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Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Deceuninck FIRST LOOK: Taking full ownership of alu JV increases strat...

Taking full ownership of the aluminum profiles JV So Easy – Decalu is a fairly small transaction but gives Deceuninck the strategic flexibility to further grow its presence in aluminum next to the legacy PVC window profiles business. We remind that Deceuninck recently reported a flat FY24 adj. EBITDA whilst market conditions for FY25 are expected to remain challenging. While acknowledging the cyclical character of Deceuninck, we expect support from the EU Green Deal in the coming years while als...

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Maxime Stranart ... (+2)
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Stijn Demeester

Deceuninck/Postview FY24 results/HOLD

We reiterate our HOLD as we remain concerned by: (1) the group's high exposure to emerging markets, with >50% of group Adj. EBITDA generated by the ‘Turkey & Emerging Markets' division, in a highly cyclical industry; and (2) the significant impact raw material prices can have on profitability. We see downside risk to the Turkey & EM division margins after two abnormally high years driven by continued weakening of the Turkish lira, in our view. This materially boosted profitability in emerging ma...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: Cash is King. Adecco: 4Q24 result beats by 6%, stabilising trends in 4Q24, balance sheet relief. ASM International: 1H25 guidance slightly better but orders missed in 4Q24. Colruyt: Expects to open OKay stores on Sundays. Deceuninck: Soft FY24 results due to Turkey. DEME Group: Strong FCF. JDE Peet's: Mean green beans. Kinepolis: Peer AMC 4Q24 results. NEPI Rockcastle: Strong performance at all levels. Wolters Kluwer: FY24 results; in line, new CEO in 2026

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ABN NA, AED BB, ASM NA, DECB BB, IBAB BB, VPK ...

: ABI BB, ABN NA, AED BB, ASM NA, DECB BB, IBAB BB, VPK NA, WKL NA, AZE BB, DEME BB, JDEP NA

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Deceuninck FIRST LOOK: Flat FY24 adjusted EBITDA, nice debt reduction ...

Deceuninck reported a flat FY24 adj. EBITDA which was slightly below our and consensus forecasts, whilst outperforming on FCF generation with net debt nicely reduced after a 1H24 pick up on working capital reduction. Market conditions are expected to remain challenging, whilst we expect Deceuninck to see additional support from the recent German restructuring. While acknowledging the cyclical character of Deceuninck, we expect support from the EU Green Deal in the coming years while also Recycli...

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste

Local Champions Midcap Conference Book 12.12.2024

This conference book is your guide to our annual Local Champions Mid Cap Conference set to take place on Thursday, 12 December 2024 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or attend small group sessions with the top management and/or IR of the following companies: BARCO | BEKAERT | DECEUNINCK | EKOPAK | EVS | GREENYARD | IBA | JENSEN | ONTEX | RECTICEL | VAN DE VELDE | WHAT'S COOKING? | XFAB

Maxime Stranart ... (+2)
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Stijn Demeester

Deceuninck/1H24 encouraging, Turkey still uncertain/HOLD

We reiterate our HOLD as we remain concerned by: (1) the group's high exposure to emerging markets, with more than 50% of group Adjusted EBITDA generated in Turkey, in a highly cyclical industry; and (2) the significant impact raw material prices can have on profitability. We note some positives - with the Turkish division proving much more resilient this year than we had anticipated. We see limited room for upside - at c.9x normalised PER 2024F vs. Fenestration peers at 10x and no clear catalys...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Deceuninck Looking out of the window – model update

After a solid 1H operating performance, supported by margin growth in Europe on the back of improving cost discipline and lower energy costs, we raise our adjusted EBITDA forecasts for the FY24-FY26 period by between 4 and 7%. A fairly low capacity utilization in the key European market means limited capex is needed over the next few years and as such we expect Deceuninck to generate sizeable FCF in the coming years, which will allow the company to become net cash in the course of 2027. While ac...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: a story of core vs non-core. Alfen: Arranges 3Q waiver ahead of 4Q strategic update and restructuring plan. Deceuninck: Strong beat on EBITDA, driven by Turkey. Kinepolis: EBITDAL miss on operating leverage, cash flow in line. Van Lanschot Kempen: Strong 1H24 results

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Deceuninck FIRST LOOK: 1H adj EBITDA +10%, beating expectations –upgra...

Deceuninck reported better than expected 1H adj EBITDA, up c 10% y/y and 20% above our forecast and 22% above consensus. Net result came in below expectations on higher financial and tax charges. Market conditions are expected to remain difficult, whilst the focus will remain on operational excellence and cost optimization, with the German restructuring plan in execution. While acknowledging the cyclical character of Deceuninck, we expect support from the EU Green Deal in the coming years while ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Deceuninck: New CEO appointed. Flow Traders: Fined for naked shorts. KPN: New TowerCo with Dutch pension fund ABP. Umicore: ACC delays gigafactory plans in an apparent shift to LFP

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste
Kris Kippers
  • Kris Kippers

Deceuninck - Hiring a very seasoned CEO

•    Deceuninck's new CEO Stefaan Haspeslagh is well known and experienced•    The news takes away uncertainty around succession and is clearly positive•    We updated our estimates and tweak our TP to EUR 4.1 – BUY reiterated

Deceuninck NV: 1 director

A director at Deceuninck NV sold 500,000 shares at 2.500EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...

Maxime Stranart ... (+2)
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Stijn Demeester

Deceuninck/Model update post-FY23/HOLD

We reiterate our HOLD as we remain concerned by (1) the group's high exposure to emerging markets, with >50% of group Adj. EBITDA generated in Turkey, in a highly cyclical industry and (2) the significant impact raw materials can have on profitability. We however note some positives – with the Turkish division proving much more resilient than we had anticipated this year. We see limited room for upside at c.7x normalised PER 2025F; with Deceuninck trading in line with only listed peer Eurocell, ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: FY23 - DPS +8%, S2 ratio 217%, strong Asia even with FX headwinds. ASM International: 4Q23 results, weak start to 2024. Deceuninck: Turkey continues to surprise positively. DEME Group: Handsome set of FY23 results. Fugro: Double digit growth expected. Just Eat Takeaway.com: FY23 results, supportive EBITDA guidance. Kendrion: Balance sheet risk reduced UCB: Material beat to consensus in 2H23, 2024 outlook in line with consensus

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