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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

PostNL: 4Q25 notch better but supported by one-offs, Parcels below; outlook FY26 below. Recticel: FY25 preview

Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis Risk/Reward Not Yet Compelling in a Derating Sector

Arcadis surprised the market last week with weak FY results and disappointing 2026 guidance. We have overhauled our model and revisited our investment case. The repositioning of GBA Places announced after the IBI & DPS acquisitions in 2022 is not (yet) delivering the intended benefits, while the strategic shift toward large, higher margin projects is coinciding with slower and less predictable backlog conversion. With organic growth absent, the previously compelling deep discount valuation versu...

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

Ahold Delhaize Sharpening Value for Customers While Safeguarding Margi...

Earlier this month, Ahold Delhaize reported strong 4Q25 results, driven by a material margin beat in the US and impressive free cash flow generation. While the 2026 margin outlook was in line with expectations, we believe the company is well positioned to deliver on this guidance supported by the impact of the 53rd calendar week, easier comparables in Europe, and the gradual realisation of synergies from the Profi acquisition. In the US, ongoing price investments continue to drive healthy sales ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 4Q25/26 results. Arcadis: Main topics 4Q25/FY25 conference call. ASM: 4Q25 preview, FY26 should be strong. Brunel: 4Q25 result beats and trends stabilise; DACH back to growth in 1Q26; additional cost savings announced and special dividend. Cofinimmo: Beat on bottom line, strong investment outlook for 2026. IMCD: Another step in EMEA. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Peer Danone 4Q25 results. Recticel: Peer Kingspan FY25 results. Software sector: Cheaper code...

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis Key take-aways analyst call

This morning Arcadis reported numbers (as written in a separate FRN) that were disappointing. Only the Resilience GBA and the cash collection process delivered in 4Q25. The sharp revenue revision for 2026 came as a cold surprise but the new CFO delivered on his cash collection commitment made late 2025. Together with the CEO nominee he outlaid a hands-on, pragmatic approach for a return to meaningful topline and margin growth. However this will be (again) back-end loaded in 2026 and mainly reali...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 02/19/2026

Constellium: very strong Q4 2025 results with the momentum continuing into H1 2026|Eramet publishes weak results for 2025 but takes radical measures to rapidly improve its financial structure, notably with a plan to strengthen its equity capital by € 500m|AF-KLM: Unit costs under control enabling good profitability levels|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 19/02/2026

Constellium: very strong Q4 2025 results with the momentum continuing into H1 2026|Eramet publie de faibles résultats 2025 mais prend des mesures radicales pour améliorer rapidement la structure financière, notamment avec un projet de renforcement des fonds propres de 500 m EUR|AF-KLM: Unit costs under control enabling good profitability levels|

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Uneventful results, US weaker, underlying OCG in line / Air France-KLM: Productivity gains starting to filter through / Arcadis: Weak revenues and EBITA, but strong NWC / Ascencio: Results in line, no concerns on Carrefour Belgium exposure / Azelis: Persisting softness in 4Q25, continued focus on costs and cash / BAM Group: Solid 2H25 results, 2026 outlook in line / Belgian telecoms: Telenet improved net adds, to relist as part of Ziggo in 2027, Liberty to sell half of its 66% Wyre stake ...

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis First look: Only Resilience & cash collection delivered in 4Q2...

Arcadis released a disappointing set. Only Resilience posted an inline performance. Growth in Places in 4Q was -13% while our scenario was counting on a stabilisation (o% y/y). 4Q Traction in Mobility did not materialise as expected. Company guides for a transitional 2026 with flat growth well below our and css est. . Thanks to strong cash collection FCF was a clear positive surprise. Analyst call at 2pm CET. We will adjust our 2026 numbers downwards to the issued guidance. Hold.

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, AGN NA, ARCAD NA, BESI NA, ENX FP, GIMB BB, HY...

: ABI BB, AGN NA, ARCAD NA, BESI NA, ENX FP, GIMB BB, HYL BB, IBAB BB, KIN BB, MTLS US, VGP BB, AZE BB, ZEAL DC

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano
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