reports
- Francesca Ferragina
- Michiel Vereycken
Retail Estates/Model update/BUY
We update our model with added cautiousness on the top line but leave our bottom line and NTA projections almost unchanged. Our FY26-28F earnings CAGR is at c.2%. Despite some problematic tenants (Leen Bakker, Casa and Carpetright, accounting for c.2.5% of rents), Retail Estates has a history of being capable of quick/efficient reletting and good tenant mix improvement on the back of this. We confirm our positive stance on the company, which currently trades at a 21.3% NTA discount to its FY26F ...
- Wim Lewi
Real Estate Report, Company Profiles
Over the past month, the EPRA BELUX index has underperformed (total return) the EPRA Developed Europe index by 3.2%, the STOXX50 by 5.4%, and the BEL20 by 3.6%. This underperformance relative to the EPRA Developed Europe Index can be attributed to the stronger performance of UK real estate compared to eurodenominated stocks, as UK equities led the recovery following a selloff in August. Additionally, the BELUX region had already posted strong year-to-date performance, which limited further upsid...
- Jacob Mekhael
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Retail Estates Sagax takes 10.8% stake in Retail Estates, upgrade to B...
Yesterday evening Nextensa announced the sale of its 9.0% stake for 89.6m to an undisclosed party at EUR 66.3 per share. This morning, Sagax AB issued a press release that they bought a 10.8% stake in RET for 1,190m SEK (107m EUR). Sagax has been expanding its portfolio outside of Scandinavia. It has been active in the Benelux since 2016 and reported assets of 9.8bn SEK (884m EUR) in the Benelux. We welcome that the overhang of the Nextensa stake is cleared and a new active shareholder has enter...
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Retail Estates Leen Bakker gets court protection in Belgium
Leen Bakker België NV is currently under judicial protection as of 14th August 2025 and seeks buyers for its 44 stores to avoid closure. We believe this will have a limited impact on Retail Estates that leases 11 retail properties to Leen Bakker in BE. This makes up 1.39% of the rental income, while there are no arrears. The chain is owned by private equity company Gilde that bought it from Blokker Holding in 2017 and merged it with Kwantum. Both are related to home furnishing and rely on out-of...
- Wim Lewi
Retail Estates Results 3m25/26, full year outlook maintained
NRI 3m25/26 amounts to €36.4m, +3.1% YoY vs. our expectation of €36.2m. The lfl growth amounted to a respectable 2.6%. EPRA EPS came in at €1.52, -2.5% YoY vs. 1.52 expected. The EPS was diluted by the scrip dividend that raised 18m and added 2.2% to the share count (35% acceptance). RET confirmed its FY25/26 dividend of €5.20. Despite many bankruptcies, occupancy remained relatively stable at 97.45%, a slight improvement from last March at 97.26%. The debt ratio increased to 44.06% on the divid...
- ING Helpdesk
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Couvreur
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Retail Estates FY24/25 Results slightly below on lower investment volu...
RET reported its FY24/25 results (March end) below our estimates. EPRA EPS amounted to EUR 6.21 vs. our expectation of 6.47. NRI grew 2.4% to 142.2m vs. 145.7m expected. Despite many bankruptcies, occupancy remained relatively stable at 97.3% from 97.6% at 1H24/25. The difference with our expectations results from lower net investments of EUR 16.7m than expected (80.0m) as the market for large properties remained slow. The debt ratio improved from 44.52% to 42.52%. RET confirmed its FY24/25 divi...
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
Real Asset Conference feedback 19-20 March 2025
This note gathers feedback from the group meetings and the panels. In total 21 companies were presented in group meetings and/or panels. More than 100 guests found their way to the venue either physical or virtual (only panels). The 2 panels made for informative additions to the C-level meetings and a nice platform for discussion. Wednesday afternoon concentrated 4 experts from Logistic companies (CTP, Montea, VGP, WDP) for an interesting discussion on brownfields: " an answer to the scarcity of...
LEAS LEASINVEST REAL ESTATE SCA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
IMMO COMPAGNIE IMMOBILIERE DE BELGIQUE SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
QRF QRF COMM
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ATEB ATENOR S.A.
ASC ASCENCIO SCA
VGP VGP NV
TINC TINC COMM. VA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
HOMI HOME INVEST BELGIUM
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
Real Assets Conference Book 19-20 March 2025
We publish our conference book with info on the panels, the graphs on the market and company profiles. European REITS suffered from macro and geo-political worries (logistics) Also, the European knee-jerk reaction on the bund (+60 bps) had a negative effect. We believe that despite these worries, REITS are a good place to hide, given their high visibility and proven growth potential in a tough environment. Our top-picks are Shurgard, WDP and Xior. SHUR and WDP have ample headroom on their balanc...
LEAS LEASINVEST REAL ESTATE SCA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
IMMO COMPAGNIE IMMOBILIERE DE BELGIQUE SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
QRF QRF COMM
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ATEB ATENOR S.A.
ASC ASCENCIO SCA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Fagron: FDA says semaglutide shortage is resolved. GBL: Imerys, a challenge and a possible solution. Food Delivery: Prosus set to acquire Just Eat Takeaway. PostNL: Final FY24 results in line, FY25 outlook below due to strategic investments. Retail Estates: 9-month update with no surprises
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
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