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Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback Analyst & Asset Manager Day

Tessenderlo reiterated FY25 guidance at the occasion of its Investor event yesterday. We note that Luc Tack expressed his desire to become more strict in allocating capex, whilst in terms of activity portfolio there are no sacred cows and management asks themselves whether they are still the best owner of their businesses. The deal with Darling Ingredients on gelatin & collagen is progressing with deal closing probable in 2H26. We continue to appreciate Tessenderlo for its healthy FCF generation...

Kristof Samoy ... (+2)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Hoste
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Digi launches new mobile offer at €7 per month with 30GB D'Ieteren: Belgium Sept car registration, Febiac cuts 2025 outlook to 405-410k new cars Dutch insurance: Achmea Sixth Steet JV done, new entrant for buyouts for ASR and NN Heijmans: I'm a steamroller baby Prosus: Just Eat Takeaway offer unconditional WDP: €22m investment in Romania

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update October: Removing VGP – Adding Shurgard a...

In this October update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we are removing VGP while adding Shurgard and Wolters Kluwer. Since its recent inclusion in our Dynamic Top Pick List in July-25, VGPs share rose by 10.6%. While we still believe there is significant upside to the share price, we don't see short term catalysts. In fact, the macro picture remains cloudy with the jury still out on the impact of tariffs and the erratic US policy shifts. Also, we are a bit concerned that competition in Western Eur...

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Lewi
Maxime Stranart ... (+2)
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Stijn Demeester
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

D'Ieteren All eyes on Belron in 2H25

Following the publication of D'Ieteren's 1H25 results, we have slightly adjusted our estimates to the downside and currently bank on an FY25 adj. PBT (gs) of € 935m (prev. € 946m). Adjusting for constant exchange rates, our estimates imply a 2.8% growth on a comparable basis, or in line with the group's guidance (slight increase). While our new estimates reflect lower margin assumptions for Belron and TVH Parts, this effect is partially offset by lower financing costs at Belron on the back of fa...

D`ieteren Group: 2 directors

Two Directors at D`ieteren Group bought 4,500 shares at between 162.611EUR and 165.970EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over ...

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

D'Ieteren No room for error in 2H25, with Belron in focus

1H25 results disappointed with the adj. PBT (gs) down 22.7% to € 452.4m (kbcse: € 493m, css: € 475m). Note that on a comparable basis, the adj. PBT (gs) only decreased by 8.7%, but remained below the full year guidance (slight improvement). The miss was driven by a weak performance at TVH Parts, and only modest margin improvement at Belron. While the reiteration of the FY25 outlook implies a big step up in Belron's margins in 2H25, we give the group the benefit of the doubt. This because manage...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Avantium: Expanded rights. CVC Capital Partners: 1H25 results. D'Ieteren: 1H25 5% miss, guidance reiterated on confidence for a much better 2H25. Kinepolis: August 2025 box office revenue/ attendance in US/Canada, France down >20%

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+3)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update September: Adding AB InBev and Exor

In this September update we added 2 stocks to the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List : We added AB InBev after the share price weakened post-2Q results. ABI's 2Q volumes fell 1.9% organically, below expectations, mainly due to a 9% drop in Brazil where a price hike led to temporary market share loss. However, strong revenue per hl growth (+4.9%) drove a 6.5% organic EBITDA increase, with 1H growth at +7.2%, near the top of FY guidance (+4–8%). AB InBev, the world's largest brewer, generates ...

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

D'Ieteren 1H25: Soft results, but reiterated outlook implies large ste...

1H25 results disappointed, with the adj. PBT (gs) down 22.7% to € 452.4m (kbcse: € 493m, css: € 475m). On a comparable basis, the adj. PBT (gs) only decreased by 8.4%, falling short of the “slight improvement” guided for FY25. The miss was driven by soft results at TVH Parts and only modest margin improvement at Belron. While the reiteration of the FY25 outlook implies a big step up in Belron's margins in 2H25, we give the group the benefit of the doubt. This because management highlighted durin...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: Belgian August car registrations down 11%, easy comps, VW down 8.4% Gimv: Cash in motion: over €300m invested, still €400m to go. KPN: KPN and Vodafone yearly mobile price increases

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : CRBN NA, DIE BB, DSFIR NA, UCB BB, EKOP BB, CTPNV NA, ...

: CRBN NA, DIE BB, DSFIR NA, UCB BB, EKOP BB, CTPNV NA, JDEP NA

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