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Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Golden Week -- Modest Consumption Trend With S...

We observed the following trends in holiday consumption: a) jewellery performed well on rising gold prices; b) retail and catering consumption was modest, with growth decelerating from that during the 2025 Spring Festival and Labour Day; c) specialty retail (duty-free) saw per capita spending improve; and d) consumers continued to show enthusiasm for tourism and leisure spending, with domestic long-haul travel and outbound travel gaining popularity. The lower-than-expected Macau visitor arrivals...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Ministry Of Commerce Issues Plan To Expand Ser...

On 16 Sep 25, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other government departments jointly issued a plan to expand service consumption. This plan introduces 19 measures focusing on five areas. We highlight IP-related consumption and tourism as the two primary themes positioned to benefit the most. In addition, the government plans to optimise student vacation schedules by exploring the possibility of shortening winter and summer vacations while introducing spring and autumn vacations to increase the ...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: 2Q25/1H25 Results Wrap-up

In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are committed to enhancing shareholder returns. W...

Audrey Celia ... (+10)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Lester Siew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, September 10, 2025

Greater China Sector Updates | Consumer In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are c...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Wuliangye Yibin (000858 CH): 2Q25: Net profit decline dragged by margi...

Wuliangye's 2Q25 revenue was largely flat yoy. Net profit decreased by 8% yoy, due to: a) decline in gross margin, b) increase in selling expenses, and c) increase in sales tax. Contract liabilities recorded steady growth at 24% yoy. In 1H25, the company further expanded its distribution network and strengthened banquetrelated consumption, with revenue from the Wuliangye series rising by 5% yoy. Maintain BUY and target price unchanged at Rmb149.90.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+15)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kate Luang
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Thursday, August 28, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$24.46/Target: HK$28.90) Anhui Conch Cement reported 1H25 earnings of Rmb4,367.9m (+31.3% yoy), representing 42.5% of our full-year estimates, slightly above expectations. Gross margin for self-produced products rose to 28.9% (+5.8ppt yoy). Cement ASP edged up 1.5% yoy, while unit production cost fell 7.1% yoy, mainly on a 13.8% drop in fuel and power costs. Cement and clinker sales volume was broadly stable at 126mt (-0.4% yoy), outperfo...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sal...

During the Labour Day holiday (1-5 May), Macau's visitor arrivals significantly beat the government's expectation. Retail and catering sales showed a modest improvement in terms of yoy growth compared with the Chinese New Year holiday, while home appliance sales continued to benefit from the trade-in programme, with premium products demonstrating robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the China consumer sector. Our top picks include CR Beer, Mengniu, and Moutai.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+15)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, May 07, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Market watch around May holiday: New-home sales recovery weakens in Apr 25; the trend of Hong Kong resident travelling north remains strong. Sector Consumer Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sales during Labour Day Holiday. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target:...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
5168 HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BHD.
PTT PTT PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
GAM GAMUDA BHD
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
HEIM HEINEKEN MALAYSIA BHD
BANPU TB BANPU
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
HLBANK HONG LEONG BANK BHD
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Wuliangye Yibin (000858 CH): 2024: Results miss. Maintains robust cont...

Wuliangye’s 2024 results missed expectations. However, the company maintained robust contract liabilities as of end-1Q25 and recorded strong cash flow from the sales of goods in 1Q25. For 2025, the company is targeting revenue growth to be in line with macroeconomic growth, enhancing both brand value and market share. In 1Q25, its sales exceeded the full-year growth target, based on our estimation. Maintain BUY; cut target price by 7% to Rmb149.90.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, April 28, 2025

Sector Automobile This week, we have takeaways from the 2025 Shanghai Auto Show. OEMs like BYD and Geely showcased promising new models, eg Ocean-S, Galaxy Warship. BYD’s 1Q25 net profit doubled yoy, in line with expectations. GWM’s 1Q25 earnings missed estimates on margins. We downgrade GWM from BUY to SELL. EVE Energy’s 1Q25 results beat estimates on shipments and margins. We upgrade EVE Energy from SELL to BUY. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Consumer The Politb...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+17)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Lester Siew
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, April 28, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: Takeaways from Shanghai Auto Show 2025. 1Q25 results review for BYD, GWM and GAC. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Consumer: Politburo meeting: Emphasising income improvement and service consumption; prefer consumer companies with strong cost control and domestic focus. Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$397.00/Target: HK$510.00): 1Q25: Earnings double yoy, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$510.00. EVE Energy (300014 HK/BU...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: The State Council issued a plan on special ini...

On 16 March, the State Council issued a plan on special initiatives to boost consumption, aiming to increase spending power by increasing income and reducing financial burdens, generate effective demand through high-quality supply, and improve the consumption environment to strengthen consumers’ willingness to spend. In the China consumer sector, we prefer Anta, CR Beer, Galaxy, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Yili. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Satisfactory consumption momentum during CNY.

Consumption during the CNY demonstrated a satisfactory momentum. Daily average sales revenue of consumer-related industries grew 11% yoy, with the home appliances and furnishing category recording the highest growth rate. Domestic tourism per capita spending increased 1% yoy and recovered to 95% of 2019’s level, and Hainan DF per capita spending rose 4% yoy. Macau visitations recovered to 95% of 2019’s level. In the China consumer space, we prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands Ch...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+15)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, January 27, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
5162 VSTECS
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
CAB CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA B
CPALL TB CP ALL
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
2209 YESASIA HOLDINGS LTD
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
VST VSTECS BHD
Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Baijiu: Industry remains under pressure; conservative tone towar...

We believe the baijiu industry will remain under pressure in 2025, given the ongoing macro headwinds. Against this backdrop, baijiu companies remain relatively conservative toward 2025, while they prioritise maintaining channel healthiness and stabilising wholesale prices as their key tasks. We lower the 2025 revenue and earnings forecasts for our baijiu coverage by 5-8%/5-9%. Downgrade the baijiu sector to UNDERWEIGHT.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+12)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Lester Siew
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, January 15, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Positive signs despite weak credit demand. Sector Baijiu Industry remains under pressure; conservative tone toward 2025; channel healthiness and price stability the key focuses. Downgrade the baijiu sector to UNDERWEIGHT. Metals and Mining ...

Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Wuliangye Yibin (000858 CH): 3Q24: Revenue growth below expectation; t...

Wuliangye’s 3Q24 revenue grew 1% yoy, lower than expectation despite the high-base effect being taken consideration. The decelerated revenue growth should also trigger investors’ concerns on the company’s growth outlook for the next year. On a positive note, Wuliangye announced that it will maintain an annual payout ratio of >70% from 2024-26. The total cash amount of the dividend will not be lower than Rmb20b each year, with a possibility of interim or special dividends. Maintain BUY but cut ta...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Thursday, October 31, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50) ASMPT’s Semi solution business registered better-than-expected revenue and margins in 3Q24 thanks to robust advanced packaging demand, which led to a 10% beat vs our operating profit estimates, although reported net profit ended up below expectations due to forex loss. ASMPT will remain a key beneficiary of the AI investment trend, and we recommend accumulating after its recent share price correction. Maintain BUY. Target p...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, October 31, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50): 3Q24: Reported earnings miss expectations on forex loss but core business recovery picking up; maintain BUY. BYD Company (1211 HK/HOLD/HK$295.00/Target: HK$260.00): 3Q24: Earnings up 12% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain HOLD. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.97/Target: HK$6.70): 3Q24: Earnings growth returns to positive territory on lower credit cost. Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb24.84/Target: Rmb...

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