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Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

Key takeaways from this week are: 1) BlueNord’s Q1 figures were in line with our estimates, and due to technical issues, the Tyra plateau ramp-up was prolonged to mid-Q4 (2024 production guidance reduced from >40kboed to ~35kboed); 2) DNO’s Q1 report showed net production slightly above consensus, and it announced it has acquired stakes in five fields in the Norne area from Vår Energi, adding ~3kboed of net production near-term; and 3) Panoro Energy’s Q1 trading update showed net production of 9...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$26 per share: More favourable offtake contract in Colombia – GeoPark has signe da new offtake contract with Vitol for a minimum of 20 mbbl/d. The agreement improves GeoPark’s price realizations by US$0.15/bbl vs the current agreement. As part of this transaction, GeoPark will obtain immediate access to committed funding from Vitol for up to US$300 mm, with an option to increase by another US$200 m...

 PRESS RELEASE

Parex Resources Announces Voting Results of Shareholders’ Meeting

Parex Resources Announces Voting Results of Shareholders’ Meeting CALGARY, Alberta, May 09, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Parex Resources Inc. (“Parex” or the “Company”) (TSX: PXT) is pleased to announce that on May 9, 2024, it held its annual general and special meeting of shareholders (the “Meeting”) and all matters presented for approval have been fully authorized and approved. At the Meeting, shareholders approved the election of nine nominees as directors of Parex to serve until the next annual meeting of shareholders or until their successors are elected or appointed. The results of the...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Financials in line. Operations on track.

• The 1Q24 production of 21.9 mbbl/d and cash position of ~US$194 mm at the end of March had been reported previously. • Operations are on track. Drilling is underway at the Nong Yao A platform, with two new wells that are expected to be completed in the coming week. • Drilling at the Nong Yao C development is expected to result in first oil in 3Q24 to boost production from the area to 11 mbbl/d, and later in the year there will be a 5-well infill drilling programme on Jasmine/Ban Yen, also int...

 PRESS RELEASE

Parex Resources Announces First Quarter Results, First Production at A...

Parex Resources Announces First Quarter Results, First Production at Arauca, and Declaration of Increased Q2 2024 Dividend CALGARY, Alberta, May 08, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Parex Resources Inc. (“Parex” or the “Company”) (TSX: PXT) is pleased to announce its financial and operating results for the three-month period ended March 31, 2024, and the declaration of its increased Q2 2024 regular dividend of C$0.385 per share. All amounts herein are in United States Dollars (“USD”) unless otherwise stated. “This year, we have made significant progress in executing our strategy and ...

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating

Refining margins retreated again in April, by USD 1.2/bbl, to USD 12.6/bbl, remaining about 40% higher than usual for the season. Petrol cracks continued their seasonal rising trend, but diesel weakened more. Polymer margins had a positive month, but olefins and aromatics saw their margins go the other way.

 PRESS RELEASE

DNO Reports Strong First Quarter Results, Steps Up North Sea Activity

DNO Reports Strong First Quarter Results, Steps Up North Sea Activity Oslo, 8 May 2024 – DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, today reported first quarter 2024 operating profit of USD 61 million, 61 percent higher than the previous quarter, on the back of revenues totaling USD 183 million. Free cash flow at USD 44 million was up 31 percent from the fourth quarter of 2023. Net production climbed 14 percent quarter-on-quarter and averaged 74,800 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) in the first three months of 2024, to which the Kurdistan region of Iraq contributed 57,200 boep...

 PRESS RELEASE

Key Information Relating to Cash Dividend

Key Information Relating to Cash Dividend Oslo, 8 May 2024 - DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, today announced that pursuant to the authorization granted at the Annual General Meeting held on 25 May 2023, the Board of Directors has approved a dividend payment of NOK 0.25 per share to be made on or about 28 May 2024 to all shareholders of record as of 21 May 2024. DNO shares will be traded ex-dividend as of 16 May 2024. Dividend amount: NOK 0.25 per shareDeclared currency: NOKLast day including right: 15 May 2024Ex-date: 16 May 2024Record date: 21 May 2024Payment date: 28 May 202...

 PRESS RELEASE

DNO Acquires Portfolio of Producing Assets Boosting Position in Norne ...

DNO Acquires Portfolio of Producing Assets Boosting Position in Norne Area Offshore Norway Oslo, 8 May 2024 – DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, today announced that the Company’s wholly-owned subsidiary DNO Norge AS has entered into an agreement to acquire stakes in five oil and gas fields in the Norne area in the Norwegian Sea from Vår Energi ASA. The transaction creates a new core area for DNO in the North Sea as DNO will hold interests in all producing and under development fields in the greater Norne area, including the Norne hub.  The transaction includes an interest in fo...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

OMV exceeded market expectations in Q1 2024

Key Message OMV reported a clean CCS-based operating result of EUR 1,483 mn, marking a29% decrease YoY, but a 4% increase QoQ. This result is also considerablyabove the consensus estimate by 7%. With this result, OMV exceeded marketconsensus by 15%. The positive surprise was driven by the Chemicals(Petrochemistry) and Energy (E&P) segments, although the Fuels and Feedstocksegment performed below expectations.Key positives The most significant positive development is the recovery indicated by E...

 PRESS RELEASE

Invitation to DNO Q1 2024 Earnings Call

Invitation to DNO Q1 2024 Earnings Call Oslo, 6 May 2024 – DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, will publish its Q1 2024 operating and interim financial results on 8 May at 07:00 (CET). A videoconference call with executive management will follow at 12:30 (CET). Please visit for login details ahead of the call. – For further information, please contact:Media:  Investors:  – DNO ASA is a Norwegian oil and gas operator active in the Middle East, the North Sea and West Africa. Founded in 1971 and listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange, the Company holds stakes in onshore an...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, we published a note on Aker BP highlighting our growing concerns of sharp cuts to consensus FCF, with capex assumptions beyond 2026 looking far too low to us – we are ~40% below consensus on 2027–2030e FCF. As well as BW Energy’s Q1 trading update revealing net production just below our estimate, it announced a sale & leaseback agreement, which we see as marginally accretive to our NAV. In other news, we believe the Tyra ramp-up will be in focus in BlueNord’s Q1 results, due next week

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.75 per share: Raising new equity to fund a high impact activity programme – ADX has raised A$13.5 mm of new equity priced at A$0.105 per share. One free-attaching option will be issued for evert two placement shares with an exercise price of A$0.15 per share and an expiry date of 08/05/2026. The proceeds from the raise will fund (1) the production testing of the 450 m gas column encountered at ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all geographies in the green in Ap...

EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE SHOPER SA
AIRA BOROUGE
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
GEVORKYAN A.S.
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Aker BP (Buy, TP: NOK290.00) - Capex concerns looming

While investor concerns appear tilted towards a near-term production decline, we are increasingly concerned that consensus FCF will face meaningful negative revisions, as capex assumptions beyond 2026 look far too low. For 2027–2030, our FCF estimates are ~40% below consensus. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK290 (325) on a lower fair P/NAV.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Drilling to restart in EG in June. 70% 2...

Positive update in Gabon • 1Q24 gross production was 24,840 boe/d increasing to 29,800 boe/d to date in 2Q24 (Panoro WI: 17.5%). • The increasing production reflects the first Hibiscus South well coming on stream in March and encouraging production performance from two wells on ESP at Hibiscus. A third Hibiscus well continues to produce on natural flow at high rate. • We anticipate production will continue to grow given the addition of a recently completed well at Ruche that is expected to be pu...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SPL PW; PEO PW; PCF PW; EBS AV; OMV AV; BOROUGE UH; SNP RO...

HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q24 results – 19%+ headline ROE affected only slightly by FX mortgage saga costs • Bank Pekao: 1Q24 results in line with market's expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 4Q23 headlines hit heavily by write-offs, but a more limited EBITDA loss than we had expected NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q24 results – chemicals stronger than expected NEUTRAL • Borouge: 1Q24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • Garan...

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