Company Update | Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt19.70/Target: Bt24.00) BJC’s SSSG is showing signs of improvement as the high-base effect has faded. 3Q25 earnings are expected to decline yoy but momentum has improved from 2Q25. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt24.00 (from Bt22.00). We roll over target price to 2026F PE of 20x.
Top Stories Sector Update | Banking Banks under our coverage reported a combined net profit of Bt62.2b, up 14% yoy and 10% qoq, beating our expectation by 23% and the market's estimate by 13%. The key reason it exceeded expectations was an investment income that surpassed forecasts. All banks have reiterated their focus on asset quality and clean loan portfolios. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Our top picks are KBANK and KTB. Company Update | Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt19.70/Target: Bt24.00) BJ...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
Greater China Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/ HK$67.50/Target: HK$105.00) Fuyao Glass’ 3Q25 earnings miss stems from its margins, dragged by the US division and higher effective tax rate. Revenue grew 19% yoy on 11% sales volume growth and 7% ASP hike. Based on the lower margins, we trim our 2025-27 net profit forecasts by 5%/3%/2% to Rmb9.61b/Rmb10.98b/Rmb12.71b respectively, implying 19% CAGR. Earnings prospects remain positive on overseas market share gains, optimisation of pr...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s EV sales surged 25% wow in the 39th week of 2025 but slowed to 10.5% yoy amid a high base and anti-involution efforts. Geely and XPeng outperformed, while BYD and Li Auto saw yoy sales declines. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector, with top BUYs on CATL and Geely; we downgrade Ganfeng Lithium from BUY to HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$40.00, as the stock price has hit our target. Indonesia Economics | Indonesia’s Trade Balance Hits Mu...
BJC reported core earnings of Bt1,121m for 2Q25, down 9% yoy and 11% qoq, pressured by lower sales and a weaker gross profit margin. The results were in line with both our and consensus estimates. We expect SSS in 2H25 to normalise as the weather impact eases. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt28.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt16.50/Target: Bt25.00) 2Q25: Earnings below expectations. AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt7.65/Target: Bt9.60) 2Q25: Earnings in line, optimistic 3Q25 outlook. Bangkok Commercial Asset Management (BAM TB/BUY/Bt8.40/Target: Bt10.00) 2Q25: Results in line with consensus; highest bottom line in the past 22 quarters. Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY...
The BOT attended our seminar to provide our clients with Thailand's economic outlook for 2H25. The BOT has revised its 2025 GDP forecast from 2.0% to 2.3% in the meeting. It foresees a softening of exports in 3Q25, due to the front-loading of exports in 1H25. The PM has been suspended, with a caretaker in charge, but there should be no impact on 2026’s budget. We highlight four sectors related to the BOT event. Top picks: KBANK, MTC, CPALL and STECON.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...
The key drivers of 2Q-4Q25 are the fresh food sales in modern retail business, b) orders from key clients in the can business starting to return, after disappearing during 1Q25, and c) effective cost control. Given the unexciting top-line growth, we believe BJC can still deliver bottom lines of 7-10% in 2025-26. Moreover, we expect minimal impact from the strictness of the Thailand and Cambodia border gate operations. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt28.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales up 26% yoy on last-minute buying before promotions end. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV and Tuopu. Education: Ramping up AI+ initiative; focusing on profitability with solid growth pillars. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$69.90): Takeaways from Xiaomi YU7 and AI Glasses launch event. Strong initial demand with YU7 orders surpassing 289,000 within the first hour. Maintain BUY. SINGAPORE Sector RE...
Although we foresee a slower yoy earnings growth for 2Q-4Q25, we still expect a 5.0- 10% yoy earnings growth. Therefore, we project limited downside to BJC’s earnings for 2025-26. Management also guided that SSS momentum is expected to improve in May 25 compared with Apr 25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt28.00.
GREATER CHINA Results Meituan (3690 HK/HOLD/HK$129.40/Target: HK$140.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat; expect margin pressure as FD competition intensifies. Downgrade to HOLD. INDONESIA Results Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ/BUY/Rp895/Target: Rp1,040): 1Q25: Weak profit; below consensus estimate. MALAYSIA Results AMMB Holdings (AMM MK/BUY/RM5.44/Target: RM6.08): 4QFY25: Net profit in line, supported by improved NIM and strong trading income. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of RM6.08. Gas Malaysia ...
BJC reported a core earnings of Bt1,257m for 1Q25, up 19.6% yoy, driven by a gross profit margin improvement. The results were better than our and consensus estimates by 12%. SSS momentum qtd remains at a negative 2-3% yoy. However, this will be offset by a stronger improvement in the profitability of its manufacturing business. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt28.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt6.70/Target: Bt9.60) 1Q25: Earnings in line, improvement expected in 2Q25. Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt24.10/Target: Bt33.00) 1Q25: Reported earnings in line with decent yoy growth. Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt23.70/Target: Bt28.00) 1Q25: Better-than-expected earnings growth. Electricity Generating PCL (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt109.00/Target: Bt115.00) 1Q25: Solid 1Q25 results with still-impressive yield. Ratch Group...
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Credit demand weakens in April. Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$521.00/Target: HK$650.00): 1Q25: Strong results propelled by robust games and AI-powered ad-tech. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications: 1Q25: EBITDA stable at -0.8% qoq. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. MALAYSIA Results Sunway REIT (SREIT MK/BUY/RM1.93/Target: RM2.05): 1Q25: Results in line. Looking ahead, the full reopening of Sunway Carnival Mall Phase 2 and AEON Seri Manjung acquisition are e...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
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