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David Vagman ... (+3)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Maxime Stranart

Lotus Bakeries/1H25 results: factory to open ahead of schedule/BUY

We reiterate our BUY on Lotus Bakeries but lower our target price from €12,000 to €10,300 on the back of lower short-term estimates, due to the deconsolidation of ice cream and chocolate sales, as well as a higher WACC. We believe that Lotus Bakeries has underperformed key peers Mondelez and Lindt & Sprüngli this year due to investor concerns on constrained volume growth for Lotus Biscoff and to a potential slowdown in Natural Foods growth. We note that both those concerns have been put to rest ...

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Jensen-Group Further enhancing its market position after an exceptiona...

We updated our model (New € 62 Target Price, Accumulate rating) after Jensen-Group's exceptional 1H25. Jensen-Group highlighted in its outlook statement it is aiming for 2H25, without giving exact numbers, to hold firm to its strategic course : driving customer centricity and sustainable innovation while further enhancing the optimization and digitalization of business processes and applications. We incorporated in our updated model Jensen-Group's targeted investments in expanding production c...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

bpost: 2Q25 results beat 22%, outlook raised further, room for another upgrade at 3Q25. Lotus Bakeries: APAC factory ahead of schedule. NN Group: 1H on track with May CMD, longevity deal a positive surprise (Sol 2 PF 205%). Talabat: 2Q25 Preview. Vopak: AVTL's FID on Mumbai expansion

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Lotus Bakeries FIRST LOOK : maintaining our € 10750 TP and increasing ...

In view of the significant volume growth Lotus Bakeries realised in FY24, the y/e consecutive volume increase of both Biscoff and Natural Foods was a testament to the strength of the different brands. The y/y increase of 1H25 REBITDA and REBIT of 11.7% and 12.6% respectively, outpace the top-line growth (9.7%) and confirms again the strength of Lotus Bakeries' operating model. The international growth engines of Biscoff and Natural Foods generate solid volume increases allowing to leverage its o...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Strong results, guidance reiterated; dsm-firmenich: Symrise 1H25 results; IMCD: Stagnating gross profit leads to disappointing 2Q25 EBITA; JDE Peet's: Full of beans; Just Eat Takeaway: 1H25 results, weak update no impact on takeover; Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 1Q25 results; Melexis: 2Q25 results, gross margin under pressure; Solvay: 2Q25 in line, subdued outlook no surprise after pre-release; TKH Group: Preview: Under a magnifying glass; Universal Music Group: Spotify 2Q25 ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group PLC: Ready to Spring forward. Basic-Fit: 1H25 ahead of INGF, membership ingrowth, outlook reiterated, FCF a bit light. Lotus Bakeries: Preview 1H25. NN Group & ASR: Dutch Pension Reform not an issue at 29 October Dutch elections. Philips: 2Q25 results, much lower tariff impact. Proximus: New BICS CEO and Global CRO laid off. Vastned: Good results, EPRA EPS guidance up by 2.5%. Zabka: 2Q25 Preview

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Akzo Nobel: FX drives 2Q25 miss and FY guidance cut. dsm-firmenich: Givaudan 1H25 results. Exor: In talks over Iveco sale. Lotus Bakeries: Peer Lindt & Sprüngli 1H25 results. Proximus: CpaaS peer Sinch 2Q25 results hurt by FX. Signify: 2Q25 Preview, challenges ahead. Var Energi: Promising continuation of dividend. Vopak: Continued story. Wereldhave: Strong operational results, positive market tone, guidance raised. Events Calendar

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview - consensus below company guidance. Arcadis: We are more cautious than the average. Corbion: Fresh Blood. Lotus Bakeries: BEAR and tariffs on South Africa. Randstad: Preview of 2Q25F results due 23 July, consensus released

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste

Benelux Local Champions Feedback document

Below our feedback notes written at the occasion of our annual Benelux Local Champions Conference that took place on 27 May 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place Brussels. This event offered the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or small group meetings with the following Benelux companies and their top management & IR: ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN | AHOLD DELHAIZE | AKZONOBEL | ARCADIS | AZELIS | CORBION | GBL | LOTUS BAKERIES | MELEXIS | PROXIMUS | SOFINA | UMICORE

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Benelux Local Champions 27 May 2025

This conference book is your guide to our annual Benelux Local Champions Conference set to take place on Tuesday, 27 May 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or small group meetings with the following Benelux companies and their top management & IR. ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN | AGEAS | AHOLD DELHAIZE | AKZONOBEL | ARCADIS | AZELIS | CORBION | GBL | KBC GROUP | LOTUS BAKERIES | MELEXIS | PROXIMUS | SOFINA | UMIC...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Jensen-Group A good start of 2025 and aiming to stay on course

1Q25 order intake for Jensen-Group came in at €137.5m (+20% y/y) and 1Q25 revenues increased y/y 17% to a very nice €127.5m (KBCSe € 120.5m). 1Q EBIT was €16.6m (KBCSe €13.5m), compared to €11.2m in 1Q24, resulting in a very impressive 1Q25 EBIT margin of 13% (KBCSe 11.2%) compared to 10.3% in 1Q24. The 1Q25 net result amounted to €14.7m (KBCSe €10.8m) compared to €11.1m in 1Q24 or 1Q25 EPS of €1.55, y/y +34% as 1Q24 EPS was €1.15. We updated our model and as a result we increase our TP from €51...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Kinepolis: Box office doubles in US/Canada, flat attendance in France. KPN: VodafoneZiggo goes for accelerated DOCSIS 4.0 roll out, answering infra question. Lotus Bakeries: CEO expects US$100m in sales in India by the end of the decade. Philips: 1Q25 results – Guidance lowered on tariffs. PostNL: 1Q25 in line with consensus; FY25 outlook reiterated

Lotus Bakeries: 1 director

A director at Lotus Bakeries bought 15 shares at 8,180.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 62/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Strong Q1, improving fundamentals, further growth to come. Air France-KLM: Surprising Atlantic. Aperam: In-line 1Q25, seasonal better 2Q25 expected. ArcelorMittal: In-line 1Q25, risks to steel demand due to tariff uncertainty. ASM International: 1Q25 Results - FY25 headwinds from weak USD. Ayvens: Getting into Gear. dsm-firmenich: Transformation on Track. Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 1Q25 results. Melexis: Mixed 1Q25 results in unstable markets. Ontex: Two steps fo...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: Feedback from investor call which did not go down well. Euronext: SaaSy deal. Lotus Bakeries: New ice cream partnership with Froneri. Vopak: CMD with higher return target, €1bn additional capex for gas/industrial

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Lotus Bakeries Bake Baby Bake

We updated our model after Lotus Bakeries achieved in FY24 significant double-digit growth of almost 15.9% to € 1,232m. The organic growth in FY24 was driven almost exclusively by record volume growth. We maintain our DCF backed € 10 750 Target Price but -after the recent share price weakness- we increase our rating to Accumulate as the growth strategies of Lotus Biscoff and Lotus Natural Foods will further drive the ambition to become a global top 3 cookie and a leader in the better-for-you ...

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
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