After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...
We raise our 2025F-26F estimates for Umicore on the back of higher precious and platinum group metals prices, with our estimates for the battery materials business broadly unchanged. We raise our target price from €10 to €19 per share, driven by higher estimates and peer multiples, yet maintain our HOLD recommendation. Umicore shares have rallied +85% over the last year, largely driven by the melt-up in metals prices, although its earnings power in 2026F is likely moderated by elevated hedging l...
A director at Umicore S.A. bought 1,000 shares at 18.460EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
The market environment now appears more favourable for small caps (solid growth prospects, consistent valuations) and the rebound seen in this asset class in 2025 could continue into 2026. After a stellar performance of 32.2% (+16.3 points vs MSCI Europe Smallcaps) from our ODDO BHF European Nextcap list in 2025, we are revising our H1 2026 Nextcap top pick list, which now includes: Comet, Corbion, Equasens, Jacquet Metals, Jost-Werke, PVA Tepla, Rosenbauer, Steyr Motors, Thermador Groupe and Wa...
L’environnement de marché semble à présent plus porteur pour les small caps (perspectives de croissance solides, valorisations cohérentes) et 2026 pourrait prolonger le rebond observé en 2025 sur cette classe d’actifs. Après une belle performance de 32.2% (+16.3 pt vs MSCI Europe Small Cap) en 2025 de notre liste ODDO BHF European Nextcap, nous revoyons notre liste de convictions Nextcap S1 2026 qui comprend désormais : Comet, Corbion, Equasens, Jacquet Metals, Jost-Werke, PVA Tepla, Rosenbauer,...
We hosted our 29th ODDO BHF Forum in Lyon on 8 and 9 January 2026. In total, 220 companies presented over the two days. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on Day 2, in addition to Day 1 feedback (Link to Day 1 feedback). Key positive companies were Corbion, DEME, Elia Group, Knorr Bremse, Sulzer, Séché Environnement, Fraport, Vallourec and TUI. More cautious companies were Arkema, Fastned, INWIT, Manitou, Roche Bobois, Téléperformance, and Colonial SFL. T...
We upgrade our forecasts for the coming years with our 2030E adjusted EBITDA estimate upped by c. 8%. Loosening EU standards on CO2 emission regulation for cars & vans provide some additional support to the Catalysts business, whilst we have kept our forecasts for Battery Materials unchanged as these were already below the company's CMD targets and upside to our numbers will have to come from new supply arrangements/partnerships. The very strong metal price environment will most likely allow Umi...
A director at TINC N.V bought 2,500 shares at 10.340EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showi...
Based on various press articles, it seems increasingly likely that the European Union is to abandon the earlier agreed ban on new combustion engine-based passenger cars by 2035, whilst new legislation would still require a significant reduction of tailpipe emissions. Any loosening of legislation would probably be good news for Umicore's Catalysts business, with European ICE Light duty Automotive Catalysts' revenue representing c. 28% of total ICE light duty Automotive Catalysts' revenue. We awai...
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