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Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List How to start 2026?

How to start 2026? We have selected for the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List 12 large-cap companies — AB InBev, Aedifica, Argenx, ASMi, Azelis, DEME, D'Ieteren, Shurgard, Sofina, Vopak, WDP, and Wolters Kluwer — along with 3 small and mid-cap names (under €1.5bn in market capitalization): Corbion, EVS, and IBA. So, going into 2026, we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, featuring 8 cyclical and 6 defensive stocks, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have b...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CM.com: Bird goes directly after CM.com customers (again). D'Ieteren: Belgium November car registrations down 11.8%, VW down 24%

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adecco: Introduces the agility advantage to grow, adapt and lead in the intelligent era. Belgian telcos: DAZN announces immediatele end for Belgian football broadcasting. CMB.TECH: Good 3Q thanks to its tankers. D'Ieteren: CFO buys more shares, State Farm seeks 6% California Auto Rate cut. Staffing: Belgium October Temp volume stable at -3.4% YoY despite tougher comps.

D`ieteren Group: 1 director

A director at D`ieteren Group bought 2,040 shares at 147.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 81/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: CMD targets at higher end, bold FTE cut to clinch 55% C/I ratio, lower CoRisk. D'Ieteren: Key Belron US glass supplier Fuyao connected to US labour allegations. Elia: Preview 3Q25 update; fine-tuning guidance to upper end of range?. NSI: KPN to leave Glass House, c.7.5% additional vacancy. SBM Offshore: Another step towards SEAP 1+2 FPSO awards. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase its US subscription prices in 1Q26

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: 3Q in line, UK weak, all eyes on CMD in December. DEME Group: Going into 2026 with a stable order book. D'Ieteren: North America Beron peer Boyd confirms positive l/l in 3Q25, further improvement in 4Q25. KBC: 3Q above, increase in FY25 guidance across the board, first SRT is sizeable. Ontex: Peer Essity acquires Edgewell's Feminine Care activity. SBM Offshore: Progression in markets and earnings. Zabka: CVC and PG sell 100m shares via ABB

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update November: Removing Xior; Adding Aedifica

The tariff war has eased, but with Trump, uncertainty has become a guarantee. While the macro-economic impact has been limited so far, the prolonged situation could still result in significant and long-lasting economic damage. We are maintaining a defensive stance in our Benelux Dynamic Top Pick List. The Federal Reserve (FED) has started its easing cycle, but the final amount of interest rate cuts is uncertain. The European Central Bank (ECB) has now largely completed its interest rate cutting ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Strong beat driven by one-offs Alfen: Bull bear fight continues bpost: 3Q25 results in line with INGF but miss vs consensus, FY25 outlook fine-tuned to top-end CM.com: Takeover offer from Bird Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Refreshing D'Ieteren: Belron peer Driven Brands 3Q25 talks of lower Q4, choppiness in Collision and Direct Repair Exor: Ferrari reassures with strong 3Q25, improved guidance KPN: Strategy update reassures, largely in line, with solid cash returns expec...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Appointment of Boris Cambon-Lalanne as group CFO. Belgian Telecoms: Price increase on most of the non-commercialised products and Scarlet trio. D'Ieteren: Belgian October car registrations down 7%, VW down 20%. Kendrion: Results preview; launching share buyback programme. Kinepolis: Acquires US movie theatre chain Emagine Entertainment for US$105m. Kinepolis: October box office in US/Canada and France attendance drop again. Ontex: Branded activity now fully divested. Philip...

David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

D'Ieteren/A leap of faith for 2H25, concerns for 2026/BUY

We cut our 2025-28F EPS by 4-5% and target price by 5% to €223 on weaker TVH, PHE and Belron as well as lower multiples, in particular at TVH. We still expect 13% FCFev CAGR 2025-28F and 14% EPS CAGR, on 7% EBIT CAGR. The stock has underperformed 17% since 1H25 and is flat YTD, trading at >40% discount, 11x P/E 2026F, 7% FCFev yield. We remain believers in the long-term story, self-help potential (Belron price/mix, cash/commercial markets, mobile static recalibration, TVH turnaround) but admit t...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: The interim is back. Arcadis: Slow return to organic growth, FCF disappoints. Ayvens: Keeping its promise. dsm-firmenich: Waiting for Godot. D'Ieteren: Boyd prelim 3Q25, $1.3bn M&A deal, NYSE listing, $780m capital increase. Flow Traders: Down but not out. Ontex: FY25F guidance confirmed despite a modestly softer 3Q25. Recticel: Weak 3Q25 but comforting outlook. Shell plc: Solid story with cash continuing to come in strongly. TKH Group: Preview - subsea remains in foc...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Preview - kitchen sinking again? CM.com: New CFO appointed. Cofinimmo: Good results a touch better than forecasts, guidance reconfirmed, DEME Group: Wins strategic position in Brazil. D'Ieteren: State Farm TPA contract details emerge. Signify: 3Q25 results – guidance cut. Xior Student Housing: 5.4% LFL growth and full occupancy – operational trends solid.

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Hal Trust Top tier investment firm with a fading appeal

HAL Trust, a prestige investment firm, has delivered over 100x returns to shareholders since 1977 with a small, talented team. Its portfolio stands out with maritime assets like Boskalis (33% of NAV), Vopak (14.3%), SBM Offshore (5%), and well-known names like Coolblue and Siltronic. Despite this, HAL's share price is down 20% from its peak in 2016 and the stock is trading at a 24% discount to book value. Apart from sluggish portfolio performance, we see four reasons for fading investor interes...

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