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Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Memory: Spot prices move higherView: While TrendForce focuses primarily on DDR4 shortages in its midweek update (and a suspension of quotes), we believe DDR5 availability has tightened further to the point where it's difficult for spot market participants to get pricing for those parts as well. And

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Samsung, Memory: Samsung expects CQ3 profit to grow 158% to ~12 Tr Won ($8.5B)View: Samsung yesterday announced its 3Q operating profit is expected to grow ~32% Y/Y to 12.1 trillion won ($8.5B), marking its highest levels since 2Q22 and far exceeding consensus of ~10 trillion won. Although detailed

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

AI Exec Series Recap: Character.ai on competing with RBLX & Insta, and...

Last week, we hosted the latest edition of our AI Executive Speaker Series with Karan Anand, CEO of Character.ai. The replay is HERE and in the report we cover key takeaways from the conversation, including: 1. Character.ai today & what lies ahead: from AI research to competing with RBLX 2. The ad opportunity & how Character leverage’s GOOGL’s AdMob, APP & META 3. Character’s work with open-source models from META’s Llama to DeepSeek to Qwen 4. Industry AI investment/returns (GOOGL, META, OpenAI...

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Samsung, NVDA: Jensen Huang reportedly confirms Samsung’s HBM3e qualView: Per News1 Korea, Jensen has personally informed Samsung that its HBM3e has passed NVIDIA’s quality qualification tests and that NVDA intends to place orders. The two companies, in turn, are now reportedly fine-tuning details

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

AWS/GCP: How long does it take to pay off an XPU?

We take a closer look at how long it takes for AWS and GCP to pay back the investment in both GPUs and custom chips (TPUs and Trainium) on both a revenue and contribution margin basis, using our estimates of per-chip costs and realized pricing for each of AWS and GCP.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

GOOGL/AMZN/META: Updated AI D&A and Lower META AI RO

we've updated our bottom-up AI depreciation analysis for GOOGL, AMZN and META following our latest AI capex update (see HERE).

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

As such, 1) we see a continued opportunity for NVDA (and other US vendors) to again sell parts into China (even assuming capabilities remain limited vs. Western product) and 2) we believe that US vendors should have a significant advantage competing in other geographies (vs. Chinese offerings) assu

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