In this May edition of our Dynamic Top Pick List we replace Arcadis by Fugro. Arcadis continues to deliver consistently on its promises and is working hard to realise its 2026 margin targets via cross selling, leveraging its global engineering platform and numerous self-help measures. In spite of this we remove Arcadis from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent & strong share price performance leaves little room for further short term triggers As a service provider to the energy industry, Fu...
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
>Slight miss on organic growth but better than expected EBITA margin expansion - Arcadis reported sales of € 968m which represents a miss of 2% vs css. Organic growth came in at 4.4%, which is marginally below css (4.6%, AOe 4.9%) with Arcadis mentioning 1.2 less working days. Order intake grew organically by 6.0% (leading to a record backlog and a book to bill of 1.17x) with CEO Brooks mentioning continued high demand in environmental remediation (Resilience), energy...
Arcadis Trading Update Q1 2024: Continued client demand driving strong pipeline while delivering significant margin expansion Arcadis First Quarter 2024 Trading UpdateContinued client demand driving strong pipeline while delivering significant margin expansion Significant multi-year project wins resulted in an order intake of €1,129 million, organically up by 6.0%, with investment programs increasingly contributingRecord backlog net revenues at €3,316 millionNet revenues of €968 million, organically up by 4.4% despite 1.2 fewer working daysOperating EBITA margin increased to 10.7% (Q...
Solid Q1 results, broadly in line with expectations, solid backlog and pipeline, reiterates 2026 strategic targetsThese results confirm that Arcadis is well-positioned to benefit from the current stream of large investment programsWe raise our target price from EUR 60 to EUR 65, but downgrade from Buy to Hold after a >60% rally since our upgrade due to limited remaining upside
Deutz is a leading non-captive engine manufacturer for a wide range of customer industries with a strong and very well-known brand. The company will enter a profitable growth period soon (CAGR 2023-26e sales 8%, EPS 18%). We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 7.9, reflecting >40% upside from here. - ...
Deutz is a leading non-captive engine manufacturer for a wide range of customer industries with a strong and very well-known brand. The company will enter a profitable growth period soon (CAGR 2023-26e sales 8%, EPS 18%). We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 7.9, reflecting >40% upside from here. - ...
>Solid organic growth (c. 5%) and EBITA margin progression (60 bps) - Arcadis will publish its Q1 2024 results on April 30 before the close. We forecast organic growth of 4.9% (css at 4.6%, difficult comps given 12.3% in Q1 2023, negative impact working days), driven by robust growth in Resilience (8.5%) and Mobility (9.0%), offset partially by Places (-2.1%, winddown Middle East, focus on margins at DPS, change in market focus China) and some FX headwind. Despite wag...
We continue our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List with a 50/50 cyclical/defensive selection, but with a focus on value stocks that have been left behind. Defensive segment like holdings are overweight. However, in the Benelux we have a selection of cyclical industrials at cheap valuations that have often underperformed the market. We favour Benelux value stocks as even a mild recession typically hits growth stocks proportionally harder. We notice that some stocks have been hit hard by minor s...
We raise our price target for Arcadis to € 68.5 (DCF based) and maintain our Outperform rating. Although Arcadis’s shares have already performed well over the last 12 months (+43%), we see further upward potential as the delta in terms of peer multiples has only marginally diminished (still c. 35% lower EV/EBITDA, was c. 40%) and we see no reason to expect an industry multiples contraction. Given the GEC and automation/digitisation components of the company’s strategy, which come...
We replace UCB by Tubize in our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List. Over the past few weeks, UCB has seen a strong rally in its share price, markedly outperforming the BEL-20 index. The rally came on the back of renewed investor confidence in its flagship product Bimzelx, which gained FDA approval for psoriasis in October 2023 albeit with unexpected warnings and precautions. In the meantime, we see that commercial traction is growing in line with our expectations, as phyicians and caregivers ...
Full year results positively surprised on the recurring margin front. FCF beat expectations thanks to solid net working capital management. High 4Q order intake at GBA Places and Mobility is supportive for further margin growth. The repositioning of Places seems on track. We believe the likelihood of realising both timing and magnitude of the CMD margin target has increased compared to last November.
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