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Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

GBL Capital Markets Day

Yesterday, GBL hosted its CMD which included some 2027E targets for the approximate allocations to different sub-portfolios – what stood out was that the weight of listed assets would reduce from 60.0%+ currently to approximately 50.0% while private assets (direct private + GBL capital) could reach a weight of 55.0% (upper-end) within GBL's portfolio. We think that a private asset weight of more than 50.0% would make GBL more attractive since its portfolio will be only one of the few ways to gai...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...

Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Couvreur

GBL 3Q24: NAV Up 3.6% To €118 & Capital Markets Day Today

As of 3Q-end, GBL's NAVps stood at €117.99, up 3.6% compared to 1H FY24 (€113.9). On a YTD basis, GBL's disposals of listed assets has helped crystallise capital gains of €1.1b (€630.0m during 9M'24 and €422.0m coming from forward sales that matured on 24th Oct'24). Notably, the stake in Adidas has been cut in half from 7.6% to 3.51%. GBL continues to have an attractive overall liquidity profile of €4.3b, which should be sufficient to seize an opportunities over the short to medium-term. We note...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB...

: AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB, TESB BB, ALFEN NA

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, AD NA, ATEB BB, FUR NA, IBAB BB, JEN BB, SOLB ...

: ABI BB, AD NA, ATEB BB, FUR NA, IBAB BB, JEN BB, SOLB BB, AZE BB, MAAT FP, CTPNV NA, DEME BB

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - October 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -2.5% Du...

1M Performance - Absolute: During Oct'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -2.5% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-2.8%) while multi-asset holdings  posted a slightly less negative return of -2.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+6.7%), D'Ieteren Group (+4.5%), and Solvac (+2.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Sofina (-11.4%), Gimv (-9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-6.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Good top line, portfolio stabilising, guidance marginally revised upward. Ageas: China Taiping Life 3Q Solvency remains strong. ASM: 3Q24 results – That's a relief - FY25 guide narrowed upwards. Belgian Telecoms: Peer Telenet 3Q24 results, still losing shares. Fugro: Focus on EBITDA and orderbook. GBL: Kicking off its trainers and cashing in €0.6bn. Colruyt: To operate 100 OKay City stores by 2032F. Heijmans: Preview - Progressing well. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 3Q24 show still weak pe...

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - September 2024 Exor Added To The KBC Securities Hold...

1M Performance - Absolute: During Sept'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -0.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (-1.2%) while single-asset holdings posted a positive return of 2.0%. The 3 top performers during the period were Sofina (+15.3%), Financière de Tubize (+8.4%), and Brederode (+7.2%) while the 3 worst performers were Exor (-4.4%), Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-5.5%), and D'Ieteren Group (-7.2%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (as o...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Lewi
Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - August 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Up 0.5% Thanks To...

1M Performance - Absolute: During July'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of 0.5% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+1.7%) while single-asset holdings posted a negative return of -1.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were HAL Trust (+5.1%), Texaf (+2.9%), and The Infrastructure Company (TINC, +9.6%) while the 3 worst performers were Brederode (-2.8%), Solvac (-5.3%), and Whitestone Group (-7.2%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (as of A...

MarketLine Department
  • MarketLine Department

EXOR S.p.A. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances

Summary Marketline's EXOR S.p.A. Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by EXOR S.p.A. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments reports off...

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Model update – lowering estimates and lowering TP

We have lowered our adjusted EBITDA forecasts for FY24-26 by 8% following the FY24 guidance reduction from a flat result to a 5-10% drop. Whilst business conditions in a number of end markets are clearly challenging, Tessenderlo is still generating sizeable FCF (close to €100m in 1H). Starting from a very solid balance sheet, capital allocation is a crucial theme in the equity story. We view share buybacks as an excellent way to create shareholder value and welcome the awaited simplification of ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: 1H small beat, KNAB add-on to Solvency 2 higher. Avantium: Down to the wire. Flow Traders: Pump up the volume. Greenyard: 1Q24/25 preview. Kendrion: Navigating difficult end markets. Montea: Solid results with no surprises, guidance reiterated. NEPI Rockcastle: Guidance raised, M&A opportunities on the radar. Tessenderlo: 1H24 Adj. EBITDA miss of 5%, lower FY guidance

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: 1H adj. EBITDA -26.5%, FY guidance lowered

1H adj EBITDA dropped by 26.5% and was 1% better than our forecast although 5% below consensus. FY adj EBITDA guidance has been lowered from a flat result to a 5-10% drop whilst we and consensus were banking on +2%. Whilst business conditions in a number of end markets are clearly challenging, Tessenderlo is still generating sizeable FCF (close to €100m in 1H). Starting from a very solid balance sheet, capital allocation is a crucial theme in the equity story. We view share buybacks as an excell...

Thomas Couvreur ... (+4)
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
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