A director at Gek Terna S.A. bought 20,000 shares at 17.357EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 84/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
Turning the RES page; all eyes on concessions now… – GEK Terna is the largest infrastructure conglomerate in Greece, leader in both concessions and construction. Following a strategic pivot through the sale of its RES business, GEK is now well positioned to solidify its market dominance and enrich its concessions portfolio by capitalizing on the local infrastructure boom, as it utilizes the headroom for project acquisitions unlocked by the RES deal. Looking ahead, the recent acquisition of two m...
Turning the RES page; all eyes on concessions now… – GEK Terna is the largest infrastructure conglomerate in Greece, leader in both concessions and construction. Following a strategic pivot through the sale of its RES business, GEK is now well positioned to solidify its market dominance and enrich its concessions portfolio by capitalizing on the local infrastructure boom, as it utilizes the headroom for project acquisitions unlocked by the RES deal. Looking ahead, the recent acquisition of two m...
EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
HEADLINES: • Otokar: Romania selects Otokar for its giant military vehicle project POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: UKE has launched the 700/800MHz auction NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: 3Q24 bookings up 6% qoq POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: 3Q24 bookings down 7% qoq NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: takes over the Attiki Odos road concession, all eyes now on Egnatia POSITIVE • CEZ: has reportedly contracted an order for a 70MW PV plant POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: higher corporate tax rate approved by the government NEGATIVE •...
EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • GEK Terna: 1H24 EBITDA climbs 7%, to EUR 269m, as broadly expected NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H24 results in line, EGM approves share buyback plan NEUTRAL • LPP: key takeaways from the 2Q24 results call POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: appoints Marcin Zygmanowicz and dismisses Magdalena Zmitrowicz from the management board NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Solorz announces plans to dismiss his children from the company NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: signs new PLN 12.2m contract for “e...
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP on a protracted hold • NEPI Rockcastle: sells Promenada Novi Sad in Serbia for EUR 177m POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 1Q24-25 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 518m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 2Q24E NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: June sales growth at 11% yoy, below our expectations NEGATIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • Elm: announces resignation of CEO and new CEO appointment NEUTRAL • Greek...
EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...
HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): migration season starts now (stays BUY) • OMV: the company and its Partners have been awarded a second CO2 storage licence in Norway • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • Terna Energy: coverage discontinued • Short News (WPL, MTELEKOM)
HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): migration season starts now (stays BUY) • OMV: the company and its Partners have been awarded a second CO2 storage licence in Norway • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • Terna Energy: coverage discontinued • Short News (WPL, MTELEKOM)
On 20 June, GEK Terna announced the long-rumoured sale of 36.59%-owned Terna Energy (TENERGY) to Masdar, the United Arab Emirates green energy vehicle, at EUR 20.0/share. Following the deal, Masdar will launch a mandatory public offer to acquire the minorities, also at EUR 20.0/share, with the whole process expected to be concluded towards the year end. The deal implies an EV/EBITDA multiple of about 16x on our 2024E estimates, but leaving aside the crystallisation of value, the sale makes stron...
HEADLINES: • EME Strategy: Türkiye - inflation accounting - demystifying the enigma • Greek refiners: Finance Ministry to impose an unexpected windfall tax on refiners • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • LPP: the Prosecutor’s office has opened an investigation against Hindenburg Research • Uzbekistan macro: notes from our recent trip • Short news (MTELEKOM)
HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: awaiting a major boost in 3Q24E (upgraded to BUY) • CEZ: no counter-proposal from the State on the CZK 52/share dividend • GEK Terna: close of Attiki Odos deal delayed, rather as expected • Bank Pekao/PZU: press speculation that Luminor Bank is being offered to Polish financial institutions
EME Equity Market – May 2024 Turkish equities lead, in the mostly green month of May. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in LCU terms in May. The Turkish ISE30 index reported the strongest performance, adding 3.6% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Czech PX (+2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Hungarian BUX index and the Polish WIG20 remained broadly flat (+0.4% and +0.2% mom in EUR terms, respectively); although, in LCU terms,...
HEADLINES: • Brisa: FY24 headwinds from softer yoy domestic demand and rising input costs NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 1Q24 earnings expectedly solid, mainly on strength in RES NEUTRAL • Telecom Egypt: 1Q24 conference call takeaways • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: announces Board’s recommendation to increase capital by 10% through bonus issue NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: Faden Media signs three previously-awarded contracts POSITIVE
EME Equity Market – April 2023 Market performance – in the black across all geographies, except for Turkey. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.9% mom in USD in April. The Polish WIG20 Index saw the biggest gains (+11.5% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+7.8% mom in EUR terms) and the Greek ASE Index (+2.9% mom in EUR terms). More muted performances were witnessed in the Czech PX Index and Romanian BET Index, both adding 1.7% mom in EUR terms for th...
HEADLINES: • mBank: bottom-line miss due to costs, but opportunity to BUY NEGATIVE • Erste Bank: books strong 1Q23 results, ahead of expectations, tweaks up FY23E guidance POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: neutral 1Q23 results - profit reported, capital still needs time to recover NEUTRAL • Otokar: 1Q23 results - miss on EBITDA and net income levels NEGATIVE • Tekfen Holding: weak 1Q23 results, due to margin hit in chemicals and one-off tax charge NEGATIVE • Garanti: 1Q23 highlights - better than expe...
HEADLINES: • GEK Terna: buy now, get paid later (stays BUY) • Romania macro: NBR on a prolonged pause • European oil and gas Monthly: March 2023 • Inter Cars: Samar raises its Polish 2023E new passenger car registrations forecast to 435k NEUTRAL • DataWalk: key takeaways from an interview with the CEO NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 4Q22 earnings call NEUTRAL • LiveChat: key takeaways from the 4Q22-23 (CY 1Q23) earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2002 earnings call takeaways NEUTRA...
We have updated our estimates for GEK Terna Group and calculated the anticipated dividend stream of the parent company from its concession portfolio, renewables arm (Terna Energy) and power segment. The Group is involved in major infrastructure projects in Greece, with the latest addition being Egnatia Odos (where it is the preferred bidder), the largest motorway domestically, which should provide noteworthy dividends in the medium term, in our view. To value GEK Terna we use a sum-of-the-parts ...
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