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Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Lewi
Nadège Tillier
  • Nadège Tillier

Elia/Holding tight

The Elia Group's results for the first six months of 2024 showed some growth and management upgraded its bottom-line guidance for year-end 2024. The group's capital expenditure reached €1,736m and should total €4,700m by the end of the year. A substantial part of the investments requires new financial debt and mitigating measures, such as additional capital increases. We expect new bond issuance on the € market to be regular in order to finance capex and redemptions. Elia issues bonds at three e...

Nadège Tillier
  • Nadège Tillier

Eurogrid/Fairly valued

Part of the Elia Group, Eurogrid is one of the electricity transmission utilities in Germany. We look back at the company's 1H24 results published earlier during the summer. 1H24 financials saw some cash flow generation expansion but also a swelling debt. With capital expenditure of €1.3bn in the first six months of 2024, the utility expects to spend a total of €3.3bn in investments by the end of the year. At LTM 1H24, capex represented 332% of EBITDA, reflecting the gap between cash flow genera...

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Elia Group : Time is right to look at upside potential again

Elia Group is on track with its large capex (€ 4.7bn) and funding roll-out for 2024, making it also lift in its earnings outlook for the year. Having underperformed the general equity market year-to-date by around 23%, the time in our view now is right to start looking again at the Elia Group share. Assuming that (1) the new CEO will be presented before end of 24Q3, (2) an updated larger capex plan in 24Q4, and (3) the long awaited equity raise to be government supported in 25H1...

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ACKB BB, BEKB BB, COFB BB, ELI BB, ENX FP, FLOW NA, PR...

: ACKB BB, BEKB BB, COFB BB, ELI BB, ENX FP, FLOW NA, PROX BB, QFG BB, UMI BB, WDP BB, XFAB FP

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Elia Group Results 1H24 review, inline despite headwinds

The 1H24 results came in line with our estimates. The slight increase of the outlook range came against a background of headwinds in the form of some destructive storms. Ironically, Elia is part of the solution to fight climate change. In the conference call, the CEO stressed the need to connect more offshore wind energy and increase cross-border interconnectors. A new CEO will be announced after the summer. Despite the heavily backloaded Capex spend, Elia is confident it can access debt markets...

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Elia Group : H1 better than expected thanks to UK interconnector

>Nemo Link key factor in guidance uptick by c. 4% - Elia Group just published its 24H1 results: Revenues in 24H1 were up 1.3% y-o-y to € 1,914m, well below consensus of € 2,178m, and with core revenues (excl. Settlements and Other) in Belgium down 6% to € 610m, in Germany down 17% to € 1,194m, and in Non Regulated up 34% to € 35.4m.EBITDA in 24H1 was up 12% y-o-y to € 678.1m (no consensus), with Belgium up 14% to € 282.5m, Germany up 6.6% to € 376.0m, and No...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, AKZA NA, ASM NA, ELI BB, ONTEX BB, SOF BB, SOL...

: ABI BB, AKZA NA, ASM NA, ELI BB, ONTEX BB, SOF BB, SOLB BB

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Elia Group 1H24 Results, FY24 Net profit outlook increases

Elia Group reported 1H24 Net profit to shareholders of EUR 180.6m vs. our 180.0m expected and 1H24 EPS of 2.47 vs. our estimate of 2.49 (CSS 2.41). The FY24 net profit (Elia Share) outlook range increased from 335-385m to 355-395m vs our expectation of 355m. The BE net profit expectation is revised down slightly (-5m on midpoint) due to an expected OLO (10yr bond) of 3.0% vs. 3.2%. The GE net profit outlook benefits from an expected base rate of 2.79%. We have 2.40% in our model (Bund now at 2....

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASM: 2Q24 results; Beat and raise. DWS: Swimming against the tide. Elia: Okay 1H24 results, outlook raised KPN: 1% EBITDAal beat on €10-15m asset sale, guidance reiterated, includes asset sale. Melexis: Preview 2Q24; focus on the cycle. Sofina: 1H24 NAV underperforms the markets, but hopeful message of improved momentum in sourcing growth. Universal Music Group: Spotify 2Q24 and guidance beat on margins; YouTube ad revenues disappoint. Wereldhave: Analyst call highlights. Events Calendar

Maissa Keskes ... (+3)
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 07/18/2024

The French equity market will only be able to erase the discount (50bp increase in risk premium) triggered by the dissolution of the National Assembly once the budget has been approved next autumn. In the meantime, a technocratic government or an Ensemble + LR government could provide some slight respite, but other options (partial alliance of the NFP with Ensemble) are also possible, and less favourable for French equities. The parliamentary session that opens today could clarify the...

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Elia Group : We assume re-confirmation of full year outlook

>H1 results will be published on 24 July - Elia Group will present its 24H1 results on Wednesday 24 July at 7.00h CET. An analyst call will start at 10.00h hosted by interim-CEO Catherine Vandenborre and interim-CFO CFO Marco Nix.Earnings Outlook 2024. In its 24Q1 trading update, Elia Group reiterated its financial outlook:Elia Group anticipates a net profit Elia Group share of between € 335-385m, pointing towards an Adjusted RoE between 7-8%.In Belgium...

Emmanuel Matot ... (+5)
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Jeremy Garnier
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 06/24/2024

Dutch real estate companies showed signs of cautious optimism at the recent Provada conference, with logistics and retail favoured. Healthcare shows some positive signs, with limited devaluations. The Dutch government's potential reduction of the Real Estate Transfer Tax and new REIT regime could benefit listed real estate companies active in the country. - ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+6)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Jeremy Garnier
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 24/06/2024

Dutch real estate companies showed signs of cautious optimism at the recent Provada conference, with logistics and retail favoured. Healthcare shows some positive signs, with limited devaluations. The Dutch government's potential reduction of the Real Estate Transfer Tax and new REIT regime could benefit listed real estate companies active in the country. - ...

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Elia Group : EGM approval for equity raise

>But reiterates: no equity raise in 2024 - On Friday 21 June, Elia Group held an EGM (Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders) to validate an amendment in the articles of association related to the authorised capital. Because at the initial EGM on 21 May a quorum was reached of 71.39% and 71.29% respectively, not enough for approval, on Friday a second EGM took place to reach the final approval.Amendment company’s object: now also allowed to invest in othe...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/29/2024

European economic and environmental policies are unlikely to be significantly disrupted by the elections on 6-9 June. However, the EU has its back to the wall on crucial questions: defence, technological sovereignty, the ecological transition, energy autonomy, the automotive industry, banking and airline industry consolidation. This report gives a recap on the previous mandate and discusses the main challenges for the next mandate for the sectors and stocks most affected by the EU. - ...

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