reports
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Another round of Aramco suspensions expected
Market sources suggest Saudi Aramco will further reduce its rig count in the coming months through early contract terminations and potentially more suspensions, which would mark the ‘fourth round’ of rig reductions. This follows last month’s request for dayrate discussions (historically, such requests have preceded it suspending rigs). We believe this round could be extensive, affecting c10 jackups out of its current rig count of c57 rigs. At the peak, Aramco had 92 jackups (22% of global demand...
- ABGSC Chemicals Research
- Bengt Jonassen
- Martin Melbye
- Niclas Gehin
Yara (Buy, TP: NOK425.00) - Volumes/costs aid Q1 EBITDA beat
Q1 EBITDA beat our estimate by 19% and consensus by 22%, with help from solid volumes, lower energy costs and a higher share of premium products sold, FX tailwinds and further cost reductions. Its FID on the blue ammonia projects is still set for H1 2026 and it continues to highlight the strategic rationale of the investment. Our estimates are largely unchanged (no change to 2026–2027e EPS), with higher earnings following the report broadly offset by slightly lower nitrate prices in recent weeks...
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Muted 2025 growth expectations
Following Q1 earnings calls by some of the oil service companies, 2025 outlooks appear more challenging than previously. Baker Hughes expects international upstream spending to decline by mid- to high-single digits, while Halliburton sees its international revenues flat to slightly down. Furthermore, Weatherford expects 2025 international revenue to decline by low double- to mid-double digits. Precision Drilling flagged additional rig suspensions by Saudi Aramco, and SLB highlighted a slow start...
SDRL SEADRILL LTD
ARCHERO ARCHER
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
BORR BORR DRILLING
SHLF SHELF DRILLING LTD.
VAL VALARIS LTD
NE NOBLE CORP NEW
OTL ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD
SDNS SHELF DRILLING NORTH SEA
DDRIL DOLPHIN DRILLING
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
VTURA VENTURA OFFSHORE
PLSV PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.
- ABGSC Chemicals Research
- Bengt Jonassen
- Martin Melbye
Yara reports strong deliveries and margins
Yara reports strong deliveries and margins Yara reports first quarter 2025 EBITDA excluding special items1 of USD 638 million compared with USD 435 million in first quarter 2024. Net income was USD 295 million compared with USD 16 million a year earlier. First quarter 2025 highlights: EBITDA excl. special items1 up 47%, with strong deliveries and marginsCost reductions on track and continuous improvements through portfolio optimizationSupportive nitrogen upgrading margins in the medium termYara’s scale and global optimization provide flexibility in volatile times “We are pleased with rep...
Yara rapporterer sterke leveranser og marginer
Yara rapporterer sterke leveranser og marginer EBITDA eksklusive spesielle poster1 for første kvartal 2025 var 638 millioner USD sammenlignet med 435 millioner USD i første kvartal 2024. Resultat etter skatt var 295 millioner USD sammenlignet med 16 millioner USD året før. Hovedpunkter fra kvartalet: EBITDA eksklusive spesielle poster1 økte med 47% drevet av sterke leveranser og marginerKostnadsreduksjoner i rute og kontinuerlige forbedringer gjennom porteføljeoptimaliseringGode markedsutsikter for nitrogen på mellomlang siktYaras skala og globale forretningsmodell gir fleksibilitet – V...
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
ENI capex cut but maintains shareholder returns
Driven by macro headwinds and uncertainty around trade tariffs, ENI was the first large oil company to introduce capex cuts for 2025, contributing to a more challenging business environment for oil services. Over the past five years, we estimate ENI to have been the oil major with strongest offshore spending growth, and it has been considered active and opportunistic while others have been more conservative. Hence, we see its reduction as a soft datapoint for oil services. ENI has optimised its ...
SDRL SEADRILL LTD
ARCHERO ARCHER
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
BORR BORR DRILLING
SHLF SHELF DRILLING LTD.
VAL VALARIS LTD
NE NOBLE CORP NEW
OTL ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD
SDNS SHELF DRILLING NORTH SEA
DDRIL DOLPHIN DRILLING
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
VTURA VENTURA OFFSHORE
PLSV PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.
Reminder: Program for the publication of Yara International ASA first ...
Reminder: Program for the publication of Yara International ASA first quarter results 2025 Yara International ASA first quarter 2025 results will be published on Friday, 25 April 2025 at 08:00 CEST. You can follow the first-quarter results presentation online at 12:00 CEST. The presentation will be held in English. The report, presentation and webcast will be available at the above mentioned times at There will also be a conference call at 13:00 CEST the same day with an opportunity to ask questions to Yara’s management. Please use the link to register for this session: Registered c...
- ABGSC Chemicals Research
- Bengt Jonassen
- Martin Melbye
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Welcomed tender from Petrobras
Updates suggest Petrobras yesterday launched a new tender for “one or more” deepwater rigs for the Buzios field starting late-2026/early-2027. As it has been a while since the last Petrobras tender, and there has been uncertainty related to the timing of upcoming tenders, we believe a new Petrobras tender would offer relief for investors. As we count nine rigs already contracted with Petrobras to match the start-up window, we expect the requirement would be filled by rigs already in the country,...
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Looking at required day-rates
Although there are several ongoing deepwater tenders, the lack of recent deepwater fixtures has created uncertainty among investors related to day-rates. Consequently, we have analysed the required day-rates to support current share prices and valuations. Given the high operating leverage and multiple variables involved (utilisation, lifetime and cost of capital), we estimate the sector requires 7G drillship day-rates from the mid-USD300k and above to support the current share prices.
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB: 2 directors
A director at H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB bought 6,500 shares at 125.100SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two y...
- Niclas Gehin
Yara (Buy, TP: NOK425.00) - A globalist in a protectionist world
We expect Q1 EBITDA of NOK537m (results due at 08:00 CET on 25 April). We believe the current tariff turbulence increases uncertainty relating to Yara’s planned US blue ammonia investments, and thus the likelihood of the project not seeing daylight. We have raised our 2026–2027e EPS by just 3% on higher fertiliser and lower natural gas prices. At a 2026e P/E of 8x, we reiterate our BUY and NOK425 target price.
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
E&P spending sensitivity explored
With an oil price at the mid-USD60s/bbl level, focus on the oil major overspending situation, and resulting impact on the outlook for offshore-focused oil services, is set to increase further. While oil companies would likely cut, or even eliminate, buyback programmes first, we expect increased focus on spending reductions and efficiencies, creating a more challenging business environment for oil services. Hence, we see a risk of oil companies taking a more cautious approach, resulting in projec...
SDRL SEADRILL LTD
ARCHERO ARCHER
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
BORR BORR DRILLING
SHLF SHELF DRILLING LTD.
VAL VALARIS LTD
NE NOBLE CORP NEW
OTL ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD
SDNS SHELF DRILLING NORTH SEA
DDRIL DOLPHIN DRILLING
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
VTURA VENTURA OFFSHORE
PLSV PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
AKAST AKASTOR ASA
KOG KONGSBERG GRUPPEN ASA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
ARCHERO ARCHER
AKER AKER ASA CLASS A
DNO DNO ASA CLASS A
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
PRS PROSAFE
OKEA OKEA
BWE BW ENERGY
VAR VAR ENERGI ASA
SEAPT-NO SEACREST PETROLEO
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
Program for the publication of Yara International ASA first quarter re...
Program for the publication of Yara International ASA first quarter results 2025 Yara International ASA first quarter 2025 results will be published on Friday, 25 April 2025 at 08:00 CEST. You can follow the first-quarter results presentation online at 12:00 CEST. The presentation will be held in English. The report, presentation and webcast will be available at the above mentioned times at There will also be a conference call at 13:00 CEST the same day with an opportunity to ask questions to Yara’s management. Please use the link to register for this session: Registered conference ...
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
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COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
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ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
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DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
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MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
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CTPNV CTP NV
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TEN TENARIS S.A.
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