde ondernemingen, door een overdracht van stemrechtverlenende effecten, in totaal 2,98% van de stemrechten van Kinepolis Group NV bezitten en aldus de deelnemin...
- Maxime Stranart
- Stijn Demeester
Recticel/Acquisition of Miclar Group/BUY
We reiterate our BUY rating on Recticel and increase our target price from €12.0 to €13.5, following the acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group. We view this as a very appealing acquisition for Recticel with Miclar having a materially higher Adj. EBITDA margin than the group at 19.8%. Furthermore, we view the multiple paid at 4.4x EV/EBITDA 2024 as undemanding, which should lead to material value creation in the upcoming years. At €13.5, Recticel would trade at 10.9/9.2x EV/EBITDA 2026/27F, ...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
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