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Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ADYEN NA, ASML NA, BESI NA, FLOW NA, FUR NA, HEIA NA, ...

: ADYEN NA, ASML NA, BESI NA, FLOW NA, FUR NA, HEIA NA, HOMI BB, KIN BB, VGP BB, WDP BB, XFAB FP, AZE BB, ONWD BB

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Heineken Volume & pricing trends underpin resilient character

Heineken reported better than expected 1Q organic total volume trends (+4.3%). Even when stripping out easy comparatives in Nigeria & Vietnam, 1Q results show a combination of both underlying volume growth and further price/mix improvement which is in our opinion a testimony to the resilience of both Heineken and the broader beer category. FY24 guidance calling for a low to high single digit organic operating profit (beia) growth was maintained, but the CFO's comments in the conference call that...

Robert Jan Vos
  • Robert Jan Vos

Heineken N.V. : Strong top-line start to the year not to be extrapolat...

>Organic volume and revenue growth ahead of expectations in Q1 2024 - Heineken reported net revenue of € 6,847m in Q1 2024, slightly below our forecast of € 6,877m and below consensus of € 6,937m as well. Organic revenue growth was 9.4%, ahead of our forecast of 6.4% and consensus of 7.2%. Consolidated beer volumes were 55.4m hl, slightly below consensus of 55.7m hl and ahead of our forecast of 54.8m hl. Organic beer volume growth was 4.7%, which was clearly ahead of ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASM International: 1Q24 results - better on all fronts. Heineken: Uphill from here. KPN: 1Q24 in line, guidance slightly increased on Youfone acquisition. Melexis: 1Q24 results in line a relief. Universal Music Group: Spotify 1Q24 Results and guidance beat on margins. Vopak: Good progress to start the year. Wereldhave: 1Q24 LFL slows sharply

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Heineken FIRST LOOK: Solid 1Q volume growth, FY guidance reiterated

Heineken reported better than expected organic volume and revenue growth in 1Q (c. 2pp above CSS) and reiterated its FY24 guidance calling for a low to high single digit organic operating profit (beia) growth, with our and consensus forecasts at respectively +5% and +7%. We expect inflation for brewers like Heineken to gradually ease going forward whilst we believe the beer category has historically demonstrated solid pricing discipline. Together with further savings potential, we expect Heineke...

 PRESS RELEASE

Heineken N.V. reports on 2024 first-quarter trading

Heineken N.V. reports on 2024 first-quarter trading Amsterdam, 24 April 2024 – Heineken N.V. (EURONEXT: HEIA; OTCQX: HEINY) publishes its trading update for the first quarter of 2024.   Key Highlights         Revenue €8,184 million, up 7.2%Net revenue (beia) organic growth 9.4%; per hectolitre 4.9%Beer volume organic growth 4.7%Premium beer volume organic growth 7.3%Heineken® volume growth 12.9%Gross merchandise value captured via eB2B platforms +17%Outlook for the full year unchanged; operating profit (beia) expected to grow organically low- to hi...

Fernand de Boer
  • Fernand de Boer

Heineken - Organic growth beating, absolute figures in line

Organic volume growth came in at 4.3% with beer volumes up 4.7% beating our and CSS expectations. Thanks to the strong volume growth also organic revenue growth exceeded. However, absolute figures were in line and company maintained its full year 2024 guidance for organic operating profit growth. Hence, based on the Q1 trading update we do not expect material changes to the absolute figures. Organic growth estimates could move up a bit.We maintain our Hold rating, raising our TP from EUR 94 to E...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO : Olympic Games and Euro 2024: a limited economic impact but an o...

In the run-up to the 2024 Summer Olympic Games and Euro 2024 football tournament, we have identified six stocks to favour: JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and easyJet. While these two major sporting events are not expected to have a significant impact on the host economies in the medium term, the microeconomic and sectoral impacts should be more marked. The tourism, transport, beverages and consumer goods sectors are expected to be the main winners. Som...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO : Jeux Olympiques et Euro 2024 : un impact économique limité mais...

En amont des Jeux Olympiques d’été et de l’Euro de football 2024, nous identifions 6 valeurs à privilégier  : JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield et easyJet. Alors que ces deux évènements sportifs majeurs ne devraient pas avoir d’impact significatif sur les économies hôtes à moyen terme, les impacts microéconomiques et sectoriels devraient être plus marqués. Les secteurs du tourisme, des transports, des boissons et des biens de consommation devraient être l...

Robert Jan Vos
  • Robert Jan Vos

Heineken N.V. : Headwinds of last year could settle down in Q1 2024

>Volume and revenue growth seen in all regions except Europe - Heineken is set to report its Q1 2024 trading update (volumes, revenue and net profit) on 24 April. We forecast organic beer volume growth of 1.2% and beer volumes of 54.8m hl (consensus: 2.5% and 55.7m hl, respectively). Our organic revenue growth forecast is 6.4%, and we anticipate group sales of € 6,877m in Q1 2024 (consensus: 7.2% and € 6,937m, respectively). Whereas Heineken faced several headwinds in...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update April 2024: Adding TINC

We continue our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List with a 50/50 cyclical/defensive selection, but with a focus on value stocks that have been left behind. Defensive segment like holdings are overweight. However, in the Benelux we have a selection of cyclical industrials at cheap valuations that have often underperformed the market. We favour Benelux value stocks as even a mild recession typically hits growth stocks proportionally harder. We notice that some stocks have been hit hard by minor s...

Robert Jan Vos
  • Robert Jan Vos

Heineken N.V. : An anticipated positive wind of change

>Headwinds of 2023 turned into known tailwinds in 2024 - Heineken is set to report its Q1 2024 trading update (volumes and revenue) on 24 April 2024. Ahead of the consensus-collecting process we spoke with Heineken. Whereas Heineken faced several headwinds in 2023 (Vietnam, Nigeria), the start of 2024 appears to have been more benign due to an easier comparison base in several regions, but also due to benefits from 1) 2024 being a leap year, 2) early Easter, and 3) a ...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update March 2024 : Replacing UCB by Tubize

We replace UCB by Tubize in our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List. Over the past few weeks, UCB has seen a strong rally in its share price, markedly outperforming the BEL-20 index. The rally came on the back of renewed investor confidence in its flagship product Bimzelx, which gained FDA approval for psoriasis in October 2023 albeit with unexpected warnings and precautions. In the meantime, we see that commercial traction is growing in line with our expectations, as phyicians and caregivers ...

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