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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos Q4 FY24 review: Inflationary telco market

Japan’s mobile sector accelerated again in Q4 and we think is heading to above inflation. With both KDDI and DCM recently announcing price increases the environment is increasingly benign and should be helped by NTT’s recent acquisition of SBI Sumishin Net Bank. Our recent trip to Japan highlighted how positive the environment is; NTT stays our preferred pick, with KDDI closely behind.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services: Share Price Appreciation, Confident FY25 Forecasts an...

Lindsay Whipp reviews the recent earnings performance of the IT Sector and assesses their outlook for FY25. Orders are strong, backlogs are growing and there are some attractive valuations – particularly for IIJ.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, TP: ¥215, +38%) NTT to acquire SBI Sumishin Bank and a mino...

As has been widely rumoured, NTT has offered to acquire up to 66% of SBI Sumishin Bank (7163-JP), in a bid to strengthen its financial services offering. The offer price (¥3,615) represents a 10% premium to yesterday’s price, but actually around 10% below today’s closing price.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Takeaways from Meetings with the Japanese Telcos + Rakuten in Tokyo. D...

We met with all 3 of the incumbent Japanese Telcos & Rakuten in Tokyo last week, as well as visiting Osaka to talk to NTT in more depth about IOWN. Overall, we remain bullish on Japanese telcos operationally and buyers of all three incumbents. NTT remains our top pick followed by KDDI.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, TP: ¥215, +38%) Q4 FY24 Quick Take: Topline ahead but profi...

NTT reported results today, following yesterday’s announcement to buy out the minorities of NTT Data. Revenue was better than anticipated with Global Solutions performing well and there were signs of improving mobile trends.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, TP: ¥215, +44%) NTT offers to buy out NTT Data – Quick thou...

As rumoured, NTT has offered to buy out the minorities (~42.3%) of NTT Data via a tender offer, at a 34% premium, or ¥4,000 per share. This is a slightly lower premium than we would have expected and implies a transaction value for the minority stake of ¥2.4tn (USD 16.5bn). Quick thoughts below.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services: Sector Strategy

Tariffs and the threat of a global economic downturn make the case for owning IT service companies even stronger, argues analyst Lindsay Whipp in this report, with productivity enhancement tools potentially to be in even greater demand.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos Q3 FY24 review: Diverging expectations; NTT still pre...

Aggregate service revenue trended better on higher contribution from non-mobile, coupled with mobile improvement. Industry mobile was primarily driven by Softbank’s outperformance. Q3 EBITDA dropped on higher mobile marketing costs at NTT which the company seeks to offset through cost efficiencies. DOCOMO is the clear mobile underperformer, but we believe expectations for Fixed recovery is still low, plus there is IOWN optionality. NTT remains our preferred pick.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, ¥240, +63%) Q3 FY24 Quick Take: Early signs of progress in ...

NTT closed 2% lower today as EBIT missed materially on higher-than-expected costs in Docomo’s mobile and enterprise arm.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA Information Technology / IT Services: NTT Data (9613 JT) – The Dat...

Tags: NTT Corp (9432 JT), Equinix (EQIX US), Iron Mountain (IRM US), Amazon (AMZN US), Microsoft (MSFT US), Google (GOOG US), Digital Realty Trust (DLR US), QTS (owned by Blackstone (BX US)), CyrusOne (owned by KKR (KKR US) and Global Infrastructure Partners (pvt), Cyxtera (owned by Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP US)), Cologix (pvt), Meta (META US), Apple (AAPL US), Oracle (ORCL US), Netflix (NFLX US), Money Forward (3994 JT), Digital Realty Trust (DLR US), DataBridge Group (DBRG US), N...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos & Internet What to expect in 2025: Mixed

After 3 good years, 2024 was not great for the Japanese incumbents; with KDDI and SoftBank rising modestly and NTT falling, but all underperforming the Nikkei. In our view, risk is rising in Mobile, although we continue to see the sector as fundamentally undervalued. Rakuten performed well in 2024, but this was really to do with balance sheet risk easing on the back of cost cutting/refinancing rather than better traction in Mobile.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos Q2 FY24 review: Stable growth with better profitabili...

Service revenue slowed for the incumbents but stayed in the low-single digit band, with Softbank still ahead followed by NTT. Mobile divergence continues to play out with SB leading the pack and is likely to remain so in our view. Industry EBITDA improved as NTT inflected to growth and led to a strong EBIT beat this quarter.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA ERP Software / IT Services: NTT Data (9613 JT) FY24 Q2 Results

Analyst Lindsay Whipp takes us through the blowout quarter from NTT Data and reviews the outlook for the full year.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, TP: ¥240, +59%) Q2 FY24 Quick Take: Decent beat on topline ...

NTT outperformed expectations for revenue and EBIT by 1.6% and 4.8% respectively, backed by another strong quarter for Global Solutions and easing decline in its Fixed Line business.

 PRESS RELEASE

NTT DATA Collaborates with Leading Academic Medical System on New Mode...

PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- , a global leader in healthcare IT, and Duke Health, a world-class academic and healthcare system, are collaborating to create a highly interactive and technologically advanced model for augmented home care delivery. This new home-care model will integrate multiple technologies, including a GenAI-driven virtual agent from Ellipsis Health, automation, device interoperability, remote patient monitoring and a patient app and portal. The solution will keep medical staff in direct contact with the patient to ensure a human is always in the loop while allowing patien...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos - Takeaways from Meetings with the Japanese Telcos + R...

We met with all 3 of the incumbent Japanese Telcos & Rakuten in Tokyo this week. Every time we visit, we are reminded of how much better the telco industry is in Japan vs other DMs, as the MNOs continue to expand their scope of operations beyond traditional telco driving higher returns and growth.

 PRESS RELEASE

City of Brownsville, Texas, Taps NTT DATA to Build Connected City With...

PLANO, Texas & BROWNSVILLE, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- a global digital business and IT services leader, has been selected by the , to deploy NTT DATA’s Smart Solutions and Private 5G (P5G) wireless connectivity. The city seeks to enhance citizen services, increase public safety, achieve sustainability and effectively manage growth by leveraging real-time data analytics and AI empowered by a seamless and secure wireless network. “The future is coming to life in Brownsville today as we partner with NTT DATA to set a new standard for smart, connected and sustainable cities,” said John Cowen, Jr...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos Q1 FY24 review: Softbank outperforming

Incumbents led a faster service revenue growth in Q1 driven by non-mobile, with Softbank ahead. Industry mobile growth kept steady but the continued divergence in mobile trend between NTT and peers appears to confirm the benefits of integrated financial services. Softbank was the notable share gainer this quarter (1.1% MSR gain sequentially), having grown its mobile ARPU for the first time since FY19.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, TP: ¥240, +61%) Q1 FY24 Quick Take: Profitability largely i...

NTT reported before close today and while revenue was ahead of estimates and guidance, operating income and profit were largely in line with its full year guidance. In contrast to peers, Mobile performance is lagging with ARPU trend not recovering. Separately, the company announced a buyback up to ¥ 200bn (US$ 1.37bn), a positive given the stock’s YTD performance.

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