reports
- Chris Hoare
SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 100,000, +74%) Q3 24 Quick Take: Encouraging...
SK Telecom saw revenue accelerate again on the back of B2B Enterprise demand. Mobile also kept steady as the environment stayed benign. Notably, capex spend remains disciplined while operating profit was up 7.1% YoY off lower depreciation and continued cost control. The recently announced Corporate Value Up plan was largely expected.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
South Korean Telcos Q2 24 review: Softer but capex moderation remains...
Group service revenue and EBITDA trends were softer in Q2, beset by slower Enterprise growth and a one-off labour cost hike by KT. By contrast, mobile improved to 2.1% YoY, led by SKT and KT. Given the benign mobile landscape and the removal of Stage X’s mobile license, we expect trends to sustain at current levels. Capex spend is under control while quarterly dividends were unchanged. Separately, we have trimmed our target prices for SKT and LG Uplus; KT remains our preferred pick.
- Chris Hoare
SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 116,000, +122%) Q2 24 Quick Take: Encouragin...
SK Telecom saw an acceleration in topline while underlying EBITDA came in 2% ahead. Encouragingly, mobile trends improved on better mix and rise in roaming users while Enterprise, a key focus area, expanded its contribution to near 10% of overall revenue. Focus on AI continues to hold back shareholder remuneration however we think.
- Chris Hoare
South Korean Telcos MSIT may revoke fourth operator's 28 GHz licence
South Korea's Ministry of Science and ICT ("MSIT") is said to be revoking Stage X's 28 GHz spectrum, citing its inability to pay the KRW 205bn (US$ 150m) paid-in capital last month and discrepancies around its shareholders' ownership ratio. Our thoughts below.
- Chris Hoare
South Korean Telcos Q1 24 review: Better service revenue trends, but ...
South Korean operators delivered better service revenue growth, led by improvements in Broadband and Enterprise. As 5G penetration matures (70% in Q1), mobile still managed LSD growth. With improving capital intensity and steadily rising dividends, we remain constructive in this space, with KT remaining as our preferred pick
- Chris Hoare
SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 116,000, +126%) Q1 24 Quick Take: Decent top...
Topline came in better than expected, supported by a better mobile performance from higher roaming users well as sustained performance from SK Broadband. EBITDA was relatively in line while net profit beat on expectations this quarter (12% ahead), helped by other income from its investment assets. Our thoughts below.
- Chris Hoare
SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 116,000, +120%) New shareholder return polic...
SK Telecom has issued its new shareholder return policy for the next three years (2024-2026), at least 50% of adjusted consolidated net profit in the form of dividends and share repurchases. The headline figure is somewhat underwhelming, but is now a minimum rather than a cap and could be the first of more initiatives to come as a result of the "Value-up" programme in Korea. Our thoughts below.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
South Korean Telcos Takeaways from Meetings with the Korean Telcos in...
We met with all 3 of the Korean Telcos in Seoul over the last couple of days. All 3 are committed to engaging with and following the government “Value-up” programme, with the industry having started to become more shareholder friendly 2-3 years ago. We see the potential for higher industry returns (lower capex, opex) as well as better shareholder remuneration. Change will take time, but patient investors are set to do well from Korea as the market finally finds its place in the sun we think. Top...
- Chris Hoare
South Korean Telcos Q4 23 review: EBITDA improved despite softer serv...
South Korean operators were slower across the board at service revenue on softer Fixed growth, although mobile and Enterprise kept pace. Both LG and SKT saw an acceleration in Enterprise this quarter as the former opened a new DC in Q4. Both SKT and KT saw improvements in EBITDA while LG was pressured by higher labour costs.
- Chris Hoare
SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 116,000, +130%) Q4 23 Quick Take: Better top...
SKT delivered better results today as topline growth accelerated off Enterprise and margins improved again. Shareholder remuneration continues to improve as the company also announced its final quarterly dividend at KRW 3,540 taking full year’s dividends to KRW 766bn, an increase of 5.8% from last year.
- Chris Hoare
South Korean Telcos Q3 23 review: Better trends in core mobile and En...
South Korean telco saw a slower quarter as improvements at SKT and LG were offset by KT’s slowdown, attributable to its subsidiaries (slower BC Card, declines at Content and Skylife). Nevertheless, core mobile and Enterprise trends improved, with broadband stable.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
South Korean Telcos Q2 23 review: Lifted by non-mobile; easing capex ...
Aggregate service revenue were lifted by KT’s non-mobile performance this quarter, with strong EBITDA growth from both KT and LG owing to well controlled labour and service costs. Encouragingly too, 1H23 aggregate capex intensity was lower (12.6% vs. 13.5% last year) despite a focus on AI investments recently.
- Chris Hoare
SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 116,000, +148%) Q2 23 Quick Take: Slower top...
SKT delivered slower topline growth driven by weaker mobile revenue growth off a steeper ARPU decline in Q2. As a result, EBITDA growth slowed to 0.9% YoY but was within expectations as weaker topline growth was offset by lower labour and commissions cost.
- Chris Hoare
South Korean Telcos Government announced to improve competitive struc...
Today, South Korea's Ministry of Science and ICT ("MSIT") unveiled plans aimed at lowering the average household mobile spending, by encouraging lower mobile price plans and fostering greater mobile competition through 1) incentivising a fourth mobile operator, 2) promoting MVNO competitiveness through wholesale provisions and 3) raising the subsidy cap on Mobile Device Distribution Act from 15% to 30%
- Chris Hoare
South Korean Telcos Q1 23 review: Sustained top-line, slower EBITDA
South Korean carriers delivered LSD service revenue growth again, driven off mobile and Enterprise, with EBITDA lighter than previous quarters. Service revenue grew 2.9% (Q4: 3%) while EBITDA growth slowed to 1.8% YoY, dragged by both KT and LG. Mobile ARPU trend remains positive, with 5G penetration (off handset base) at 61%.
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
EM Telcos Validating the Enterprise thesis
In this note we revisit and update our thesis that Enterprise in EM is following an S-Curve. Key new work shows that as a result, absolute incremental Enterprise revenue in China has doubled each year for the past 3 years. This is why overall Telco revenues have sharply accelerated. We show the other countries/ stocks where the early signs are of the same thing happening.
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