EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: solid, good, 3Q24 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 3Q24 in line, but we may be at the peak NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q24 results – EBITDAaL up 3% yoy, 2% above consensus on one-offs; EBITDAaL excluding one-offs in line; 2024E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Kety: full 3Q24 results below preliminaries NEGATIVE • CEZ: Babis promoting a buyout of the CEZ minorities POSITIVE • Eurowag: solid 3Q24 trading update POSITIVE • Georgia macro: NBG keeps ...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: 3Q24 results – top-down small beat POSITIVE • Kety: wants to increase its share in the French market NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: EGM announced to ratify a Chinese contract NEUTRAL • Shoper: 24% yoy growth expected in 3Q24E adjusted EBITDA (due on 24 October) • Bank Millennium: 3Q24E preview (due on 29 October) • Bank Handlowy: 3Q24E preview (due on 13 November) • Vercom: 3Q24E results preview – 29% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 13 November) • CD Projekt: 3Q24E EBITDA up 35%...
EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (16-22 September) • Raiffeisen Bank International: signs agreement targeted at sale of its Belarusian operations • 11 bit studios: Frostpunk 2 post-release player reviews and player count disappoint NEGATIVE • PCF Group: updates timeframe for strategy implementation, new PLN 350m financing needed in 2025-26E NEGATIVE • Kety: takeaways from the Investor Day NEUTRAL • ADNOC Distribution: Board approves interim dividend NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: beg...
HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: stock down 17% yesterday on report by short seller Culper • Kety: 3Q24 preliminary results close to our expectations NEUTRAL • Logo Yazilim: CMC approves cancellation of treasury shares POSITIVE • Wizz Air: 24-hour strike called for 24 September by third-party Italian union • AUGA Group: coverage discontinued • Short News (CEZ)
HEADLINES: • GEVORKYAN: 2Q24 EBITDA down 12% yoy on one-off costs NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: 2Q24 slightly ahead of expectations NEUTRAL • CCC: change of Modivo CEO NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: potential acquisition of Magnolia Park • Kety: 3Q24E preview – stable EBITDA (+4% yoy) expected (due on 19 September)
Due to changes in analyst responsibilities, we transfer coverage of Kety, with a 12M price target (PT) of PLN 920/share, implying 20% upside potential and a BUY rating. Kety produces aluminium parts for the automotive industry, flexible packaging for the food industry, and aluminium systems for the construction industry. The company intends to present a new strategy by the end of this year, and we expect it to focus on foreign expansion through acquisitions. We believe this is a necessary strate...
A director at Grupa Kęty S.A. sold 2,096 shares at 905.000PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 83/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
We are putting our coverage of the following stocks UNDER REVIEW, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks: Addiko Bank Alro Arion banki Bogdanka Cognor Holding DataWalk Gradus Grenevia Islandsbanki Kety TeraPlast
HEADLINES: • Polish Banks: conditional BUYing opportunity (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • Kety: 2Q22 preliminary EBITDA beats consensus, 2022E forecasts hiked POSITIVE • Poland macro: inflection point • Czech Republic macro: last of the outsized rate hikes • CEZ: PM Fiala presents support for energy consumers and comments on energy market transformation POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: may receive PSO payment, regulator to d...
HEADLINES: • Hellenic Bank: strong 1Q22, due to provision reversals • Poland macro: April current account deficit sinks further • Turkey macro: April current account surprises positively • Kety: 2Q22E preview - all-time high EBITDA expected (due on 22 June) • Short News (SNN)
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
HEADLINES: • Hungary macro: Orban 5 begins with a bang • Bittnet Systems: 1Q22 results confirm full-year outlook (stays HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: overview charts for peripheral countries • Colt CZ Group SE: strong 1Q22 beat, FY22E guidance intact POSITIVE • Eurobank: strong 1Q22, upside risk for targets and our forecasts • CCC: final 1Q22 results below prelims on write-downs related to Russian market; strong start to 2Q NEGATIVE • STS Group: 1Q22 strong, as expected; FY22E guidance maintai...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Georgia: 1Q22 review • Magyar Telekom: 1Q22 results, strong with 24% yoy EBITDA growth, 5% above consensus POSITIVE • Nuclearelectrica: 14% higher than expected 1Q22 reported net profit • Bucharest Stock Exchange: 1Q22 results review - very strong numbers as volatility has increased POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 1Q22 organic EBITDA down 12% yoy to PLN 801m, in line with our expectations NEGATIVE • Enea: 1Q22 results review - strong EBITDA reading driven by generation and mi...
On 10-11 May 2022, we co-organised our second edition of Kety Investor Days, and visited plants operating in all three of the company’s segments (Extruded Products, Flexible Packaging, and Aluminium Systems) in Oswiecim, Bielsko-Biala and Kety. Below, we list the key takeaways from our site visits.
EME Equity Market – April 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks performance rather mixed in April. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 5.3% in EUR terms and by 9.9% in USD. The best-performing market was Turkey, whose equities gained 13.3% in EUR terms and 9.2% in local currency. Russia’s MOEX Index added 9.0% in EUR terms, but declined by 9.6% in local currency. In Greece, the ASE Index advanced by 4.9% in EUR terms, the last to end the month in the black; while Romania’s BET Index rec...
HEADLINES: • Russian commodities: the long and short side of it • Arcelik: 1Q22 results - as expected NEUTRAL • Turkish banks: number of changes by the CBT • Ten Square Games: management recommends PLN 10 DPS from the 2021 net profit POSITIVE • Kety: management recommends PLN 52.4 DPS (8% dividend yield) from the 2021 profit NEUTRAL • Norilsk Nickel: final 2021 dividend yield at 5.9%, ADR holders may not receive payment • Alrosa: Russian rough diamonds stop flowing to main Indian manufacturi...
HEADLINES: • InPost: e-commerce growth at courier multiples (upgraded to BUY) • Ciech: bumpy road, but got there finally (stays BUY) • Patria Bank: profitability set to grow, but valuation remains fair (stays HOLD) • Astarta Holding: 1Q22 trading update - strong volumes, despite the war POSITIVE • CCC: final 4Q21 results above prelims, mainly on one-off POSITIVE • LPP: 4Q21 slightly below prelims on war-related write-downs; no surprises in FY22E guidance NEUTRAL • Shoper: 4Q21 broadly in line...
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