reports
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
BBVA : Potential M&A deal with Banco Sabadell – initial assessment
>The underlying strategic rationale is still there… - In a surprise move, BBVA announced its concrete/formal interest in Banco Sabadell the day after reporting its Q1 2024 results and probably following a leak in the media. It is still too early, in the absence of details around the terms, to properly evaluate the relevance of the move (we clearly maintain our positive stance on the stock and our target price at this stage), although we can already provide an initial ...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
BBVA : Potentiel deal M&A avec Banco Sabadell – 1ers éléments de réfle...
>La logique stratégique de fond reste là… - BBVA a annoncé de façon surprise son intérêt concret/formel pour Banco Sabadell au lendemain de la publication de ses résultats T1 2024 et probablement après une fuite dans les médias. Il est encore tôt, faute de détails sur les termes, pour appréhender correctement la pertinence de l’opération (nous maintenons logiquement notre approche positive sur le titre et notre OC à ce stade), toutefois nous pouvons d’ores-et-déjà app...
- Carole Braudeau
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
RXL REXEL SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ORSTED ORSTED
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
RAA RATIONAL AG
AENA AENA SME SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
WLN WORLDLINE SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
GSK GSK PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/02/2024
We are removing GALP from our ODDO BHF European Large Caps list. The stock has chalked up a performance of +31.3% since its inclusion in the list on 20 March. Our analyst is adopting today a Neutral recommendation (vs Outperform) on the stock. - ...
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
RXL REXEL SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ORSTED ORSTED
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
RAA RATIONAL AG
AENA AENA SME SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
WLN WORLDLINE SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
GSK GSK PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
- Carole Braudeau
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
CaixaBank : Good operational and capital performance in Q1 2024
>Outperform rating confirmed – target price lifted to € 6.4 (vs € 5.9) - The Q1 2024 figures for CABK confirm the favourable trend, both on the operating front, confirming and even improving guidance (RoTE now expected >16%), and on the balance sheet front (CET1 FL >12%) in 2024. This robustness, coupled with the adequate diversification of the business model, confirms the stock as one of our Top Picks in the sector in the uncertain/challenging current context (macro,...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
CaixaBank : Opérationnel & capital au beau fixe au T1 2024
>Opinion Surperformance confortée – OC porté à 6.4 € (vs 5.9 €) - Les chiffres T1 2024 de CABK viennent confirmer la tendance favorable à la fois sur le plan opérationnel validant voire améliorant les guidances (RoTE dorénavant attendu >16%) et bilanciel (CET1 FL >12%) en 2024. Cette robustesse, couplée à la diversification adéquate du business model, conforte le titre parmi nos top picks au sein du secteur dans le contexte actuel incertain/challenging (macro, taux…)....
- Carole Braudeau
Credit Morning 04/30/2024
Iliad Holding plans to issue new bonds to fund the investment in Tele2 and a tender on Iliad Holding 2026 notesIsabel Marant: well preserved liquidity but further deep fall in the wholesale order bookVerisure markets new bonds with two special covenants linked to a potential IPOBUT/Mobilux: new bond offering with the inclusion of Conforama into the scope>...
- Michael B. Schäfer
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024
BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
DG VINCI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
HO THALES SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
DAI DAIMLER AG
QIA QIAGEN NV
RXL REXEL SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
- Carole Braudeau
Morning Crédit 30/04/2024
Isabel Marant : liquidité supérieure aux attentes mais nouvelle chute du carnet de commandesBUT/Mobilux : Nouvelle émission obligataire avec intégration de Conforama dans le périmètreIliad Holding compte émettre des de nouvelles obligations pour financer l’investissement dans Tele2 et un tender sur la souche Iliad Holding 2026Verisure commercialise des nouvelles obligations avec deux covenants spéciaux liés à une potentielle IPO>...
- Michael B. Schäfer
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
DG VINCI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
HO THALES SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
DAI DAIMLER AG
QIA QIAGEN NV
RXL REXEL SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
- Javier Esteban
- Fehmi Ben Naamane
Whitbread : Full-year results in line but planned share buybacks and d...
>Full-year results in line with expectations. Disposal of 126 restaurants and share buyback programme - Whitbread just reported its FY 2023 results (to end-February 2024), which are good quality and broadly in line with expectations. Group revenues, at € 2.96bn (ODDO BHFe at £ 2.925bn, FactSet consensus at £ 2.988bn), came in 13% higher y-o-y, vs 17% in H1, or growth of 9% in H2, which reflects, as expected, tougher comps and a normalisation of growth in UK hotels. Gr...
- Fehmi Ben Naamane
Whitbread : Des résultats annuels en ligne mais les annonces de rachat...
>Des résultats annuels en ligne avec les attentes. Cession de 126 restaurants et programme de rachat d’actions - Whitbread vient de publier des résultats annuels 2023 (à fin février 2024), de bonne facture, globalement en ligne avec les attentes. Les revenus groupe, à 2960 Md£ (ODDO BHFe à 2925 Md£, css FactSet à 2988 Md£) sont en hausse de 13% yoy, contre 17% au S1, soit une croissance de 9% au S2, qui reflète, comme attendu, la base de comparaison plus difficile et ...
- Maria Paz Ojeda
CAIXABANK: 1Q’24 RESULTS AND CHANGE OF T.P. TO UNDER REVISION (ANÁLISI...
1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results N.I.I.: € 2.781 Bn (+27.5% vs. +23.7% BS(e) and +24.0% consensus); Total Revenues: € 3.496 Bn (+12.7% vs. +8.3% BS(e) and +12.0% consensus); Operating Profit: € 1.988 Bn (+19.8% vs. +11.1% BS(e) and +18.4% consensus); Net Profit: € 1.004 Bn (+17.4% vs. +8.1% BS(e) and +17.3% consensus); 1Q'24 vs. 4Q'23 Results N.I.I.: € 2.781 Bn (+1.2% vs. -1.8% BS(e) and -1.6% consensus); Total Revenues: € 3.496 Bn (-1.3% vs. -5.2% BS(e) and -2.0% consensus); Operating Profit: € 1.988 Bn...
- Javier Esteban
SANTANDER: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23: NII: € 11.983 Bn (+17.7% vs. +11.5% BS(e) and +12.6% consensus); Total Revenues: € 15.380 Bn (+10.4% vs. +8.4% BS(e) and +8.5% consensus); Operating Income: € 8.833 Bn (+13.4% vs. +10.5% BS(e) and +10.8% consensus); Net Profit: € 2.852 Bn (+10.9% vs. +12.2% BS(e) and 12.3% consensus). 1Q'24 vs. 4Q'23: NII: € 11.983 Bn (+7.7% vs. +2.1% BS(e) and +3.1% consensus); Total Revenues: € 15.380 Bn (+5.7% vs. +3.8% BS(e) and +3.9% consensus); Operating Income: € 8.833 Bn (+9.2% vs. +6.4...
- Maria Paz Ojeda
CAIXABANK: RDOS. 1T’24 Y CAMBIO DE P.O. A BAJO REVISIÓN (ANÁLISIS BANC...
Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: M. Intereses: 2.781 M euros (+27,5% vs +23,7% BS(e) y +24,0% consenso); M. Bruto: 3.496 M euros (+12,7% vs +8,3% BS(e) y +12,0% consenso); M. Neto: 1.988 M euros (+19,8% vs +11,1% BS(e) y +18,4% consenso); BDI: 1.004 M euros (+17,4% vs +8,1% BS(e) y +17,3% consenso). Rdos. 1T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Intereses: 2.781 M euros (+1,2% vs -1,8% BS(e) y -1,6% consenso); M. Bruto: 3.496 M euros (-1,3% vs -5,2% BS(e) y -2,0% consenso); M. Neto: 1.988 M euros (-5,1% vs -12,0% BS(e) y -6,2% ...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
BBVA : Decent set of Q1 2024 results and 2024 guidance lifted
>Outperform rating confirmed – target price lifted to € 13.3 (vs € 12.9) - BBVA posted a good operating performance in Q1 2024, confirming both its solid balance sheet and its prospects for improved profitability/return to shareholders. The group is confident in its 2024 guidance, with an improved outlook for net profit (double-digit growth), driven in particular by the better performance of NII in Spain and the continued good momentum for the core top line, coupled w...
- Javier Esteban
SANTANDER: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: M. Intereses: 11.983 M euros (+17,7% vs +11,5% BS(e) y +12,6% consenso); M. Bruto: 15.380 M euros (+10,4% vs +8,4% BS(e) y +8,5% consenso); M. Neto: 8.833 M euros (+13,4% vs +10,5% BS(e) y +10,8% consenso); BDI: 2.852 M euros (+10,9% vs +12,2% BS(e) y 12,3% consenso). Rdos. 1T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Intereses: 11.983 M euros (+7,7% vs +2,1% BS(e) y +3,1% consenso); M. Bruto: 15.380 M euros (+5,7% vs +3,8% BS(e) y +3,9% consenso); M. Neto: 8.833M euros (+9,2% vs +6,4% BS(e) y +6,7...
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