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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Results slightly better, guidance for the combined entity to come in Sept. CM.com: 4Q25 results – no turning point yet. D'Ieteren: Allstate reports bumper 4Q25, touts premium cuts, consensus prudent. Heijmans: Construction cool cat. Proximus: CPaaS peer Twilio 4Q25 results better than expected. Talabat: 4Q25 results, doubling down on investments. Theon International: Preview – a busy year it was.

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ADYEN NA, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, NEXTA BB...

: ABI BB, ADYEN NA, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, NEXTA BB, MONT BB, NN NA, ONTEX BB, SIP BB, WDP BB, NXFIL NA

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed

David Vagman ... (+16)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Jason Kalamboussis
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Michiel Vereycken
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

ING Benelux Favourites/Aedifica, Ageas, ASM International, Basic-Fit, ...

We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AGEAS: strong upgrade to FY25 earnings guidance (€1.3 to €1.6bn) due to one-off from China; ASM: The beat comes early; D'Ieteren: Possible Belron IPO by end 2026, Belron debt repricing; IBA: IBA to install three P1 systems at University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Hal Trust Target hit again, upgrading to €168 on revised private valua...

HAL has hit our price target for the second time since our Buy rating in Apr'25, marking a +30% rally. Following the Sept'25 company note, we have revised our model to reflect: the improved sentiment in the offshore energy sector supporting a higher valuation for core holding Boskalis, and (ii) selective adjustments to peer multiples for other private assets. This drives our target NAV per share to €225 (from €218 in Sept'25). We maintain a relatively wide 25% target discount (down from 30% in...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: PHE does nice mid-size M&A in Spain / Fastned: Beat on gross profit, organic growth lags, high cash burn / JDE Peet's: Caffè Americano / Semi equipment: TSMC puts capex where its mouth is / Theon International: Increasing Harder Digital's capacity.

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

D'Ieteren PHE enters into exclusive negotiations for two acquisitions ...

PHE has entered into exclusive negotiations to acquire a 51% stake in two AD Parts distributors in Spain, Polaris and Regueira. Polaris and Regueira are major players in light vehicle spare parts distribution in Madrid, Galicia, Castile-La Mancha, Castile and León, Cantabria, and Asturias. The two entities generated € 340m in sales in 2025. This compares to PHE's current 12 month trailing revenue of € 2.84bn. Although no financials have been disclosed, the transaction will allow PHE to leverage ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: Belgium December car registrations up 23.2%, VW up 8.7%. Universal Music Group: UMG acquires 30% Stake in India's Excel Entertainment for $267m. Vastned: CFO departure. Events Calendar.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: A welcome move to restart the €100m buyback.

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List How to start 2026?

How to start 2026? We have selected for the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List 12 large-cap companies — AB InBev, Aedifica, Argenx, ASMi, Azelis, DEME, D'Ieteren, Shurgard, Sofina, Vopak, WDP, and Wolters Kluwer — along with 3 small and mid-cap names (under €1.5bn in market capitalization): Corbion, EVS, and IBA. So, going into 2026, we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, featuring 8 cyclical and 6 defensive stocks, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have b...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CM.com: Bird goes directly after CM.com customers (again). D'Ieteren: Belgium November car registrations down 11.8%, VW down 24%

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