Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Momentum Starting to Wane? We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term out-look remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). It is important to note that markets do not always maintain their upward trajectory at the same pace that we have seen over the last 2-month. We would welcome pullbacks and corrective action to take place. Our nearterm bullish outlook will remain in place long as the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are ab...

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

JPMorgan Chase & Co: 1 director

A director at JPMorgan Chase & Co sold 5,201 shares at 267.443USD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cle...

Global Fintech Industry May 2025

This report looks at the global fintech industry. Fintech as an industry involves the use of technology to compete with traditional financial institutions in the delivery of financial services. Fintech is an emerging industry whose applications are employed in a range of traditional industries. The report talks about the overall market size, expected growth rates as well current trends driving the growth in the industry. Companies can also be categorized as core and non-core, the former being th...

PayPal (PYPL) Valuation Factsheet - Peer Comps, Valuation, and Fair Va...

The report gives a summary of Company's financials, valuation metrics, and peer comps along with fair value estimate. The report lists most relevant peer group and compares revenue growth and margin profile of PYPL versus its competitors.

Moody's Ratings affirms Alphabet's Aa2 ratings, assigns Aa2 ratings to...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) affirmed Alphabet Inc.'s (Alphabet) Aa2 long-term issuer rating, Aa2 senior unsecured notes ratings, and Prime-1 short term on its commercial paper program rating. We also assigned Aa2 ratings to Alphabet's proposed senior unsecured notes, which will be comprised of various...

PayPal Financial Factsheet - Growth, Valuation and Peer Comps

The report gives a detailed financial and operational snapshot of PayPal as of Q1 2025, based on company filings and independent analysis. It also lists most relevant peer group and their valuation vis-a-vis PayPal.

Moody's Ratings withdraws the ratings on seven notes issued by Bank of...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today withdrawn the A1 ratings on seven individual senior unsecured notes issued by Bank of America Corporation.  The seven notes have the following ISIN identifiers: XS1940845529, XS1998002643, XS2080088979, XS2113140524, XS2378330828, XS2443756692 and XS2868779153. ...

Moody's Ratings affirms JPMorgan Chase's servicer quality (SQ) assessm...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has affirmed the SQ2+ servicer quality assessments for JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. ("Chase") as a servicer of prime and subprime residential mortgage loans. We also affirmed the company's servicer quality assessment of SQ2+ as a master servicer. As of June 2024, the company...

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Vermilion Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis

STRATEGY Market dynamics remain risk-on, and our outlook remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 remains above 5850 and 5600-5670. Shorter-term, the S&P 500 remains above the prior bull flag support (currently 5900) that we have discussed over the past two weeks in our Compass reports, and is coiling for a likely breakout above 6100 resistance. As discussed throughout the first half of January in our Compass reports, we continue to believe that tariffs will mostly be used as a negotiation tacti...

In-Payments: X Money and Musk: risks to PayPal (Venmo), Cash App and p...

X announced last week it was partnering with Visa to develop a real-time payment system in the US. Through Visa Direct, X Money Account will support an in-platform digital wallet and peer-to-peer payments connected to users’ debit cards, with an option to transfer funds to a bank account.

JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.: Originator of Prime Jumbo Loans

Originator assessment of JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.

PayPal (BUY, TP: $100, +25%) - Solid beat at Q4; branded concerns appe...

PayPal reported another solid quarter, coming in ahead of expectations: 4% at transaction margin $ and 6% at non-GAAP EPS. Guidance for FY 25 suggests a small uplift to TM$ and EPS for the street though the bears seem (still) very focused on branded TPV growth.

Dropping Coverage

Bank of America Corporation: Q4 earnings rose on solid revenue growth,...

Net income was far stronger than a year ago, when results were hit by unusual charges. Revenue growth was solid, but revenue-related expense and franchise investments drove costs higher.

JPMorgan Chase & Co.: Franchise diversification drives a credit positi...

JPM's scale and diversification leave it in solid shape to navigate economic cycles and uncertainties.

In-Payments: a new bi-weekly blog! Paze to be Fastlane? Click to Pay ...

To kick off 2025 we’re launching “In-Payments”, a bi-weekly blog which will leverage off recent news flow for a quick dive into what we see as key themes to be tracking across the Payments and broader Fintech space.

Bank of America Corporation: Update following ratings affirmation

Our credit view of this issuer reflects a more conservative risk appetite than many peers, offset by its modest increase in utilization of short-term funding over the past year.

PYPL US (BUY, TP: $100, +12%) SQ US (Neutral, TP $70 - UR) CFPB overs...

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) issued a finalized version of a rule at the end of last week, saying it will soon supervise non-bank firms, including PayPal and Block, that offer financial services. With an inbound Trump, does this still matter?