Two Directors at AKR Corporindo Tbk PT bought 2,140,700 shares at between 1,045.000IDR and 1,065.448IDR. The significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's di...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: Positive signs amid deflationary pressures. Sector Automobile: Weekly: OEMs set ambitious 2025 targets. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare: Stay focused, stay innovative. Update Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company (1833 HK/BUY/HK$6.25/Target:HK$8.50): Ping An to consolidate PAGD with no privatisation intended; bright outlook for strategic businesses with increased synergies. Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$5.6...
AKRA’s 2024 preliminary results indicate a net profit of Rp2.2t in 2024, meaning it booked a Rp700b-800b net profit in 4Q24 (3Q24: Rp465b). Nevertheless, 2024 net profit is below its guidance as it failed to achieve its land sales target. We revise down our 2024/25 net profit estimates by 25%/20% and cut our land sales assumption. We expect AKRA to deliver a Rp2.4t net profit in 2025, within management’s net profit guidance of Rp2.4t-2.6t net profit in 2025. Maintain HOLD with a lower target pri...
AKRA’s 2Q24 net profit dropped 31.4% qoq (-3.6% yoy) due to: a) lower basic chemical ASP, b) lower petroleum volume, and c) lower land sales. Margin contracted as margin of the trading and distribution business declined. Gross profit from the trading and distribution business dropped 18% from a) lower chemical ASP and b) lower petroleum sales volume. We cut our 2024 net profit estimate by 6.7%. It expects to book most of its land sales guidance in 2H24. Downgrade to HOLD. Target price of Rp1,700...
GREATER CHINA Sector Hong Kong Property Developers’ low-price strategy proved effective; northbound traveling marginally weakened in Jul 24. Internet Pipeline of high-quality games as key catalyst amid strong seasonality. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/HOLD/Rp1,530/Target: Rp1,700) 2Q24: Net profit down 31% qoq, below ...
AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/HOLD/Rp1,530/Target: Rp1,700): 2Q24: Net profit down 31% qoq, below expectations. Downgrade to HOLD. Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ/SELL/Rp1,455/Target: Rp1,100): 2Q24: Above expectations, but weak performance with NPAT down 48.5% yoy. TRADERS’ CORNER Gajah Tunggal (GJTL IJ): Technical BUY Summarecon Agung (SMRA IJ): Technical BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
The JCI declined 3.3% in Apr 24 and our portfolio managed to outperform slightly, delivering a -3.2% return. The biggest gainers were SIDO (+15.2%), EXCL (+6.8%) and ACES (+3.7%). The largest losers were BBTN (-17.6%), MAPI (-16%) and CTRA (-9.8%). We think the JCI is likely to deliver another negative return in May 24. We removed EXCL, MAPI and CTRA, and add TLKM and BSDE. Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA.
Strategy: Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. Astra Agro Lestari (AALI IJ/SELL/Rp6,425/Target: Rp5,715): 1Q24: Within expectations. Maintain SELL as we are concerned with its flat FFB production growth, lower mill utilisation rate and weak downstream margin. Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp6,325/Target: Rp7,300): 1Q24: Net profit up 1.1% yoy, slightly below expectations. Maintain BUY with a lower target price. Trime...
The Middle East conflict could impact financial markets if Iran or another major Islamic country is involved. The rupiah depreciation could be the biggest concern for the Indonesian economy. Oil, LNG, nickel and copper prices have rallied. Commodity companies could benefit from high prices while consumer companies could be negatively impacted. Banks should be neutral and their valuations are now more reasonable. Our top picks are: BBNI, BBRI, CTRA, BSDE, BUKA, ACES, JSMR, NCKL, AKRA and TAPG.
Strategy: Potential Impact Of The Middle East Conflict: Our top picks: Banking – BBNI, BBTN; property − BSDE, CTRA; technology – BUKA; consumer − MYOR, CMRY; retail – ACES; infrastructure – JSMR; mining – NCKL. Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/BUY/Rp3,170/Target: Rp4,400): 1Q24: Net profit up 20% qoq, partly thanks to margin expansion. Maintain BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa (INTP IJ): Technical BUY Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ): Technical BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24: Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets: Our Alpha Picks trounced the KLCI in Mar 24. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MY...
Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24 : Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ/BUY/Rp1,895/Target: Rp2,100) : 4Q23: Core NPAT below expectations due to high tax rate. TRADERS’ CORNER Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ): Technical BUY Harum Energy (HRUM IJ): Technical BUY
Our portfolio outperformed in Mar 24, delivering an average 1.8% return vs the JCI’s 1.3% decline. In 1Q24, our portfolio appreciated 8.4% on market-weighted return vs the JCI’s 0.2% return. Our removal of large-cap banks (BMRI, BBNI) last month has so far proven to be correct with the recent weakness in large-cap banks’ share prices. We add ACES to our portfolio on the back of traffic recovery and margin expansion. Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA.
GREATER CHINA Results Longfor (960 HK/BUY/HK$10.18/Target: HK$12.71): 2023: Better earnings mix and debt structure; continues to optimise development model in 2024. Meituan (3690 HK/HOLD/HK$88.25/Target: HK$80.00): 4Q23: In line; margins pressured by lacklustre AOV and competition in in-store business. Orient Overseas (International) (316 HK/HOLD/HK$99.70/Target: HK$107.70): 2023: Results missed on margin pressure; share price more fairly valued after a sharp 16.7% decline post results. Upgrade ...
AKRA’s 4Q23 net profit jumped 58% qoq on 61ha land sales and the strong petroleum business, showing a net profit growth of 15.7% in 2023. Gross profit margin rose to 10.6% (2022: 8.9%), mainly derived from a higher JIIPE contribution and the trading and distribution business’ improving margin. Supported by 130ha land sales, growing utilities income, stable growth from the trading and distribution segment as well as efficiencies, net profit could grow 11% in 2024. Maintain BUY. Target price: Rp1,...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
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