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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Always a pleasure to debate with management. Avantium: Summer Doldrums. Gimv: Itineris out

Kristof Samoy ... (+4)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

Colruyt On the right track, but challenges remain

Last week, Colruyt published its FY24/25 results. While the results were in line with expectations, the outlook disappointed on the back of a challenging competitive environment. Despite the ongoing difficulties, we welcome the recently signed agreement to divest around 80% of its French stores. We expect that a full exit from the French market will enhance margins by around 40–50 basis points in FY26/27. Additionally, the transaction multiple is in line with market valuations. Incorporating the...

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis Positioned for 2H25 growth

Arcadis executes on its strategic roadmap, supported by a resilient global platform, disciplined M&A integration, and exposure to structural growth markets. In this note, we take a closer look at Arcadis' water activities—an increasingly important growth engine within its Resilience GBA—and assess how recent developments position the company for topline acceleration in the second half of 2025. Despite macro uncertainty, Arcadis remains on track to deliver organic growth and margin expansion, und...

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

Colruyt FY24/25 Conference call feedback

Following the publication of its FY24/25 results yesterday morning, Colruyt held a conference call this afternoon. We have summarized the key highlights from the call below.

Dirk Verbiesen ... (+5)
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Utilities and offshore wind supply chain sector/Mind the gaps

In this report we present our view on the long-term growth prospects for offshore wind in Europe, implications of the energy transition and the role of TSOs, such as Elia Group. We also focus on supply chain beneficiaries in our Benelux coverage. An increasing number of long-term framework contracts should provide improved risk-rewards to the supply chain, in our view. Furthermore, we take a deep dive into growth drivers and long-term financing for Elia Group, beyond the company's current financ...

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

Colruyt FY24/25 results in line, reaches agreement for most of its Fre...

Despite only being expected after market, Colruyt already published its FY24/25 results this morning. Overall, the FY24/25 results were in line with our expectations after the group issued a profit warning early May. In FY24/25, group sales increased 1.1% but declined 0.4% on a comparable basis to € 10963m (kbcse: € 10999m) while the EBIT decreased by 5.0% to € 446m (kbcse: € 448m). Additionally, the group announced that it has reached an agreement to sell 81 of French stores for a cash consider...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: Intermarché to take over 81 integrated Colruyt stores in France. Colruyt: FY24/25 in line with updated guidance, cautious FY25/26 outlook. Sofina: Cognita exit looks to be pending

Emira Sagaama ... (+3)
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Jeremy Garnier
  • Martial Descoutures
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage

In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: FY24/25F set to be in line with recently revised guidance. Exor: In search of a €2bn deal. Flow Traders: Sell In May And Go Away. Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex May 2025 box office revenue up 63% YoY, at 81% of 2019 level. Staffing: Dutch Period 5 - May vols up, strong pricing, working days/comps might distort. Staffing: French staffing - strong April data, May outlook also better

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group PLC: There can be only Juan. Colruyt: French press reports on divestment of its stores in France. Staffing: US temp volume YoY trend stable, revisions down to Apr/Mar, NFP jobs beat

Gimv NV: 1 director

A director at Gimv NV bought 2,250 shares at 44.642EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 60/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...

Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Holdings Report May 2025 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns 2.2% During Ma...

1M Performance - Absolute: During May'25 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of +2.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (+2.6%) while single-asset holdings posted a smaller return of +1.2%. The 3 top performers during the period were Gimv (+12.1%), KBC Ancora (+11.1%) and Ackermans & van Haaren (+4.1%) while the 3 worst performers were Solvac (-2.8%), Groupe Bruxelles Lambert (-0.8%) and Heineken Holding (-0.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis (as o...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste

Benelux Local Champions Feedback document

Below our feedback notes written at the occasion of our annual Benelux Local Champions Conference that took place on 27 May 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place Brussels. This event offered the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or small group meetings with the following Benelux companies and their top management & IR: ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN | AHOLD DELHAIZE | AKZONOBEL | ARCADIS | AZELIS | CORBION | GBL | LOTUS BAKERIES | MELEXIS | PROXIMUS | SOFINA | UMICORE

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