Tariffs, Tech, NATL: Reciprocal tariffs in Jeopardy?View: The Supereme Court justices appeared skeptical of the Trump administration's arguments that the Executive Branch has the power to levy broad reciprocal tariffs. While we would see a return to a pre-reciprocal tariff regimen as broadly positi
What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. Stock pops on improved results and surprise Perplexity deal 2. DR recovers & continued enthusiasm for SMBs, but large advertisers down 3. North America DAUs steady but we remain cautious as age verification rolls out 4. Perplexity boosts the AI narrative 5. Very good cost control and margins
Nothing in this print was thesis-changing or moved our numbers materially, as management continues to set the groundwork for product improvements in trust, security, and recommendations ahead of a large product launch in spring 2026, and an expected “resurgence” in 2026 and 2027, particularly at Tinder.
Magnificent Seven's Turn to Shine We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 6200 (up from 6028-6059). Additionally, we discussed since our 10/14/25 Compass how our near-term bullish outlook remains intact as long as the SPX holds above 6550-6569, which coincided with the ...
Our target declines to $800 from $900 on lower estimates. With that said, 4Q25 revenue guidance appears low, with both implied impression and pricing growth decelerating against easier comps. In the report, we also discuss the AI = Metaverse narrative that has taken hold, the addition of $30B of new debt and why we are ending share buybacks in our model.
It has been a busy week with Nvidia’s comments in Washington and three hyperscalers reporting last night. Building on these updates, we have already formed a very insightful perspective on how AI infrastructure deployments are shaping up for next year. Please follow the link for our insight summarized on a single slide.
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Aa3 ratings to Meta Platforms, Inc.'s (Meta) proposed senior unsecured notes, which will be comprised of various maturities. Meta will use the proceeds from the proposed offering for general corporate purposes. The outlook remains unchanged at stable. RATINGS RAT...
Shipments in Q4 are expected to dip 10% Q/Q given reduced inventories to pull from and Samsung's ongoing conversion of older lines (which is weighing on output).Capex: The company is considering a significant increase in capex in 2026. DRAM - Management noted spend should skew towards DRAM. For DRA
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