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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: Miss but strong capital, good set of results / Ahold Delhaize: Strong 4Q25 but no major surprise on FY26 adj. EPS guidance / Alfen: No recovery yet and another transitional year / BAM Group: Preview: 2026 outlook the key item / Econocom: Better REBITA, net debt, but EBIT below, much lower net profit, dividend halved, 2026-28 guidance postponed to “medium term” / Exor: Ferrari 4Q25 and 2026 guidance beat / Gecina: Results and guidance in line, DPS set to grow over 2026-30 / Heineken: No...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ArcelorMittal: Modest 4Q25 EBITDA beat and upbeat 2026F outlook / KBC Group: BNP Paribas good results in Belgium, increasing outlook, notably reducing C/I ratio / Recticel: Peer Rockwool's 4Q25 results SBM Offshore: Early purchase of ONE Guyana FPSO by Exxon Mobil / Shell: Keeping SBB at $3.5bn / Sligro: FY25 net profit in line with expectations, SBB announced / Universal Music Group: YouTube ads revenue +9% YoY in 4Q25 and Sony Music up by 13% YoY / Wereldhave: Wereldhave Belgium FY25 results a...

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Maxime Stranart ... (+2)
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Stijn Demeester

Recticel/Acquisition of Miclar Group/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating on Recticel and increase our target price from €12.0 to €13.5, following the acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group. We view this as a very appealing acquisition for Recticel with Miclar having a materially higher Adj. EBITDA margin than the group at 19.8%. Furthermore, we view the multiple paid at 4.4x EV/EBITDA 2024 as undemanding, which should lead to material value creation in the upcoming years. At €13.5, Recticel would trade at 10.9/9.2x EV/EBITDA 2026/27F, ...

Francesca Ferragina ... (+2)
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Michiel Vereycken

Real Estate Update/A new normality

European real estate rebounded in 2025, signalling positive momentum after two difficult years. In 2026, we expect investors to adapt to a new, normalised environment with recalibrated profitability that should drive transaction activity. This comes alongside a normalisation of rents (on the back of lower inflation) – a slowdown that will be notable but largely expected. We see a company's ability (and willingness) to pursue EPS-accretive investments and being active in capital recycling opportu...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+2)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Lewi

EVS Broadcast Equipment SA: 1 director

A director at EVS Broadcast Equipment SA sold 9,750 shares at 35.120EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 77/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List How to start 2026?

How to start 2026? We have selected for the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List 12 large-cap companies — AB InBev, Aedifica, Argenx, ASMi, Azelis, DEME, D'Ieteren, Shurgard, Sofina, Vopak, WDP, and Wolters Kluwer — along with 3 small and mid-cap names (under €1.5bn in market capitalization): Corbion, EVS, and IBA. So, going into 2026, we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, featuring 8 cyclical and 6 defensive stocks, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have b...

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste

Local Champions Mid Cap Conference Book 11.12.2025

This conference book is your guide to our annual Local Champions Mid Cap Conference set to take place on Thursday, 11 December 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or attend small group sessions with the top management and/or IR of the following companies: BARCO | BEKAERT | DECEUNINCK | DEME | EVS | IBA | JENSEN GROUP | MATERIALISE | ONTEX | PROXIMUS | RECTICEL | XFAB

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Big step forward in disposal programme. Belfius: No sale of stake to private investors, no sell down of BNP Paribas stake either. CM.com: Bird withdraws takeover proposal. Recticel: Acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group. Theon International: c.€150m rights issue

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Recticel FIRST LOOK: Acquisition of Miclar Group, upgrade to Accumulat...

With the acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group, Recticel further strengthens its insulated panels business, which today consists of the businesses acquired via Rex and Trimo. The deal value looks very reasonable at 5.7x EV/EBITDA24. We have updated our forecasts resulting in a 7% increase in our 2026 EBITDA estimate. Recticel still has significant firepower for additional acquisitions and we would expect the company to continue to hunt for mid-sized acquisitions that further enlarge positio...

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: Only 5 stores left to divest in France. EVS: Lower end of the range becomes the base case, on longer lead times. Fagron: Two EMEA acquisitions and California license for FSS. Kinepolis: “Wicked” achieves solid box office. OCI: Divesting Rotterdam ammonia terminal for €290m. Prosus: 1HFY26 results – on track

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

EVS Broadcast Equipment Pointing toward the lower end of the range aft...

Without giving exact numbers, EVS indicated they delivered y/y growth in 3Q25 revenue, offsetting the impact of major events in 3Q24 and signalling recovery from the delays seen in 1H25. Strong order intake for 4Q25 supports confidence in full-year growth, allowing EVS to reaffirm its revenue guidance of € 195m–€ 210m. That said, company-specific factors for 2025 point toward the lower end of the range as some 2025 orders may slip into 2026, reflecting longer lead times between order intake and ...

Deceuninck NV: 2 directors

Two Directors at Deceuninck NV bought 8,550 shares at between 2.030EUR and 2.050EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the las...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: Announces merger of equals with US coatings peer Axalta. EVS: 3Q25 preview. GBL: Sale of half of Umicore stake. IBA: Negative press on poor Proton Therapy results, controversy about Dutch PT centres

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Digi negative view on fibre deals, ups stake in Belgium to 76.9%. CFE: Preview - navigating challenging end markets. Retail Estates: Conference call highlights

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