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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos & Internet What to expect in 2025: Mixed

After 3 good years, 2024 was not great for the Japanese incumbents; with KDDI and SoftBank rising modestly and NTT falling, but all underperforming the Nikkei. In our view, risk is rising in Mobile, although we continue to see the sector as fundamentally undervalued. Rakuten performed well in 2024, but this was really to do with balance sheet risk easing on the back of cost cutting/refinancing rather than better traction in Mobile.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos Q2 FY24 review: Stable growth with better profitabili...

Service revenue slowed for the incumbents but stayed in the low-single digit band, with Softbank still ahead followed by NTT. Mobile divergence continues to play out with SB leading the pack and is likely to remain so in our view. Industry EBITDA improved as NTT inflected to growth and led to a strong EBIT beat this quarter.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA ERP Software / IT Services: NTT Data (9613 JT) FY24 Q2 Results

Analyst Lindsay Whipp takes us through the blowout quarter from NTT Data and reviews the outlook for the full year.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, TP: ¥240, +59%) Q2 FY24 Quick Take: Decent beat on topline ...

NTT outperformed expectations for revenue and EBIT by 1.6% and 4.8% respectively, backed by another strong quarter for Global Solutions and easing decline in its Fixed Line business.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

KDDI (Buy, TP: ¥6,600, +39%) KDDI indicating a structural step up in S...

KDDI today announced an increase in their share buyback from ¥300-¥400bn this year. On the call, the company indicated that this pace could be maintained at least for next year suggesting a structural increase in share buybacks. Thoughts below.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

KDDI (Buy, TP: ¥6,600, +39%) Q2 24 Quick Take: Softer against tougher ...

KDDI’s results were okay in Q2 as it was pegged against a tougher comparable. Topline remained ahead of expectations while EBIT was slightly behind YTD though we believe it is likely to improve on the back of DX, synergies from Lawson, mobile and declining roaming losses from Rakuten

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

KDDI (Buy, TP: ¥6,600, +36%) Kyocera announces it will sell its stake...

Kyocera (KDDI’s number1 shareholder with 16.1% holding) has announced it will sell its stake in KDDI. Thoughts and implications below.

 PRESS RELEASE

NTT DATA Collaborates with Leading Academic Medical System on New Mode...

PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- , a global leader in healthcare IT, and Duke Health, a world-class academic and healthcare system, are collaborating to create a highly interactive and technologically advanced model for augmented home care delivery. This new home-care model will integrate multiple technologies, including a GenAI-driven virtual agent from Ellipsis Health, automation, device interoperability, remote patient monitoring and a patient app and portal. The solution will keep medical staff in direct contact with the patient to ensure a human is always in the loop while allowing patien...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos - Takeaways from Meetings with the Japanese Telcos + R...

We met with all 3 of the incumbent Japanese Telcos & Rakuten in Tokyo this week. Every time we visit, we are reminded of how much better the telco industry is in Japan vs other DMs, as the MNOs continue to expand their scope of operations beyond traditional telco driving higher returns and growth.

 PRESS RELEASE

City of Brownsville, Texas, Taps NTT DATA to Build Connected City With...

PLANO, Texas & BROWNSVILLE, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- a global digital business and IT services leader, has been selected by the , to deploy NTT DATA’s Smart Solutions and Private 5G (P5G) wireless connectivity. The city seeks to enhance citizen services, increase public safety, achieve sustainability and effectively manage growth by leveraging real-time data analytics and AI empowered by a seamless and secure wireless network. “The future is coming to life in Brownsville today as we partner with NTT DATA to set a new standard for smart, connected and sustainable cities,” said John Cowen, Jr...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos Q1 FY24 review: Softbank outperforming

Incumbents led a faster service revenue growth in Q1 driven by non-mobile, with Softbank ahead. Industry mobile growth kept steady but the continued divergence in mobile trend between NTT and peers appears to confirm the benefits of integrated financial services. Softbank was the notable share gainer this quarter (1.1% MSR gain sequentially), having grown its mobile ARPU for the first time since FY19.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, TP: ¥240, +61%) Q1 FY24 Quick Take: Profitability largely i...

NTT reported before close today and while revenue was ahead of estimates and guidance, operating income and profit were largely in line with its full year guidance. In contrast to peers, Mobile performance is lagging with ARPU trend not recovering. Separately, the company announced a buyback up to ¥ 200bn (US$ 1.37bn), a positive given the stock’s YTD performance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

KDDI (Buy, TP: ¥6,600, +51%) Q1 24 Quick Take: Solid

KDDI reported after close today, with both topline and EBIT tracking slightly ahead of full year guidance. Enterprise continued to show good momentum and helped support the topline beat. With Lawson delisted since July, the deal is expected to be completed by September, as planned. Multi-brand mobile revenue continues to trend positively, with positive commentary around the transition from UQ mobile to AU brand.

 PRESS RELEASE

NTT DATA Selected as Prime Contractor for FBI’s Mission Critical Servi...

HERNDON, Va.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- , a digital business and IT services leader has announced the company was selected as a prime contractor by the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). NTT DATA will provide IT services through the FBI’s Information Technology Supplies and Support Services 2nd Generation (ITSSS-2) Blanket Purchase Agreement (BPA). The ITSSS-2 BPA has an $8 billion ceiling with an eight-year period of performance from June 21, 2024, through June 21, 2032. ITSSS-2 will be the primary contract vehicle for the FBI to obtain critical IT services and be available for use by all compo...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos Q4 FY23 review: Diverging mobile

Service revenue trends for the three incumbents were faster as mobile inflected, coupled with improvements in non-mobile. Meanwhile, the sector’s EBITDA grew strongly which was well flagged in Q3. Divergence in mobile trend appears to confirm the benefits of integrated financial services with mobile as NTT and peers diverged further; former extended its decline while peers accelerated to near 3% YoY.

 PRESS RELEASE

NTT DATA Announces Winners of Launch Awards 2024

NTT DATA Announces Winners of Launch Awards 2024 Second annual awards celebrate the innovators of impact at Nexus 2024 PLANO, Texas, June 05, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Global digital business and IT services company NTT DATA and its portfolio of services driving digital product innovation, have announced the winners of this year's Launch Awards. Now in its second year, the Launch Awards celebrate innovative digital experiences and the forward-thinking people responsible for implementing these meaningful business outcomes. “The Launch Awards recognize the innovative ide...

 PRESS RELEASE

NTT and NTT DATA Roar into the Indianapolis 500 with AI-powered Fan Ex...

PLANO, Texas & INDIANAPOLIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- NTT, a leading global technology and business solutions provider, and continue to expand innovative use of racing data to improve fan experiences across the , including this year’s Indianapolis 500. NTT is the parent company of NTT DATA, and they serve together as Official Technology Partner of INDYCAR, the NTT INDYCAR SERIES, Indianapolis Motor Speedway (IMS), the Indianapolis 500, and NASCAR Brickyard weekend. Through 140-plus sensors on each racecar, NTT DATA captures and analyzes more than 8 billion racing data points in the NTT Smart Sol...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

KDDI (Buy, TP: ¥6,600, +53%) Q4 23 Quick Take: Better mobile trend an...

KDDI reported after close today, with results looking okay. Headline EBIT was weak off one-off impairments and provisions previously announced but excluding that, it was largely in line with guidance/expectations.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

NTT (Buy, TP: ¥240, +48%) Q4 FY23 Quick Take: Strong Q4 but weak FY24...

NTT reported before close today and despite strong Q4 figures, the shares were down 3% on a weak FY24 guidance. Despite a strong Q4 which was well flagged last quarter, the mobile ARPU trend is disappointing; perhaps as DCM is starting to lose higher end customers to SoftBank’s integrated plan. Our brief takeaways below.

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