ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/05/2024

Founded in 1959, Leifheit AG is one of the leading European brand suppliers of household items. The group divides its operating business into the household, wellbeing and private label segments. In view of its growing turnover (CAGR of +2.8% for 2023 to 2026e) and EBIT margins (+290bp to 5.2% in 2026e vs 2023), as well as its solid financial profile (equity ratio of about 50%, average net cash position of c. € 40m for 2024e to 2026e, average positive FCF of c. € 11m for 2024e to 2026e...

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/03/2024

Founded in 1959, Leifheit AG is one of the leading European brand suppliers of household items. The group divides its operating business into the household, wellbeing and private label segments. In view of its growing turnover (CAGR of +2.8% for 2023 to 2026e) and EBIT margins (+290bp to 5.2% in 2026e vs 2023), as well as its solid financial profile (equity ratio of about 50%, average net cash position of c. € 40m for 2024e to 2026e, average positive FCF of c. € 11m for 2024e to 2026e...

ISS (Buy, TP: DKK171.00) - Strong portfolio growth but…

Q1 was another solid quarter with 6% organic growth (consensus 5.6%), led by 8.5% portfolio growth; however, less-impressive above-base volumes (down 7%) and a negative print in the Americas of c2% weighed on the stock. The communication around the DTAG arbitration and 2024 guidance was unchanged. We reiterate our BUY and DKK171 target price.

Benelux Morning Notes

Aperam: In-line 1Q24 EBITDA, FCF marked by WC build, 2Q24 guidance below consensus. Ayvens: Taking the brakes off. BAM: Not the best start to the year. bpost: 1Q24 in line with consensus but beat vs INGF, no outlook yet. Brunel International: good set of 1Q24 results – 5% beat on EBIT, comforting trends. B&S Group: Preview - should be a non-event. DEME Group: Preview - should be a non-event. D'Ieteren: Febiac April registrations flat YoY, VW brands up 8.4%. GBL: NAV per share in ...

Royal BAM Group : Q1 2024 a soft quarter but investment case stands

>Lowering 2024 estimates, 2025-2026 unchanged, investment case stands - We maintain our Outperform rating and price target after the mixed/disappointing Q1 2024 results. We lower our 2024 adj. EBITDA by 6% (adj. EBITDA margin 4.6% instead of 4.8%) but keep our 2025 and 2026 largely unchanged. Despite the disappointment over the Q1 profitability levels, our investment case stands with slowly but surely improving operational and financial performance as the old lower ma...

Organic growth forecasts raised post Q1

EBIT forecasts revised by -1% to +5%. Organic growth for 2024e raised to 5.9% (5.4%). BUY - TP 185.

Credit Morning 05/02/2024

BBVA proposes merging with Banco Sabadell to create a European leaderUnited Group: e& has considered a potential acquisition of United Group (Bloomberg)>...

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/02/2024

...

Morning Crédit 02/05/2024

BBVA propose à Sabadell une fusion afin de créer un leader européenUnited Group : e& envisagerait une possible acquisition de United Group (Bloomberg)>...

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 02/05/2024

Nous sortons GALP de notre liste ODDO BHF European Large Caps. La valeur a réalisé une performance de +31,3% depuis son entrée le 20 mars dernier. Notre analyste adopte ce jour une opinion Neutre (vs Surperformance) sur la valeur qui a atteint notre objectif de cours. - ...

Royal BAM Group : Not the expected start of the year in Q1

>Miss on EBITDA, faster deterioration trade working capital - BAM reported Q1 sales of €1.4bn, exactly in line with our estimate (no css available). Adj. EBITDA came in at €44m, a clear miss versus our expectation of €59m (Q1 2023 €58m), representing a margin of just 3.1% versus 4.2% expected (Q1 2023 4.1%). The orderbook came in at €10.7bn, roughly €1bn higher than our estimate, which was more or less in line with the orderbook at year-end. This is encouraging as it ...

ForFarmers : Noticeable profitability improvement but climate remains ...

>Negative revenue progression but profitability improving - Q1 2024 was negatively impacted by a significant drop in raw material and fertilizer prices which drove revenue down (-17.4% yoy). Total sales volume declined by 0.8% yoy (+0.2% lfl, adjusted for Belgian volumes sold in 2023 and acquired Piast volumes) of which no growth reported from compound feed sales volume. In the Netherlands ForFarmers reported stable volumes as flattening of the decline continued (it s...

ISS A/S : Broadly in line Q1 2024 with confirmation of FY guidance, no...

>Q1 2024 trading update broadly in line with expectations, DT is still weighing - ISS reported Q1 2024 sales at DKK 20,090m (+4.2% reported), i.e. 1% below the consensus expectations (DKK 20,241m), mostly due to a negative FX impact (-2.5% reported, consensus -1.7%). Organic growth came out at 6.0%, a touch above the consensus at 5.6% (ODDO BHF 6.2%e). This was supported by price increases as well as volume growth while the contribution from net contract wins and abo...

ISS A/S : Broadly in line Q1 2024 with confirmation of FY guidance, no...

>Q1 2024 trading update broadly in line with expectations, DT is still weighing - ISS reported Q1 2024 sales at DKK 20,090m (+4.2% reported), i.e. 1% below the consensus expectations (DKK 20,241m), mostly due to a negative FX impact (-2.5% reported, consensus -1.7%). Organic growth came out at 6.0%, a touch above the consensus at 5.6% (ODDO BHF 6.2%e). This was supported by price increases as well as volume growth while the contribution from net contract wins and abo...

Good organic growth driven by robust porfolio revenues

Cherry SE : Turnaround promised, but the proof will be in the pudding

>2023 another year to forget, but management optimistic about the future - Last year (2023) was again disappointing for Cherry, with it missing initial guidance by a mile on both revenue (€ 126.5m vs c. € 140m guidance, down 4.5% y-o-y) and adjusted EBITDA margin (1.6% vs guidance of c. 10%). The poor 2023 results were due to a mix of internal and external factors. First, management was running a business with a lack of focus (very diversified product portfolio), no d...

ForFarmers - LFL volume growth turning positive

In Q1-24, ForFarmers continued to make progress with its strategy, reporting positive LFL volume growth. EBITDA increased by 55% on the back the better volume trends and cost savings. ROCE also improved. Despite the progress, our estimates look somewhat too ambitious. We maintain our Hold and on the back an expected lower estimate, we lower our TP from EUR 3.20 to EUR 3.00