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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Committed partners of progress in a consolidating industry. Arcadis: No small beer. Kinepolis: Two new rented cinemas in Spanish commercial centres. Vonovia: Completing Deutsche Wohnen acquisition

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ING Benelux Conference London: Aalberts, Arcadis, Azelis, Barco, Basic-Fit, Brunel International, DEME Group, Euronext, Fagron, Heijmans, Kinepolis, Lotus Bakeries, Melexis, Ontex, Randstad, Recticel, SBM Offshore, TKH Group, Van Lanschot Kempen Other company stories - OCI: Divestment of Methanol to Methanex for US$2.05bn, Staffing: US August temp volumes marginally better trend; NFP jobs miss

Quirijn Mulder
  • Quirijn Mulder

Arcadis/Nicely on track for FY26 targets/BUY

With especially strong 2Q24 margins up 170bp YoY, we have adjusted our estimates. Expecting organic growth to accelerate from 2H24 onwards, we foresee double-digit growth of its EBITDA and EBITA from operations in FY24-26F. With Arcadis at an EV/EBIT 2024-26F discount of 18% to its peer group, we believe the valuation continues to be too low. Risks have certainly diminished on the back of well financed and better performing acquired companies but on margins Arcadis still can win and therefore we...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Stadler Rail AG : Margins and FCF disappoint in H1

>H1 well short of expectations margin-wise - Stadler’s H1 2024 results, reported yesterday morning, fell nearly 35% short of expectations for EBIT (see our first take). Order intake came in at CHF 2.55bn (vs css at CHF 2.72bn), down 45% after a strong showing in H1 2023 (CHF 4.7bn). Revenues came in slightly higher (+0.3%, +1.3% on constant currencies) at CHF1,293m, in line with expectations. EBIT and FCF were the two main negative aspects with this release....

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Stadler Rail AG : La marge et le FCF déçoivent au premier semestre

>Un S1 2024 largement en-dessous des attentes sur la marge - Stadler a publié hier matin des résultats S1 2024 inférieurs de près de 35% aux attentes au niveau de l’EBIT (cf. notre first take). Les prises de commandes atteignent 2.55 MdCHF (vs css à 2.72 MdCHF), en baisse de 45% après un S1 2023 élevé (4.7 MdCHF). Le chiffre d’affaires est en légère hausse (+0.3%, +1.3% à changes constants) à 1 293 MCHF, en ligne avec les attentes. L’EBIT et le FCF sont les ...

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

NX Filtration 1H24 results & analyst call key take-aways

Mid July NXFIL already informed the markets on its 1H24 revenues when it communicated the appointment of a new CEO. 1H24 revenues landed at €5.9m growing 56% with gross margins maintained at a high 59%. FTE's were flat vs. year end 2023. EBITDA stood at €-6.4m (vs. €-5.3m in 1H23). Guidance remained unchanged calling for revenues >€16m.

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 08/28/2024

We initiate the coverage of Ypsomed with a target price of CHF 495 and an Outperform rating. As a leading developer and manufacturer of a broad portfolio of injection systems for the self-medication of liquid drugs, Ypsomed will benefit from major trends in the healthcare industry. The company is currently in a transformation process to exit non-core activities and to focus on the fast-growing and highly profitable Delivery Systems business. This is expected to lead on our estimates t...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 28/08/2024

We initiate the coverage of Ypsomed with a target price of CHF 495 and an Outperform rating. As a leading developer and manufacturer of a broad portfolio of injection systems for the self-medication of liquid drugs, Ypsomed will benefit from major trends in the healthcare industry. The company is currently in a transformation process to exit non-core activities and to focus on the fast-growing and highly profitable Delivery Systems business. This is expected to lead on our estimates t...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Stadler Rail AG : H1 results miss expectations, 2024 guidance confirme...

>H1 results lower than expected, notably on the margin - Stadler this morning reported H1 2024 results that came in below expectations. Orders were down 45% to CHF 2.55bn (css at CHF 2.72bn). The level of orders remains relatively high with the book-to-bill reaching 2x, but the group said that some orders were postponed to H2.Revenues were stable (+0.3% with +1.3% at constant exchange rates) at CHF 1,293m, in line with expectations (CHF 1,289m). The group un...

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Couvreur
Usama Tariq ... (+2)
  • Usama Tariq
  • Wim Gille

NX Filtration : No surprises as NX Filtration reports H1 results

>H1 results in line with previous indication - As indicated before in July 2024, NX Filtration reported its official half-year 2024 revenues which came at €5.9m, an increase of 57% year on year (yoy) and around 21% below our estimate of €7.1m, largely driven by conversion of pilots into full scale projects, repeat orders and new clients. On a segment level, Clean Municipal Water grew sales 90% yoy to €2.71m (we had at €3.7m) whereas Sustainable Industrial Water sales ...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Stadler Rail AG : Un S1 inférieur aux attentes, la guidance 2024 est c...

>Un S1 2024 inférieur aux attentes, notamment sur la marge - Stadler a publié ce matin des résultats S1 2024 inférieurs aux attentes. Les commandes sont en baisse de 45% à 2.55 MdCHF (css à 2.72 MdCHF). Le niveau de commandes reste relativement élevé avec un book-to-bill atteignant 2x, mais le groupe indique que des commandes potentielles ont été reportées au S2.Le chiffre d’affaires est stable (+0.3% dont +1.3% à change constant) à 1 293 MCHF, en ligne avec...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Arcadis : Post results note: upping estimates and TP on back of strong...

>Upping organic growth, EBITA and EBITA margin estimates - Both organic growth, EBITA and the EBITA margin were better than expected in Q2 2024 with the latter still not seeing any impact yet from the digitisation/automation program and only a headwind from the GEC program (strong FTE additions and thus opex but without the benefit of increased billability), which will start to have a material impact as of 2025. Due to the acceleration of the backlog growth (from 4.8%...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Arcadis : Focus on margins shows, FCF weaker than expected

>Operating EBITA margin very strong, good organic growth, FCF disappoints - Q2 sales missed css by 1%, mainly driven by Places. Organic growth was better than expected at 6.0% vs css at 5.3%. The focus on EBITA margins shows with operating EBITA beating css by 7%. The operating EBITA margin in Q2 came in at 11.5% vs 10.8% css (AOe 10.7%) and Q2 2023 at 8.7%. So that selectiveness in Places (DPS) and Resilience has paid off more than we assumed and this is still withou...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Numbers broadly in line with expectations. Air France-KLM: Costs hurt. Arcadis: Nice beat in 2Q24 and good prospects to continue. BAM: Strong EBITDA, cash flow somewhat weak. BE Semiconductor Industries: 2Q24 results; High-end offsets mainstream. Econocom: Large 1H24 miss, change in management, governance. UCB: Strong 1H24 with slight increase in FY revenue guidance. Unilever: Steadfast. Universal Music Group: Okay headline figures cannot hide serious questions for music label...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
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