Benelux Morning Notes

CFE: Preview: underlying 2026 margin to improve / DEME: Preview: strong 2025, eyes on 2026 outlook / JDE Peet's: Acquisition by KDP expected to close in 2Q26 / Solvay: 2025 ends with strong FCF; 2026F und. EBITDA guidance slightly below, supported by one-off / UCB: Peer Moonlake investor day / Vastned: Beat on bottom line with operational metrics accelerating, but outlook remains weak

Lotus Bakeries/Entering an era of increased profitability/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating on Lotus Bakeries and increase our target price from €11,100 to €12,700 following the group stronger-than-expected FY25 results. We, however, remove Lotus Bakeries from the ING Benelux Favourite list, following its strong share price performance since the turn of the year. We upgrade our Normalised EPS by 2-3% respectively over 2026-29F, reflecting a stronger-than-expected benefit of the discontinuation of the ice cream business, as demonstrated by the group's 2H25 Ad...

Ontex/Another challenging year ahead/HOLD

We reiterate our HOLD rating on Ontex and lower our target price from €5.40 to €4.70, following the group's weaker-than-expected FY25 results and a FY26 guidance we see as challenging, especially given the strong headwinds the company will have to cope with over 1H26. Ontex's material exposure to the Baby care segment remains the most challenged one in our view, given unsupportive demographics trends in key markets and material price and promotion pressure from branded players. At €4.7, Ontex wo...

Morning Notes : AD NA, ARCAD NA, PNL NA, AZE BB

: AD NA, ARCAD NA, PNL NA, AZE BB

Arcadis Risk/Reward Not Yet Compelling in a Derating Sector

Arcadis surprised the market last week with weak FY results and disappointing 2026 guidance. We have overhauled our model and revisited our investment case. The repositioning of GBA Places announced after the IBI & DPS acquisitions in 2022 is not (yet) delivering the intended benefits, while the strategic shift toward large, higher margin projects is coinciding with slower and less predictable backlog conversion. With organic growth absent, the previously compelling deep discount valuation versu...

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 4Q25/26 results. Arcadis: Main topics 4Q25/FY25 conference call. ASM: 4Q25 preview, FY26 should be strong. Brunel: 4Q25 result beats and trends stabilise; DACH back to growth in 1Q26; additional cost savings announced and special dividend. Cofinimmo: Beat on bottom line, strong investment outlook for 2026. IMCD: Another step in EMEA. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Peer Danone 4Q25 results. Recticel: Peer Kingspan FY25 results. Software sector: Cheaper code...

Anheuser-Busch In Bev SANV: 3 directors

Two Directors at Anheuser-Busch In Bev SANV sold 32,000 shares at 80.010USD. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...

Arcadis Key take-aways analyst call

This morning Arcadis reported numbers (as written in a separate FRN) that were disappointing. Only the Resilience GBA and the cash collection process delivered in 4Q25. The sharp revenue revision for 2026 came as a cold surprise but the new CFO delivered on his cash collection commitment made late 2025. Together with the CEO nominee he outlaid a hands-on, pragmatic approach for a return to meaningful topline and margin growth. However this will be (again) back-end loaded in 2026 and mainly reali...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES LARGE CAPS MORNING NEWS 02/19/2026

ODDO BHF SECURITIES LARGE CAPS MORNING NEWS 19/02/2026

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Uneventful results, US weaker, underlying OCG in line / Air France-KLM: Productivity gains starting to filter through / Arcadis: Weak revenues and EBITA, but strong NWC / Ascencio: Results in line, no concerns on Carrefour Belgium exposure / Azelis: Persisting softness in 4Q25, continued focus on costs and cash / BAM Group: Solid 2H25 results, 2026 outlook in line / Belgian telecoms: Telenet improved net adds, to relist as part of Ziggo in 2027, Liberty to sell half of its 66% Wyre stake ...

Arcadis First look: Only Resilience & cash collection delivered in 4Q2...

Arcadis released a disappointing set. Only Resilience posted an inline performance. Growth in Places in 4Q was -13% while our scenario was counting on a stabilisation (o% y/y). 4Q Traction in Mobility did not materialise as expected. Company guides for a transitional 2026 with flat growth well below our and css est. . Thanks to strong cash collection FCF was a clear positive surprise. Analyst call at 2pm CET. We will adjust our 2026 numbers downwards to the issued guidance. Hold.

Morning Notes : ABI BB, AGN NA, ARCAD NA, BESI NA, ENX FP, GIMB BB, HY...

: ABI BB, AGN NA, ARCAD NA, BESI NA, ENX FP, GIMB BB, HYL BB, IBAB BB, KIN BB, MTLS US, VGP BB, AZE BB, ZEAL DC

Arcadis : Terrible Q4 growth and margin, strong FCF and order intake b...