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Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: TRIP, WBD/NFLX, TPH/1911, 6201, EA, KCO/WS, UBI, AAV, OS,...

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD - $28.11) and Netfilx Inc. (NFLX - $75.86)News Reports Paramount Enlists Top Shareholder in Push to De-Rail Pending Merger.Paramount (PSKY) is in discussions to nominate Matt Halbower, CEO of Pentwater Capital Management, to WBD's board as part of a proxy fight aim

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

What Does the PSKY Announcement of Compliance Mean?

As part of a new bid to buy WBD, PSKY announced that it had already complied with the DOJ’s second request. Investors have been asking about how to understand this announcement, how the timing of this review compares with other DOJ investigations and what are the paths forward for the antitrust review of both PSKY and NFLX’s bid. In this note we address those questions.

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: BARK, SDR, META, PFSI, APC/ARKO, 6201, BALY/GLPI, GRAB, P...

Schroders plc (SDR - £587.50)Announces £9.9 Billion All-Cash Acquisition; Offer Value £612 (£590 Cash + £22 Permitted Dividends); Expected Close 4Q'2026. Nuveen, the investment management arm of Teachers Insurance & Annuity Association of America (TIAA), agreed on February 12, 2026, to acquire

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Shopify (SHOP, Neutral, $155 target) Strong results/guidance can’t buc...

In this first take following this morning’s results we focus on: 1. SHOP’s AI narrative is strong, but SaaS sector anxiety overwhelms 2. Economics of agentic commerce are similar to online stores 3. New cohorts led GMV expansion as Europe remains a source of growth 4. Share buyback authorization likely for extreme conditions….like now? 5. Opex guidance in line but FCF margin slightly lower in 1Q25 owing to taxes

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: CYBR/PANW, WBD/NFLX, QXO, GLDD, TGNA/NXST, LSEG, TDC, KHC...

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD - $27.80) and Netflix Inc. (NFLX - $82.21)Activist Ancora ReleasesPresentation Regarding its Strong Opposition to the Currently Proposed Merger. Ancora Holdings Group, a nearly $11 billion firm with an ~$200 million economic interest in WBD, announced on February 11, 202

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Alphabet (Buy, target rises to $380) Frontier AI winner confirmed, bu...

Our target increases to $380 from $330 on higher revenue, adj. EBITDA, EPS and long-term FCF (partially offset by lower near-term FCF due to higher capex). Investment Thesis: GOOGL has given back some gains after the print, understandable considering the post-Search remedies multiple expansion. The higher capex has sunk into near-term FCF estimates and DCFs, but strong Search performance and a game-changing quarter from Cloud give us confidence in long-term AI ROIC.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Energy storage for AI datacenters: $12-40bn deployment opportunity in ...

Datacenters are increasingly co-locating battery storage to improve economics, grid resilience, and speed of deployment. We publish today our view on the energy storage opportunity in datacenters, summarized on a single slide. Please click the link for more details.

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: CYBR/PANW, EWCZ, CCO, PLBY, UNF/CTAS, YEXT, SSP/SBGI, HZO...

European Wax Center, Inc. (EWCZ - $4.00)Announces $330 Million Take-Private All-Cash Acquisition; Offer Value $5.80/share; Expected Close Mid-2026. EWCZ announced on February 10, 2026, that it has entered into a definitive agreement to be taken private by General Atlantic, a leading global investor

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The market has it backwards: Meta is the only hyperscaler overspending...

Microsoft, Google, and Amazon sold off after announcing large capex increases, while Meta rose ~10%. Our analysis suggests the market has this backwards. Please see the link for our take, summarised on a single slide.

Moody's Ratings assigns Aa2 rating to Alphabet's new senior unsecured ...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Aa2 ratings to Alphabet Inc.'s (Alphabet) proposed senior unsecured notes, which will be comprised of various maturities. Alphabet will use the proceeds from the proposed offering for general corporate purposes, which may include the repayment of some outstanding d...

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: LLY, BILL, NEXN, VAL/RIG, WBD/NFLX, TGNA/NXST, WMB, FDX, ...

BILL Holdings, Inc. (BILL - $48.94)News Reports Potential Acquisition Talks; Recall Company Targeted by Multiple Activists.According to Bloomberg, private equity firm Hellman & Friedman has been in talks to acquire BILL, a business payments & financial software platform, with the buyout gro

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