Egypt is the MEA region’s largest producer and second largest consumer of pharmaceuticals, growing at a CAGR of 17% over 2013a-2020a, surpassing the region’s CAGR of 8%. Despite pressure during the past couple of years because of the pandemic, we forecast total pharma market to grow at a 6-year CAGR of 13.2% between 2021e -26f. During 2022f, we expect the retail pharma market to record sales of EGP95.2 billion (+10.1% YoY), while non-retail pharma sales record EGP48.0 billion (+13.4% YoY), br...
Egypt is the MEA region’s largest producer and second-largest consumer of pharmaceuticals, growing by a CAGR (2013-2019) of 19%, surpassing the region’s CAGR of 8%. Market growth is predominantly driven by out of the pocket expenditure (61% of total health expenditure), alongside a heavily growing population by c.2% per annum. Yet, Egypt still exhibits one of the lowest pharma expenditure per capita figures in the MENA region, implying vast room for future growth. We forecast the total pharma...
Cheap plays in a high growth market. Generics control c33% of Egypt’s pharma market, and due to the country’s low drug purchasing power (cUSD30 per capita in 2017), we expect this segment to outpace broader market growth (at a 2017-2021 CAGR of 23%, reaching 43% of the market by 2021). Expectations that the Ministry of Health will opt for gradual price deregulation also allow for superior growth. The MoH most recently approved price hikes in May 2016 (20% for all drugs priced less than EGP30/uni...
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