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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adecco: 1Q24 in line; stable trends into 2Q24. Arcadis: Interesting contract in Ontario. NSI: Further comments on the First Sponsor move. Philips: Healthineers reports 2Q24 update. Solvay: Solid 1Q24 EBITDA beat, FY consensus looks rather cautious now

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update May 2024 : Adding Fugro, Removing Arcadis

In this May edition of our Dynamic Top Pick List we replace Arcadis by Fugro. Arcadis continues to deliver consistently on its promises and is working hard to realise its 2026 margin targets via cross selling, leveraging its global engineering platform and numerous self-help measures. In spite of this we remove Arcadis from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent & strong share price performance leaves little room for further short term triggers As a service provider to the energy industry, Fu...

Jean Danjou ... (+2)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 30/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Jean Danjou ... (+2)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Arcadis : Stronger than expected EBITA margin expansion and FCF in Q1

>Slight miss on organic growth but better than expected EBITA margin expansion - Arcadis reported sales of € 968m which represents a miss of 2% vs css. Organic growth came in at 4.4%, which is marginally below css (4.6%, AOe 4.9%) with Arcadis mentioning 1.2 less working days. Order intake grew organically by 6.0% (leading to a record backlog and a book to bill of 1.17x) with CEO Brooks mentioning continued high demand in environmental remediation (Resilience), energy...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Air France-KLM: Tackle the unit cost, please. Arcadis: Still a hockey stick margin increase? Van Lanschot Kempen: Good 1Q24 results, new segmentation. Vonovia: A few positive messages

Kristof Samoy ... (+5)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
 PRESS RELEASE

Arcadis Trading Update Q1 2024: Continued client demand driving strong...

Arcadis Trading Update Q1 2024: Continued client demand driving strong pipeline while delivering significant margin expansion Arcadis First Quarter 2024 Trading UpdateContinued client demand driving strong pipeline while delivering significant margin expansion Significant multi-year project wins resulted in an order intake of €1,129 million, organically up by 6.0%, with investment programs increasingly contributingRecord backlog net revenues at €3,316 millionNet revenues of €968 million, organically up by 4.4% despite 1.2 fewer working daysOperating EBITA margin increased to 10.7% (Q...

Luuk Van Beek
  • Luuk Van Beek

Arcadis - Solid Q1 with good margin

Solid Q1 results, broadly in line with expectations, solid backlog and pipeline, reiterates 2026 strategic targetsThese results confirm that Arcadis is well-positioned to benefit from the current stream of large investment programsWe raise our target price from EUR 60 to EUR 65, but downgrade from Buy to Hold after a >60% rally since our upgrade due to limited remaining upside

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Arcadis : Preview Q1 2024: continued progress in EBITA margin

>Solid organic growth (c. 5%) and EBITA margin progression (60 bps) - Arcadis will publish its Q1 2024 results on April 30 before the close. We forecast organic growth of 4.9% (css at 4.6%, difficult comps given 12.3% in Q1 2023, negative impact working days), driven by robust growth in Resilience (8.5%) and Mobility (9.0%), offset partially by Places (-2.1%, winddown Middle East, focus on margins at DPS, change in market focus China) and some FX headwind. Despite wag...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update April 2024: Adding TINC

We continue our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List with a 50/50 cyclical/defensive selection, but with a focus on value stocks that have been left behind. Defensive segment like holdings are overweight. However, in the Benelux we have a selection of cyclical industrials at cheap valuations that have often underperformed the market. We favour Benelux value stocks as even a mild recession typically hits growth stocks proportionally harder. We notice that some stocks have been hit hard by minor s...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Arcadis : Don’t unbuckle just yet: upward potential remains material

We raise our price target for Arcadis to € 68.5 (DCF based) and maintain our Outperform rating. Although Arcadis’s shares have already performed well over the last 12 months (+43%), we see further upward potential as the delta in terms of peer multiples has only marginally diminished (still c. 35% lower EV/EBITDA, was c. 40%) and we see no reason to expect an industry multiples contraction. Given the GEC and automation/digitisation components of the company’s strategy, which come...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update March 2024 : Replacing UCB by Tubize

We replace UCB by Tubize in our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List. Over the past few weeks, UCB has seen a strong rally in its share price, markedly outperforming the BEL-20 index. The rally came on the back of renewed investor confidence in its flagship product Bimzelx, which gained FDA approval for psoriasis in October 2023 albeit with unexpected warnings and precautions. In the meantime, we see that commercial traction is growing in line with our expectations, as phyicians and caregivers ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Good momentum. CFE: Headline numbers in line, quality of earnings low. Fugro: Mapping Italian waters. Kendrion: Preview - another difficult quarter. NN Group: 2H23 preview, focus on new targets. UCB: 2H23 preview – strong results expected

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ARCAD NA, EURN BB, MITRA BB, PNL NA, RET BB, UCB BB, H...

: ARCAD NA, EURN BB, MITRA BB, PNL NA, RET BB, UCB BB, HYSG BB

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis Solid execution

Full year results positively surprised on the recurring margin front. FCF beat expectations thanks to solid net working capital management. High 4Q order intake at GBA Places and Mobility is supportive for further margin growth. The repositioning of Places seems on track. We believe the likelihood of realising both timing and magnitude of the CMD margin target has increased compared to last November.

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