We see positive top-down sentiment on the industrial estate sector with Indonesia’s relatively favourable US tariff rate and strong investment growth. AKRA (BUY, Target: Rp1,350) expects land enquiries of 700-800 ha in the next five years to come from chemicals, EV/renewables and basic materials. Meanwhile, SSIA (share price up 220% over the past three months) is confident that its anchor tenant, BYD, will complete its plant construction by early-26 and expects the toll-road access to be complet...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Takeaways from channel check at The Southside. INDONESIA Strategy Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Participants Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur Cautious but engaged. MALAYSIA Sector Construction Sector resists tensions from global uncerta...
Strategy: Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Market Participants: Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur: Cautious but engaged. TRADERS’ CORNER Astra Agro Lestari (AALI IJ): Technical BUY Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ): Technical BUY
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: Takeaways from Shanghai Auto Show 2025. 1Q25 results review for BYD, GWM and GAC. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Consumer: Politburo meeting: Emphasising income improvement and service consumption; prefer consumer companies with strong cost control and domestic focus. Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$397.00/Target: HK$510.00): 1Q25: Earnings double yoy, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$510.00. EVE Energy (300014 HK/BU...
1Q25 net profit fell 5.1% yoy (-21% yoy) to Rp565b, due to an absence of land sales. The trading & distribution segment remained strong, with gross profit growing 16.7% yoy and contributing 81% of total gross profit as margin expanded. Despite the absence of land sales, JIIPE contributed 12% of gross profit in 1Q25 as revenue from utilities surged. Upgrade to BUY for AKRA’s strong core performance, 8-9% dividend yield and upcoming land sales. It is trading at 9.8x 2025F PE. Target price: Rp1,350...
AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,185/Target: Rp1,350): 1Q25: Weak land sales, but strong trading and distribution business. Starting to book land sales in 2Q25. Upgrade to BUY. Astra International (ASII IJ/HOLD/Rp4,860/Target: Rp5,100): EV disruption is worsening; cheap but lacks catalysts. Downgrade to HOLD. TRADERS’ CORNER Bank Jago (ARTO IJ): Technical BUY Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ): Technical BUY
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: A divergence between exports and imports. Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Sales recovery weakened in Apr 25; watch for further policy support and the implications of Hong Kong’s free trade status. Results Zijin Mining (2899 HK/BUY/HK$17.22/Target: HK$24.00): 1Q25: In line; poised to capitalise on gold price surge with robust production growth. Update Kingboard Laminates Holdings (1888 HK/BUY/HK$7.69/Target: HK$9.58): Cautiously optimistic on 1H25; developing...
AKRA could deliver a Rp2.4t net profit in 2025, growing 9% on: a) a sales volume recovery in its trading and distribution business, and b) 90ha land sales. Despite the uncertainties, AKRA has not changed its guidance to book a Rp2.4t-2.6t net profit in 2025. The company expects to roll over the 60ha land sales target from 2024 into 2025 while the recovery in the trading and distribution business could continue. We make significant changes to our earnings estimates. Maintain HOLD. Target price: R...
Three Directors at AKR Corporindo Tbk PT bought 10,310,000 shares at between 900.000IDR and 990.219IDR. The significance rating of the trade was 59/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's dir...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: Positive signs amid deflationary pressures. Sector Automobile: Weekly: OEMs set ambitious 2025 targets. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare: Stay focused, stay innovative. Update Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company (1833 HK/BUY/HK$6.25/Target:HK$8.50): Ping An to consolidate PAGD with no privatisation intended; bright outlook for strategic businesses with increased synergies. Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$5.6...
AKRA’s 2024 preliminary results indicate a net profit of Rp2.2t in 2024, meaning it booked a Rp700b-800b net profit in 4Q24 (3Q24: Rp465b). Nevertheless, 2024 net profit is below its guidance as it failed to achieve its land sales target. We revise down our 2024/25 net profit estimates by 25%/20% and cut our land sales assumption. We expect AKRA to deliver a Rp2.4t net profit in 2025, within management’s net profit guidance of Rp2.4t-2.6t net profit in 2025. Maintain HOLD with a lower target pri...
AKRA’s 2Q24 net profit dropped 31.4% qoq (-3.6% yoy) due to: a) lower basic chemical ASP, b) lower petroleum volume, and c) lower land sales. Margin contracted as margin of the trading and distribution business declined. Gross profit from the trading and distribution business dropped 18% from a) lower chemical ASP and b) lower petroleum sales volume. We cut our 2024 net profit estimate by 6.7%. It expects to book most of its land sales guidance in 2H24. Downgrade to HOLD. Target price of Rp1,700...
GREATER CHINA Sector Hong Kong Property Developers’ low-price strategy proved effective; northbound traveling marginally weakened in Jul 24. Internet Pipeline of high-quality games as key catalyst amid strong seasonality. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/HOLD/Rp1,530/Target: Rp1,700) 2Q24: Net profit down 31% qoq, below ...
AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/HOLD/Rp1,530/Target: Rp1,700): 2Q24: Net profit down 31% qoq, below expectations. Downgrade to HOLD. Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ/SELL/Rp1,455/Target: Rp1,100): 2Q24: Above expectations, but weak performance with NPAT down 48.5% yoy. TRADERS’ CORNER Gajah Tunggal (GJTL IJ): Technical BUY Summarecon Agung (SMRA IJ): Technical BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
The JCI declined 3.3% in Apr 24 and our portfolio managed to outperform slightly, delivering a -3.2% return. The biggest gainers were SIDO (+15.2%), EXCL (+6.8%) and ACES (+3.7%). The largest losers were BBTN (-17.6%), MAPI (-16%) and CTRA (-9.8%). We think the JCI is likely to deliver another negative return in May 24. We removed EXCL, MAPI and CTRA, and add TLKM and BSDE. Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA.
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