We discontinue our coverage of the following stocks, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks: AD Plastik Arena Hospitality Group Bittnet Ciech Conpet Dogus Otomotiv Ekspress Grupp Fintel Energija Immofinanz Kcell Kernel KGHM Komercijalna Banka NLB Banka Petrol Group S Immo Sava Re Shelly Group (formerly Allterco) STS Group Turk Telekom Turkcell Ulker Zagreb Stock Exchange
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
HEADLINES: • CA Immo: locking in profits after relative outperformance (downgraded to SELL) • Piraeus Bank: 3Q22 - strong quarter, improving capital • Bank Handlowy: 3Q22 brings beat on strong underlying NII POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: another strong beat in 3Q22 • Transgaz: 3Q22 - strong net income beat due to revenues from auction premium • Bittnet Systems: 3Q22 results review - misses on EBITDA and bottom line vs. our forecasts NEGATIVE • Alro: RON 125m net loss in 3Q22 • Transelect...
EME Equity Market – September 2022 Market performance – in a rough month for the markets, Turkey emerges as the top-performing region, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 8.3% mom in EUR terms and 10.7% mom in USD in September; while the ISE index outperformed all the other indices once again, but with a muted performance this time, adding just 1.0% mom in EUR terms and 0.1% in local currency terms. All the other indices recorded negative performances, with the Czech PX Index losing 4....
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: unjustified premium to its peers (downgraded to SELL) • Allegro: 2Q22E results in line with the prelims; FY22E guidance upper range trimmed (again) POSITIVE • PKN Orlen: EGM approves the merger with PGNiG • CD Projekt: 20m Cyberpunk copies sold to date NEUTRAL • Petrol Group: Geoplin awaits capital raise or nationalisation • Fondul Proprietatea: Hidroelectrica postpones the decision regarding the acquisition of CEZ Vanzare • Hungary macro: twisting policies helps, b...
EME Equity Market – August 2022 Market performance – Turkey the biggest winner, in a predominantly bad month. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 1.2% mom in EUR and 2.8% mom in USD terms. Turkey’s ISE index outperformed all other indices, adding 24.9% mom in EUR terms and 25.1% in local currency terms. Hungary’s benchmark, the BUX Index, added 1.1% mom and 0.2% mom in EUR and HUF terms, respectively. Greece’s ASE Index had a muted performance and added only 0.6% mom. All the other indices across ...
HEADLINES: • Czech banks: picking the stronger one (Komercni Banka stays BUY, MONETA Money Bank stays HOLD) • Bittnet Systems: 2Q22 - solid quarter, with 88% yoy increase in EBITDA, 65% above our estimate POSITIVE • Purcari Wineries: 2Q22 net profit 14% below our expectations on higher costs • Petrol Group: 2Q22 results hit by prices caps in Slovenia • 4iG: 2Q22E preview - 28x yoy growth in EBITDA due to M&A expected (due on 31 August) • Short News (TPE)
HEADLINES: • Petrol Group: 2022E profit warning issued • OMV Petrom: discussions among political parties to temper the increase in fuel prices • OMV Petrom: Executive Board approves share capital increase NEUTRAL • DIGI Communications: CityMesh Mobile JV to build fourth mobile network in Belgium NEUTRAL • Short News (CPS, PEN, SNP)
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
HEADLINES: • Logo Yazilim: strong tailwinds, solid execution (stays BUY) • Dom Development: 1Q22 - beats vs. both our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • Petrol Group: 1Q22 review - strong results, driven by growing fuel sales POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: expansion of buyback programme to 6.5m shares, maximum amount of PLN 100m unchanged POSITIVE • Transgaz: transport tariffs to remain unchanged until 30 September 2023 NEGATIVE • Kcell: postpones dividends from 2021 net profit NEGATIVE • Polish ...
EME Equity Market – April 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks performance rather mixed in April. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 5.3% in EUR terms and by 9.9% in USD. The best-performing market was Turkey, whose equities gained 13.3% in EUR terms and 9.2% in local currency. Russia’s MOEX Index added 9.0% in EUR terms, but declined by 9.6% in local currency. In Greece, the ASE Index advanced by 4.9% in EUR terms, the last to end the month in the black; while Romania’s BET Index rec...
HEADLINES: • PCF Group: adjusted EBITDA in line with our forecast; Outriders Worldslayer release at end-June NEUTRAL • Hellenic Bank: FY21 - moving in the right direction • Shoper: management call takeaways - 2022E to focus on growth, rather than margins NEUTRAL • Kernel: 3Q22 trading update NEUTRAL • PGNiG: operating estimates for 1Q22E, no major surprises • Fondul Proprietatea: State could consider offer of new shares in Hidroelectrica after Fondul's offer NEUTRAL • Petrol Group: AGM appro...
In late-2020, the value of bonds trading with negative yields reached an all-time high value of USD 18trn. Since then, yields have started growing worldwide, and the sum halved to c.USD 9trn as of the end of January 2022. Although rising bonds yields do not usually favour high-dividend yielding stocks (HDY), we still believe that the latter may remain an attractive investment opportunity. As these equities usually tend to have strong balance sheets (low leverage, solid cash holdings), combined w...
EME Equity Market – November 2021 Market performance – most markets down, with Czech PX Index (+3.0%) the exception. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 8.9% in EUR terms and 10.7% in USD in November. Prague’s PX Index added 3.0% in EUR terms and 2.3% in local currency, followed by the Romanian BET Index, which declined 3.2% in both EUR and RON terms. Greece’s ASE Index declined by 3.4% in EUR terms, while Hungary’s BUX Index declined by 6.2% in EUR and 5.0% in HUF. The Russian MOEX Index declined 8.6...
HEADLINES: • Atrium: Gazit's EUR 3.63 offer - attractive (downgraded to SELL) • Kruk: harder, better, faster, stronger (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Cyfrowy Polsat: awaiting the new strategy... (downgraded to HOLD) • Petrol Group: delivering, expanding, distributing (stays BUY) • CD Projekt: 3Q21 results miss our expectations, focus on improving sentiment on CP77 NEGATIVE • Gazprom: 3Q21 results and conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Tatneft: 3Q21 results review NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: s...
We have revised up our 12M price target (PT) for Petrol Group to EUR 614/share (from EUR 429), which offers 36% upside, and we keep our BUY on the stock. This year, Petrol has bought a Croatian fuel retailer, Crodux, doubling its exposure in Croatia. It has managed the pandemic successfully and is very likely to exceed its FY EBITDA target this year, in our view. Moreover, the company now plans to pay out 50% of its net earnings to shareholders, up from the c.40%, on average, paid in 2012-19. Pe...
HEADLINES: • TeraPlast: high growth incorporated (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Ten Square Games: 3Q21 results review - miss on bottom line due to one-offs, solid 4Q21E outlook POSITIVE • Shoper: 3Q21 adjusted EBITDA in line with preliminary figure, slight miss on reported level NEUTRAL • Petrol Group: 3Q21 results review - very good numbers, beating our estimates • Romania politics: President nominates Mr. Ciuca as PM • Atrium: publishes circular containing details of proposed merger with G...
EME Equity Market – August 2021 Market performance - The Hungarian BUX Index gained 9.8% in EUR terms. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose 5.1% in EUR terms and 4.6% in USD terms. The best-performing equity index was the BUX, which added 9.8% in EUR terms and 6.9% in the local currency (LCU). The ISE30 Index advanced 7.7% in EUR terms and 5.8% in LCU, while Prague’s PX Index gained 6.5% in EUR terms and 6.2% in LCU. The Polish benchmark WIG20 Index added 6.1% in EUR terms and 5.1% in LCU, followed by ...
HEADLINES: • Lukoil: stronger 2Q21 results than expected POSITIVE • Tatneft: neutral 2Q21 results • LiveChat Software: reports mediocre 1Q21-22 (calendar 2Q21) results NEGATIVE • Petrol Group: 2Q21 results review - very good numbers, beating our estimates NEUTRAL • Bittnet Systems: 2Q21 results review - weak quarter with 14% yoy drop in EBITDA NEGATIVE • Gradus: 2Q21 EBITDA below our expectations amid impairments of biological assets NEGATIVE • Tekfen Holding: new Competition Board probe in the...
EME Equity Market – May 2021 Market performance – Polish equities continued to outperform in May. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 6.9% in EUR terms and 8.7% in USD terms; while the WIG20 continued with its strong performance from April, advancing 11.4% in EUR terms and 9.6% in PLN terms. The BUX Index, the Hungarian benchmark and the worst performer in April, gained 11.4% in EUR terms and 7.4% in HUF terms in May. Prague’s PX index grew 7.5% in EUR terms and 5.7% in CZK terms; followed by the Ru...
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