KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results City Developments (CIT SP/BUY/S$6.80/Target: S$8.50): 1H25: Strong divestment momentum offsets operational headwinds. Upgrade to BUY with higher target price of S$8.50. Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$4.06/Target: S$4.58): 1QFY26: Robust results on the back of EBIT improvement from Optus and NCS while Airtel and AIS lifted regional earnings. UMS Integration (UMSH SP/BUY/S$1.48/Target:S$1.73): 2Q25: Strong core earnings growth and positive outlook; exploring bo...
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Credit demand remains weak, though money supply improved. Results Nexteer Automotive Group (1316 HK/BUY/HK$6.92/Target: HK$10.00) 1H25: Earnings beat estimates on margins. Upgrade from HOLD to BUY. Raise target price to HK$10.00 Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$586.00/Target: HK$736.00) 2Q25: Resilient results; unfolding AI monetisation in online games...
1H25 PATMI fell 4% yoy to S$91m due to forex losses and higher interest costs, though excluding forex impact, profit would be stronger. Divestments exceeded expectations, with proceeds earmarked for a special dividend in Feb 25. Property development surged on strong sales, while hotels and investment properties saw weakness from forex and cost pressures. High gearing persists but planned asset sales may stabilise the balance sheet. We upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of S$8.50.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking: 4Q24 round-up: New era of returning excess capital and higher payout ratio. Results City Developments (CIT SP/HOLD/S$5.12/Target: S$4.60): 2024: Weaker-than-expected results overshadowed by family and leadership tussle. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower fair value of S$4.60. CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.465/Target: S$0.610): 2024: Strong earnings beat; gearing up for expansion. Food Empire (FEH SP/BUY/S$1.07/Target: S$1.20): 2024: Results above expectations; healthy p...
GREATER CHINA Economics Hong Kong Budget 2025-26 The budget balances fiscal discipline with strategic growth initiatives. Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$64.05/Target: HK$80.00) 4Q24: Earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering in 2025 but visibility remains low. Maintain BUY. Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.66/Target: HK$13.30) 4Q24: Results miss slightly; CEO change and increased shareho...
CDL’s 2024 results missed our and consensus estimates. However, this was overshadowed by news of a very public leadership tussle that has caused us to downgrade the stock to a HOLD. While the company has extremely valuable assets in Singapore and globally, we believe the stock will likely find it difficult to perform given this overhang. We lower the target price to S$4.60.
Clearly concerned about the direction of its economy, the Chinese government released a raft of stimulus measures last week that seemingly changed investor sentiment towards the Hong Kong and China markets overnight. While structural challenges remain, we highlight 14 stocks that have meaningful revenue exposure to China should these stimulus measures prove to be a game-changer. Our top picks for 2H24 remain CLI, GENS, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, STE, VMS and YZJSGD.
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
GREATER CHINA Results Nexteer (1316 HK/SELL/HK$2.89/Target: HK$1.50) 1H24: Earnings miss estimates on revenue. Maintain SELL. Cut target price from HK$2.20 to HK$1.50. Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$373.80/Target: HK$490.00) 2Q24: Solid margin expansion; reaccelerated online games revenue growth. Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb21.38/Target: Rmb30.00) AI business continues to accelerate, GB200 scheduled to ship i...
CLI and CDL both reported weaker-than-expected results with the latter’s results hit by the timing of revenue recognition as well as a 25% yoy increase in financing cost for 1H24. While both saw continued strength in their respective lodging/hospitality segments in 1H24, CLI’s capital recycling targets appear to be on track versus delays for CDL. Maintain our BUY recommendations: We prefer CLI (target price: S$4.04) over CDL (target price lowered to S$7.00). Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector.
Two Directors at City Developments bought/maiden bought 140,000 shares at between 5.620SGD and 5.800SGD. The significance rating of the trade was 90/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's di...
While the higher number of new launches and completed units hitting the Singapore residential market in 2024 and 2025 enables buyers to shop around more, the spectre of persistently higher interest rates, as well as high property taxes, could have a dampening effect on sentiment in the near term. We see limited impact on CDL given its diversified income stream while PropNex could be protected by its high 6.5% dividend yield. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions A fluid situation with oil prices the key worry. Small/Mid Cap Highlights BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$1.94/Target: S$2.42) 1QFY24: Strong results as construction demand recovers. TRADERS’ CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Isdn Holdings (ISDN SP): Trading BUY
CLI and CDL reported markedly different 2023 results, with the latter’s result boosted by Singapore property, and both seeing continued strength in their respective lodging/hospitality segments as expected. CLI’s China exposure has been an albatross around its neck with 2H24 likely to be a positive turning point. Maintain BUY recommendations on both CLI (target price: S$4.04) and CDL (target price: S$8.20). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: EV sales up 38% yoy and 9% mom in 1-6 August, in line with estimates. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, CATL and Li Auto. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$94.30/Target: HK$133.00): 1QFY24: Strong beat on all levels after restructuring. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$17.56/Target: HK$26.18): 1H23: Results distorted by AEI; competitiveness of retail portfolio enhanced. INDONESIA Results United Tractors (UNTR IJ/HOLD/Rp27,600/Target: Rp28,000):2Q23...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results City Developments (CIT SP/BUY/S$6.99/Target: S$8.00): 1H23: Strong EBITDA growth overshadowed by financing costs and one-off items. CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.47/Target: S$0.61): 1H23: Results above expectations; record orderbook to drive better 2H23. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$0.92/Target: S$1.25): 2Q23: Within expectations. We remain optimistic on further earnings recovery in 2H23. Maintain BUY. Prime US REIT (PRIME SP/BUY/US$0.196/Target: US$0.59): 1H23: Closi...
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