>Impressed by Bjørn Gulden’s focus on products and his positive mindset - On Tuesday we organised a field trip to adidas headquarters. This visit included a meeting with CEO Bjørn Gulden, a product tour, and a visit of the innovation lab. Major takeaways from this event are: 1/ Brand momentum remains strong. 2/ Terrace footwear does not experience a slowdown and take down versions might offer an opportunity for growth going forward. 3/ adidas has successfully started...
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 224 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, CHANGES IBEX, IBERDROLA, OHLA. ECB follows the script Another session of gains in Europe that was largely unaffected by the ECB, which lowered rates as expected. The IBEX again led the advance, closing above 11,400 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600 almost all sectors closed with gains, led by Basic Materials and Technology, with Utilities and Pharma being the worst performers with slight drops. On the macro side, the ECB lowered the deposit facility rate by -25bps and the margin...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, CAMBIOS IBEX 35, IBERDROLA, OHLA. EUROPA: VINCI. El BCE sigue su curso Nueva jornada de ganancias en Europa sin verse muy afectadas por un BCE que bajó los tipos como esperado. El Ibex lideró nuevamente los avances hasta cerrar al filo de los 11.400 puntos. Así, en el STOXX 600 casi todos los sectores cerraron con ganancias, lideradas por Recursos Básicos y Tecnología frente al peor comportamiento de Utilities y Farma que mostraron modestas caí...
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, CAF, CHANGES IBEX, NEINOR HOMES. IBEX close to 11,300 points It was a positive session in Europe, with the US inflation data showing no surprises and where the IBEX led the gains following Inditex’s solid results. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Retail (driven by Inditex’s results) and Technology posted the biggest gains, whereas Real Estate (the second-best sector over the past three months) and Consumer Goods were the worst performers. On the macro side, in the US August’s g...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS, CAF, CAMBIOS IBEX 35, NEINOR. EUROPA: BAYER, UNICREDIT. El Ibex roza los 11.300 puntos Jornada positiva en Europa, con un dato de inflación en EE.UU. que no ofreció sorpresas y donde el Ibex lideró los avances tras los buenos resultados de Inditex. Así, en el STOXX 600 Retail (impulsado por los resultados de Inditex) y Tecnología presentaron las mayores ganancias mientras que Inmobiliario (el segundo mejor sector en los últimos 3 meses) y B. ...
Holcim Europe could ultimately be the most appealing equity story of the Holcim group’s spin-off project. We think that, for the group’s new management, the distribution of an exceptionally high dividend will be the favoured means for a rapid revaluation of Holcim Europe. We estimate it at CHF 2.0-2.2 for a dividend yield of 7-8% at the current price. We think that under the aegis of Miljan Gutovic, the new CEO, a significant refocusing of Holcim Europe’s assets will be implemented i...
Holcim Europe pourrait finalement être « l’equity story » la plus attractive du projet de scission du groupe Holcim. Nous pensons que la distribution d’un dividende exceptionnellement élevé constituera, pour le nouveau management du groupe, le moyen privilégié pour une revalorisation rapide de Holcim Europe. Nous l’estimons entre 2.0 CHF et 2.2 CHF soit un dividende yield de 7/8% au cours actuel. Sous la houlette de Miljan Gutovic, le nouveau CEO, un recentrage important des actifs de...
>Following a roadshow, we maintain our Outperform rating, but have lowered our forecasts for 2025-2026 by 8-9% and our target price to € 1,150 (vs € 1,300) - Following a roadshow with Marcel Kemp (Head of IR Europe), we confirm our Outperform rating. The long-term story of structural technological domination in the semiconductor industry looks fully intact. However, the recent less favourable newsflow has impaired visibility on 2025, although the group is maintaining ...
>Suite à un roadshow, nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance, mais abaissons nos prévisions 25/26 de 8/9% et notre OC à 1 150 € (vs 1 300 €) - Suite à un roadshow avec Marcel Kemp (Head of IR Europe), nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance. La trame long terme de domination technologique structurelle dans l’industrie des semi-conducteurs nous semble totalement préservée. Mais, le newsflow récent moins favorable a réduit la visibilité sur 2025, même si le gro...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS HOMES, INDITEX, SANTANDER, TALGO. EUROPA: BMW, UNICREDIT. Continua la volatilidad Jornada de más a menos en las bolsas europeas, que sin un catalizador claro fueron perdiendo altura hasta terminar con números rojos. Así, la mayoría de sectores del STOXX 600 cerró con pérdidas, lideradas por Autos y Energía (caídas del brent del 4,5%) frente a los defensivos Inmobiliario y Utilities que presentaron el mejor comportamiento. Por el lado macro, en...
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, INDITEX, SANTANDER, TALGO. Volatility continues It was a session of decreasing performance on European markets which, lacking a clear driver, fell into the red by the end of the day. In the STOXX 600, most sectors ended with losses, led by Autos and Energy (Brent fell -4.5%), compared to defensive sectors like Real Estate and Utilities, which were the best performers. On the macro side, in Spain July’s industrial output fell unexpectedly. In the UK, quarterly wage gro...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDITEX, ROVI, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. La semana comenzó con rebote Jornada al alza a ambos lados del Atlántico que llevó al Ibex a recuperar los 11.200 puntos en una semana clave, con el dato de inflación de EE.UU. (miércoles) y la reunión del BCE el jueves. Así, todos los sectores del STOXX 600 menos Autos e Inmobiliario presentaron subidas, lideradas por Viajes y Ocio y Químicas. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona el índice de confianza Sentix de sept...
NEWS SUMMARY: ROVI, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Rally to kick off the week It was a session of gains on both sides of the Atlantic, bringing the IBEX back above 11,200 points in a key week, with US inflation data (Wednesday) and the ECB meeting (Thursday). All the sectors of the STOXX 600 except Autos and Real Estate posted gains, led by Travel & Leisure and Chemicals. On the macro side, in the euro zone September’s Sentix investor confidence index deteriorated more than expected to its lowest level sin...
At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...
At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...
>Recap of the announcement made by Votalia on 20 August - On 20 August, Voltalia announced that the Brazilian transmission network operator was imposing a sizeable curtailment on some parts of the network which will impact group 2024 EBITDA to the tune of € 40m, if these measures to reduce inflow continue over the next few months and if the group is not compensated financially. The curtailment on production volumes for Voltalia in the northeast portion of the network ...
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