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Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis Risk/Reward Not Yet Compelling in a Derating Sector

Arcadis surprised the market last week with weak FY results and disappointing 2026 guidance. We have overhauled our model and revisited our investment case. The repositioning of GBA Places announced after the IBI & DPS acquisitions in 2022 is not (yet) delivering the intended benefits, while the strategic shift toward large, higher margin projects is coinciding with slower and less predictable backlog conversion. With organic growth absent, the previously compelling deep discount valuation versu...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 4Q25/26 results. Arcadis: Main topics 4Q25/FY25 conference call. ASM: 4Q25 preview, FY26 should be strong. Brunel: 4Q25 result beats and trends stabilise; DACH back to growth in 1Q26; additional cost savings announced and special dividend. Cofinimmo: Beat on bottom line, strong investment outlook for 2026. IMCD: Another step in EMEA. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Peer Danone 4Q25 results. Recticel: Peer Kingspan FY25 results. Software sector: Cheaper code...

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis Key take-aways analyst call

This morning Arcadis reported numbers (as written in a separate FRN) that were disappointing. Only the Resilience GBA and the cash collection process delivered in 4Q25. The sharp revenue revision for 2026 came as a cold surprise but the new CFO delivered on his cash collection commitment made late 2025. Together with the CEO nominee he outlaid a hands-on, pragmatic approach for a return to meaningful topline and margin growth. However this will be (again) back-end loaded in 2026 and mainly reali...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Uneventful results, US weaker, underlying OCG in line / Air France-KLM: Productivity gains starting to filter through / Arcadis: Weak revenues and EBITA, but strong NWC / Ascencio: Results in line, no concerns on Carrefour Belgium exposure / Azelis: Persisting softness in 4Q25, continued focus on costs and cash / BAM Group: Solid 2H25 results, 2026 outlook in line / Belgian telecoms: Telenet improved net adds, to relist as part of Ziggo in 2027, Liberty to sell half of its 66% Wyre stake ...

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis First look: Only Resilience & cash collection delivered in 4Q2...

Arcadis released a disappointing set. Only Resilience posted an inline performance. Growth in Places in 4Q was -13% while our scenario was counting on a stabilisation (o% y/y). 4Q Traction in Mobility did not materialise as expected. Company guides for a transitional 2026 with flat growth well below our and css est. . Thanks to strong cash collection FCF was a clear positive surprise. Analyst call at 2pm CET. We will adjust our 2026 numbers downwards to the issued guidance. Hold.

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, AGN NA, ARCAD NA, BESI NA, ENX FP, GIMB BB, HY...

: ABI BB, AGN NA, ARCAD NA, BESI NA, ENX FP, GIMB BB, HYL BB, IBAB BB, KIN BB, MTLS US, VGP BB, AZE BB, ZEAL DC

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
 PRESS RELEASE

Arcadis Q4 and Full Year 2025 Results: Mixed results, repositioning fo...

Arcadis Q4 and Full Year 2025 Results: Mixed results, repositioning for next growth phase PRESS RELEASE | Arcadis Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results 2025 Mixed results, repositioning for next growth phase FOURTH QUARTER Net revenues of €887 million, organic growth of -2.9%Operating EBITA margin of 10.8% (Q4‘24: 12.6%)Extensive Property & Investment (within Places) project portfolio review led to revenue adjustments Record free cash flow performance of €344 million (Q4‘24: €183 million) FULL YEAR Net revenues of €3.8 billion, organic growth -0.5% with areas of strength offset by Place...

Dirk Verbiesen ... (+2)
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Quirijn Mulder

Arcadis/Slow start to FY26 but a better second half/HOLD

As 3Q25 showed only 1% organic growth, this did not translate into the anticipated pick-up in growth rates. We expect meagre organic growth to continue into FY26 as we foresee only 1.8%, with 1H26 likely being slower than 2H26. New management has been taking measures to reduce overhead costs. These cost savings are material, but will only come fully to fruit in FY27, also the year when we foresee a return to stronger organic growth. With consensus in our view still too optimistic on organic grow...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
Jacob Mekhael ... (+4)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Lewi
Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis €175m SBB completed and FY25 preview

Arcadis has completed its share buyback program as of 16 January 2026. Since the launch of the program on 1 October 2025, the company repurchased a total of 4,575,796 ordinary shares for €175m, at an average price of €38.24. The shares acquired represent ca. 5% of the company's issued share capital and will be cancelled. We maintain our Hold.

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