GREATER CHINA Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) 3Q24: Risk-and-reward is more balanced. Upgrade to BUY. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb24.42/Target: Rmb22.70) 3Q24: Net profit misses, but visibility of recovery improving. Downgrade to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$62.15/Target: US$85.00) 1QFY25: In line; moderated growth outlook in 2QFY25 on low seasonality. Update Xtep International Holdings (...
BBL reported 3Q24 earnings of Bt12.5b (+10% yoy, +6% qoq). The results exceeded our forecasts and consensus estimates by 11% and 9% respectively. Non-II was the key boost to net profit in 3Q24, mainly from investment gains. Credit costs improved qoq. NPL ratio continued to rise qoq. The surprise policy rate cut pressured both NIM and bottom line. We revise our forecasts to incorporate the impact of the rate cute. Due to a lack of catalysts in the near term, we downgrade BBL to HOLD with a lower ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Initiate Coverage Plan B Media (PLANB TB/HOLD/Bt7.90/Target: Bt9.00) Positive yoy and qoq earnings growth in 2H24; no new catalyst in 2025. Results Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/HOLD/Bt156.00/Target: Bt178.00) 3Q24: Results beat expectations; policy rate cut pressures NIM and net profit. Downgrade to HOLD. Update Supalai (SPALI TB/HOLD/Bt20.70/Target: Bt20.30) Expect 3Q24 earnings to increase yoy and qoq.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound as the impact of holiday diminishes; 3Q24 results preview. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Minth, Tuopu and Desay SV. IT Hardware: AI investment remains robust, non-AI recovery sluggish but starting to see positive signals. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Update CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical Co (300765 CH/BUY/Rmb29.28/Target: Rmb37.00): Proposes acquisition of CSPC Baike for Rmb7.6b. INDONESIA Update Bank Neo Commerce (BBYB IJ/BUY/R...
GREATER CHINA Strategy PBOC Turns On The Tap The PBOC announced a series of easing measures on Tuesday. INDONESIA Update Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp5,275/Target: Rp5,800) About 70% of car and motorcycle sales to benefit from rate cut. Upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Results MyNews Holdings (MNHB MK/SELL/RM0.60/Target: RM0.52) 3QFY24: Results improved sequentially but disappointed consensus expectations. Valuations...
GREATER CHINA Sector Hong Kong Property Results wrap-up for Hong Kong developers: Navigating the cycle. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,270/Target: Rp2,900) Fixed broadband ARPU might increase by 10% post-acquisition of ServeCo. MALAYSIA Sector Utilities A strong 2Q24 with companies coming in broadly within expe...
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb9.96/Target: Rmb12.50) 1H24: Results lower than expected; striving for growth amid weak economic conditions. ENN Energy Holdings (2688 HK/HOLD/HK$53.50/Target: HK$58.40) 1H24: Below expectations; earnings dragged by sluggish new installation and absence of LNG trading gain. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$11.36/Target: HK$15.41) 1H24 Interim results remains stable yoy; retail portfolio being ...
BBL reported 2Q24 earnings of Bt11.8b (+5% yoy, +12% qoq). The results exceeded our forecasts and consensus estimates by 6% and 10% respectively. Non-II was the key boost to net profit in 2Q24, mainly from investment gains. However, credit costs and NPL ratio continued to rise qoq as the bank set aside provisions for any uncertainties. On a positive note, funding costs rose at a slower pace. NIM stabilised qoq in 2Q24, which is a positive sign. We maintain BUY with a target price of Bt168.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/BUY/Bt137.50/Target: Bt168.00) 2Q24: Results beat expectations; credit costs and NPL ratio rose. Update Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB/SELL/Bt45.75/Target: Bt46.00) Expect strong 2Q24 results but a weak 2H24. Downgrade to SELL. Major Cineplex (MAJOR TB/BUY/Bt12.40/Target: Bt18.00) 2Q24 results preview: Another dull quarter. Origin Property (ORI TB/BUY/Bt4.48/Target: Bt6.20) ...
GREATER CHINA Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$241.40/Target: HK$310.00) A head of steam or a flash in the pan? Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (600887 CH/BUY/Rmb26.21/Target: Rmb30.60) Lower 2024 revenue expectation; expects active channel adjustments to lead to better liquid milk sales in 2H24. Meituan (3690 HK/BUY/HK$119.10/Target: HK$139.00) 2Q24 results preview: ISHT margin to stabili...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Call Adding ASMPT, Innovent, Poly Property Services, TAL Education and Trip.com to our BUY list; hedging with SELL call on BYD. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$3.95/Target: HK$4.76) 1Q24 preview: Expecting interim DPS to more than double. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Jun 24 And 2Q24 Our picks are BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSM...
BBL reported 1Q24 earnings of Bt10.5b (+4% yoy, +19% qoq). The results were in line with our forecasts but below consensus estimates by 5.2%. The credit costs and NPL ratio rose unexpectedly. However, the loan loss coverage ratio remains high to cushion future uncertainties. NIM contracted as expected due to rising funding cost. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt155.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/HOLD/Bt143.50/Target: Bt155.00) 1Q24: Results in line; unexpected rise in credit costs and NPL ratio. Update Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt43.75/Target: Bt52.00) Resilient SAF outlook prompts further earnings upgrade.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales up 21% yoy/19% wow in the second week of April, in line. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, Li Auto and XPeng. Top BUYs: CATL and Desay SV. Results Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb18.95/Target: Rm17.10): 4Q23: Misses expectations on operating expenses. Margin pressure may continue through 2024. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$7.00): Expect double-digit% yoy growth in retail sell-through for 2Q24 and 2024. IN...
OVERWEIGHT on Indonesia banks as they offer the highest earnings growth in 2024/25 and benefit from the recent rally in commodity prices. We like Singapore banks for their attractive dividend yields. Our top BUYs are DBS (Target: S$43.25), CIMB (Target: RM7.33), SCB X (Target: Bt130) and BMRI (Target: Rp7,900). We also like OCBC (Target: S$18.15), RHB (Target: RM6.18) and BBNI (Target: Rp6,300) as attractive yield plays.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: 2024 as a year of pullback as evidenced by ytd data. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Ganfeng Lithium. Renewable Energy: Solar: Awaiting catalyst for sustainable valuation recovery; the rise of N-type cell. Update Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/SELL/HK$9.18/Target: HK$9.00): Margin pressure bigger than expected; downgrade from BUY to HOLD. Cut target price from HK$13.50 to HK$9.00. Li Auto (2015 HK/SELL/HK$113.20/Target: HK$100.00): Double wham...
BBL reported 4Q23 earnings of Bt8.8b (+17% yoy, -22% qoq). The results were in line with our forecasts but below consensus estimates by 19%, driven by lower-thanexpected non-II from investment losses. The share price dropped 13% since the asset quality concerns in 3Q23. The concerns have since been priced in. BBL’s asset quality outlook is healthier now. We upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of Bt176.00.
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