Schouw & Co. share buy-back programme, week 18 2024 On 4 March 2024, Schouw & Co. initiated a share buy-back programme as outlined in Company Announcement no. 13 of 1 March 2024. Under the programme, Schouw & Co. will acquire shares for up to DKK 200 million during the period 4 March 2024 to 31 December 2024. The buy-back will be structured in accordance with Regulation (EU) No. 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (MAR) and the Commission’s delegated regulation (EU) 2016/1052 of 8 March 2016 (“Safe Harbour” rules). Trading day No...
The Q1 results proved disappointing to buy-side expectations, though reasonably aligned and even bullish compared to near-term consensus. Their market commentary could raise expectations above the upper end of the potentially conservative guidance, but we struggle to see the intrinsic value when facing the bleak container markets for 2025–2026e. We reiterate our SELL and have cut our target price to DKK9,000 (9,600).
We expect strong unsecured collections in Q1, building on 10% higher unsecured ERC YOY, which should offset the gradual decline in the secured segment. Interest rates have started to flatten in recent months, which, together with bond refinancing at favourable terms, should ease earnings pressure. We have made limited 2025–2026e EPS changes, and reiterate our BUY and NOK10.5 target price.
Korrektion til selskabsmeddelelse nr. 25 af 30. april 2024 Schouw & Co. har i dag offentliggjort selskabets delårsrapport for 1. kvartal 2024. I særskilt selskabsmeddelelse forud for offentliggørelsen af delårsrapporten har selskabet meddelt de justerede forventninger til årets omsætning og EBITDA. Selskabet er blevet opmærksom på, at der i den engelske version af denne selskabsmeddelelse desværre er sket en tastefejl, idet den øvre del af omsætningsspændet fejlagtigt er noteret til 37,2 mia. kr. mod rettelig 37,3 mia. kr., som korrekt angivet i den danske version. Selskabet beklager fej...
Correction to company announcement no. 25 of 30 April 2024 Today, Schouw & Co. has published its interim report for the first quarter of 2024. In a separate company announcement prior to the release of the interim report, the company has announced the adjusted full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance. The company has been made aware of a typing error in the English version of this company announcement, as the upper part of the revenue range is incorrectly stated as DKK 37.2 billion instead of DKK 37.3 billion as correctly stated in the Danish version. The company regrets the error. Aktie...
Delårsrapport for 1. kvartal 2024 Schouw & Co. har tirsdag offentliggjort delårsrapport for 1. kvartal 2024; Koncernens omsætning i 1. kvartal 2024 blev som forventet reduceret, drevet af en kombination af lavere priser og lavere mængder. Det realiserede EBITDA blev derimod væsentligt forøget, med BioMar som den vigtigste bidragyder, ligesom cash flow fra drift blev forbedret. Hovedpunkter 7,9 mia. kr. i omsætning – en reduktion på 9%652 mio. kr. EBITDA – en vækst på 28%171 mio. kr. i pengestrøm fra drift – en forøgelse på 266 mio. kr.6,18 kr. i resultat pr. aktie – en ...
Interim report – first quarter of 2024 Tuesday, Schouw & Co. released its interim report for the first quarter of 2024; As expected, consolidated revenue for Q1 2024 was down on the year before, driven by a combination of lower prices and a drop in volume sales. EBITDA, on the other hand, increased strongly with BioMar as the main contributor, and cash flows from operations improved as well. Highlights DKK 7.9bn revenue – a reduction of 9%DKK 652m EBITDA – an increase of 28%DKK 171m cash flows from operations – an increase of DKK 266mDKK 6.18 earnings per share – an increas...
Interim report for the first quarter of 2024 containing inside information Schouw & Co. will today be releasing its interim report for the first quarter of 2024. The interim report contains inside information, as the guidance for full-year revenue and EBITDA differs from the guidance expressed in the company’s annual report for 2023 released on 1 March 2024. The Group lowers its guidance for FY 2024 consolidated revenue to the range of DKK 34.8-37.2 billion from previously DKK 35.3-37.8 billion. At the same time, the guidance for FY 2023 consolidated EBITDA is raised to the range o...
Schouw & Co. aktietilbagekøbsprogram, uge 17 2024 Den 4. marts 2024 iværksatte Schouw & Co. et aktietilbagekøbsprogram som beskrevet i selskabsmeddelelse nr. 13 af 1. marts 2024. I henhold til programmet vil Schouw & Co. i perioden fra 4. marts 2024 til 31. december 2024 købe egne aktier for et maksimalt beløb på 200 mio. kr. Aktietilbagekøbsprogrammet gennemføres i henhold til Europa-Parlamentets og Rådets forordning (EU) nr. 596/2014 af 16. april 2014 om markedsmisbrug (MAR) og Kommissionens delegerede forordning (EU) 2016/1052 af 8. marts 2016 ("Safe Harbour”-reglerne). Handels...
Schouw & Co. share buy-back programme, week 17 2024 On 4 March 2024, Schouw & Co. initiated a share buy-back programme as outlined in Company Announcement no. 13 of 1 March 2024. Under the programme, Schouw & Co. will acquire shares for up to DKK 200 million during the period 4 March 2024 to 31 December 2024. The buy-back will be structured in accordance with Regulation (EU) No. 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (MAR) and the Commission’s delegated regulation (EU) 2016/1052 of 8 March 2016 (“Safe Harbour” rules). Trading day No...
Our trip to South Korea and China revealed Chinese shipbuilders are seeking growth to take on Korea’s established yards who are facing constraints. An eagerness to add capacity is one of our takeaways, as well as a gloomy outlook for Chinese real estate, which in our view should inevitably weigh on dry bulk demand.
There is a substantial discrepancy between container liners’ reported and guided revenue for Q1, as the impacts of the Red Sea disruption and resurgent freight rates are revealed. Near-term consensus could be too low, but the 2025–2026 outlook is set to be much worse than the market believes. We reiterate our SELL, but have raised our target price to DKK9,600 (9,500).
Recycling reported disappointing Q1 adj. EBITA of NOK7m on lower revenues, which also hurt margins. Given the solid order intake – a bright spot in the report – we have only reduced our 2025–2026e EPS by 3–4%. We struggle to justify the 2024e P/E of 39x (similar to the ‘Magnificent 7’, with ~20% average annual growth rates) coupled with 2024e revenue growth of only ~3–4% and risk to 2025–2026e growth from potential delays in Poland and the UK’s DRS implementations. We reiterate our SELL and NOK9...
We expect Tomra to report a Q1 EBITA of NOK311m (results due at 7:00 CET on 26 April). We have reduced our 2024 EPS estimate by 3% on cuts in the Food segment while we have raised our 2026 by 6% from upwards revisions in the Recycling segment. We have raised our target price to NOK95 (75) while we reiterate our SELL as we struggle to justify its 2024e P/E of 33x (similar to that of the ‘Magnificent 7’ with ~20% annual growth rates) when seen in combination with Tomra’s 2024 revenues growth expec...
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