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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Google 1Q25: Compute is king and calls for a re-platforming

Google reported 1Q25 yesterday. See our updated perspective on cloud spending, capex and technology infrastructure.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Alphabet (GOOGL, Buy, $200 target) All engines firing, but some risk ...

In this first take following tonight’s results, we touch on: 1. Advertising: risk to 2Q25 Search consensus owing to de minimus changes 2. AI Overviews: consistent monetization and now reaching 1.5B users 3. AI Mode: what we’re really excited about 4. After last quarter’s capex guidance, more capital return soothes this quarter 5. Additional Quick Hits on subscriptions, margins and AI vertical integration

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

AI monetization and how the Search market expands

Earlier this week, we had the pleasure of hosting Seth Micarelli, former Director of AI + Search Strategy and Growth at Google (and previously with AMZN’s Devices and Alexa teams) to discuss the future of AI search (e.g., Google’s AI Overviews and AI Mode, ChatGPT, Meta AI, etc.) and agentic AI (e.g., Alexa+).

Daniel Ives ... (+3)
  • Daniel Ives
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt
Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Tariff Impact Part III: The other shoe drops – lower company estimates...

Yesterday, we lowered estimates for eCommerce and digital ad spending HERE. In this report, the other shoe drops and we lower estimates and targets across our coverage.

Alicia Reese ... (+4)
  • Alicia Reese
  • Kade Barr
  • Michael Pachter
  • Scott Devitt
Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Netflix 1Q25 Update: Steady in the Storm, target to $975

Our target price increases to $975 from $900 on higher estimates and valuation.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Netflix (NFLX, Neutral, $900 target) First Take: Potential recession ...

In our first take on tonight’s results, we dig into: Long-term outlook: leaked memo is real but aspirational, not a five-year forecast Short-term: tracking above 2025 guide, ads still expected to double, UCAN re-accel Pricing power solid in face of potential macro headwinds – France price hiked International production could be a ballast against digital services taxes

Alicia Reese ... (+3)
  • Alicia Reese
  • Kade Barr
  • Michael Pachter
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