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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The NSR AI datacenter economics cheat sheet

As we spend our days and many of our nights helping you understand what is going on in the world of AI infrastructure, we refine continuously our understanding of the cost of AI, combining our understanding of the economics of every step of the supply chain. We crystalized that in a digestible format today. Everything you need to know about a 1GW datacenter on a single slide.

 PRESS RELEASE

Mercury Selected to Develop Cockpit Communications Subsystem for New U...

Mercury Selected to Develop Cockpit Communications Subsystem for New U.S. Military Aircraft ANDOVER, Mass., Sept. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRCY, ), a global technology company that delivers mission-critical processing to the edge, today announced it received a $12.3 million development contract from a defense prime contractor to develop an avionics subsystem for a new U.S. military aircraft. Under the three-year agreement signed in July, Mercury will develop a (CMU) control head that consolidates and manages multiple cockpit communications systems and ...

Moody's Ratings assigns a Baa2 rating to Oracle's proposed senior unse...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa2 rating to Oracle Corporation's ("Oracle") proposed senior unsecured notes offering. Oracle's existing Baa2 senior unsecured and Prime-2 Commercial Paper ratings and negative outlook are unchanged. We expect the net proceeds to be used for general corporate pur...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle: What will life after giant RPOs look like?

Oracle entered a 4.5GW, $300bn, 5-year contract with OpenAI, starting 2027. In our note yesterday, we showed what we know of the deal suggests balanced and straightforward economics, over the life of the contract. Today we extend the analysis: GPUs aren’t scrapped after 5 years, and Oracle may in reality, after these contracts, boost profitability, monetizing fully depreciated assets, much like TSMC at the lagging edge.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle & OpenAI: All the economics of the $300bn deal, on a single sli...

Over the weekend we worked through the numbers to estimate the economics of Oracle’s $300bn contract with OpenAI. We have strong visibility on costs, supported by our long-standing work on AI datacenter economics, refined with players in every part of the supply chain, and on the ramp trajectory, informed by RPO maturity and OpenAI’s business plan. This allows us to estimate gross margins, FCF and IRR with a high degree of confidence.

Moody's Ratings says Oracle's $300 billion in contracts highlights ext...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) commented that Oracle Corporation's (Oracle) disclosed $300 billion of recently signed AI contracts do not affect the company's Baa2 rating or negative outlook. The contract size is staggering — highlighting the tremendous potential for Oracle's AI Infrastructure business. ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle RPOs: Who will buy all this compute? How big does than make Ora...

Oracle shocked the market this week with RPOs expanding 4x sequentially to nearly half a trillion dollars, calling for more to come and guiding Cloud revenues to 2029, growing 68% p.a. Click the link below for our full and final view.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Could Oracle capture all OpenAI’s compute by 2027? Implications for Mi...

Oracle’s RPO jumped by $320bn QoQ, which the WSJ tied to a 4.5GW, $300bn, 5-year contract with OpenAI starting in 2027. In the note below, we show how this compares with leaked projections of OpenAI’s compute needs.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle RPOs: Beginning of the bubble... or beginning of the AI era?

Dear all, After we spent the day trying to figure out where AI compute would sit over the next 10 years, Oracle blessed us with a powerful datapoint: Half a trillion dollar RPOs. We pulled out a note overnight digging into what we learnt last night and confronting it to our deep understanding of the current AI infrastructure landscape. Very interesting findings emerged, follow the link below for details.

 PRESS RELEASE

Mercury Signs New Hardware Production Agreement with AV to Support U.S...

Mercury Signs New Hardware Production Agreement with AV to Support U.S. Space Force’s SCAR Program ANDOVER, Mass., Aug. 19, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRCY, ), a technology company that delivers mission-critical processing to the edge, today announced a new production agreement with AeroVironment, Inc. (“AV”) (NASDAQ: AVAV) to support the U.S. Space Force’s Satellite Communication Augmentation Resource (SCAR) program. AV was awarded the $1.4 billion SCAR contract in 2022 by the Space Rapid Capabilities Office (RCO), a direct reporting unit of the Space Force....

 PRESS RELEASE

Mercury Systems Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Results

Mercury Systems Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Results Record Q4 FY25 Bookings of $341.5 million; book-to-bill of 1.25Record backlog of $1.40 billion; up 6% year-over-yearQ4 FY25 Revenue of $273.1 million; GAAP net income of $16.4 million; and adjusted EBITDA of $51.3 millionQ4 FY25 Operating Cash Flow of $38.1 million with Free Cash Flow of $34.0 million, with record free cash flow of $119.0 million for FY25 ANDOVER, Mass., Aug. 11, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRCY, ), reported operating results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, ended Jun...

Moody's Ratings affirms Oracle's Baa2 rating; outlook revised to negat...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) affirmed Oracle Corporation's (Oracle) Baa2 senior unsecured rating and P-2 commercial paper rating and revised the outlook to negative from stable. The change in outlook reflects the expectation of continuing elevated leverage and increasingly negative free cash flow as O...

Jonathan Moreland
  • Jonathan Moreland

InsiderInsights Weekly Report: July 26, 2025

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke
ACM AECOM
EME EMCOR GROUP ... (+19)

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

More Breakouts and Risk-On Developments We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 5700-5785, though we believe there is a low probability that this level gets tested any time soon. Short-term supports on the SPX include the 20-day MA (currently 6233), 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-605...

 PRESS RELEASE

Mercury Systems to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal Year 202...

Mercury Systems to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results on August 11, 2025 ANDOVER, Mass., July 21, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Mercury Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: MRCY, ), a technology company that delivers mission-critical processing to the edge, will release its fourth quarter and full year fiscal year 2025 financial results after the market close on Monday, August 11, 2025. Management will host a conference call and simultaneous webcast at 5:00 p.m. ET on the same day to discuss Mercury's quarterly financial results, business highlights, and outlook. In add...

Jonathan Moreland
  • Jonathan Moreland

InsiderInsights Weekly Report: July 19, 2025

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

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