reports
- Thailand Research Team
THAILAND STRATEGY – Key Highlights From BOT Event; Political Situation...
The BOT attended our seminar to provide our clients with Thailand's economic outlook for 2H25. The BOT has revised its 2025 GDP forecast from 2.0% to 2.3% in the meeting. It foresees a softening of exports in 3Q25, due to the front-loading of exports in 1H25. The PM has been suspended, with a caretaker in charge, but there should be no impact on 2026’s budget. We highlight four sectors related to the BOT event. Top picks: KBANK, MTC, CPALL and STECON.
AEONTS AEON THANA SINSAP (THAILAND) PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
COM7 COM7
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
CPALL TB CP ALL
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 03, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
AEONTS AEON THANA SINSAP (THAILAND) PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
COM7 COM7
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
CPALL TB CP ALL
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Malaysia Research Team
- Paula Ruth
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Thailand Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, July 02, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...
BDMS BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
MLK MALAKOFF CORP BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
IJM IJM CORP BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
GMB GAS MALAYSIA BHD
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
CORAZA CORAZA INTEGRATED TECHNOLOGY BERHAD
HUME HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
MAPA IJ MAP AKTIF ADIPERKASA (MAPA IJ)
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
Berli Jucker (BJC TB) - Attractive Valuation Justifies The Uncertaint...
The key drivers of 2Q-4Q25 are the fresh food sales in modern retail business, b) orders from key clients in the can business starting to return, after disappearing during 1Q25, and c) effective cost control. Given the unexciting top-line growth, we believe BJC can still deliver bottom lines of 7-10% in 2025-26. Moreover, we expect minimal impact from the strictness of the Thailand and Cambodia border gate operations. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt28.00.
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, June 27, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales up 26% yoy on last-minute buying before promotions end. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV and Tuopu. Education: Ramping up AI+ initiative; focusing on profitability with solid growth pillars. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$69.90): Takeaways from Xiaomi YU7 and AI Glasses launch event. Strong initial demand with YU7 orders surpassing 289,000 within the first hour. Maintain BUY. SINGAPORE Sector RE...
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
Berli Jucker (BJC TB) - Limited Earnings Downside With Good Business P...
Although we foresee a slower yoy earnings growth for 2Q-4Q25, we still expect a 5.0- 10% yoy earnings growth. Therefore, we project limited downside to BJC’s earnings for 2025-26. Management also guided that SSS momentum is expected to improve in May 25 compared with Apr 25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt28.00.
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Benyamin Mikael
- Chong Lee Len
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Ming San Soong
- Singapore Research Team
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Meeting Notes - Tuesday, May 27, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results Meituan (3690 HK/HOLD/HK$129.40/Target: HK$140.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat; expect margin pressure as FD competition intensifies. Downgrade to HOLD. INDONESIA Results Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ/BUY/Rp895/Target: Rp1,040): 1Q25: Weak profit; below consensus estimate. MALAYSIA Results AMMB Holdings (AMM MK/BUY/RM5.44/Target: RM6.08): 4QFY25: Net profit in line, supported by improved NIM and strong trading income. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of RM6.08. Gas Malaysia ...
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
Berli Jucker (BJC TB) - 1Q25: Better-than-expected Earnings Growth
BJC reported a core earnings of Bt1,257m for 1Q25, up 19.6% yoy, driven by a gross profit margin improvement. The results were better than our and consensus estimates by 12%. SSS momentum qtd remains at a negative 2-3% yoy. However, this will be offset by a stronger improvement in the profitability of its manufacturing business. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt28.00.
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Thailand Daily - Thursday, May 15, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt6.70/Target: Bt9.60) 1Q25: Earnings in line, improvement expected in 2Q25. Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt24.10/Target: Bt33.00) 1Q25: Reported earnings in line with decent yoy growth. Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt23.70/Target: Bt28.00) 1Q25: Better-than-expected earnings growth. Electricity Generating PCL (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt109.00/Target: Bt115.00) 1Q25: Solid 1Q25 results with still-impressive yield. Ratch Group...
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ELEC ELECTRICITE DE STRASBOURG S.A.
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AP AP THAILAND
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jo Yee Ng
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, May 15, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Credit demand weakens in April. Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$521.00/Target: HK$650.00): 1Q25: Strong results propelled by robust games and AI-powered ad-tech. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications: 1Q25: EBITDA stable at -0.8% qoq. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. MALAYSIA Results Sunway REIT (SREIT MK/BUY/RM1.93/Target: RM2.05): 1Q25: Results in line. Looking ahead, the full reopening of Sunway Carnival Mall Phase 2 and AEON Seri Manjung acquisition are e...
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
AWX AEM HOLDINGS
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
5162 VSTECS
AP AP THAILAND
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
SREIT SUNWAY REAL ESTATE INVESTMEN
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Greater China Research Team
- Guan An Tan
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Philip Wong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Thailand Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, May 06, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
MRDIY MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, April 29, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Online Travel Agencies: Travel data preview: Expecting a vibrant 2025 Labour Day Results BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$31.80/Target: HK$41.20): 1Q25: Margins below expectations; automotive business to lead the charge in 2025. Maintain BUY. China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.69/Target: HK$2.30): 1Q25: In line; severe drought in Guangxi restricts cement products outflow. China State Construction Engineering Corporation (601668 CH/BUY/Rmb5.49 /Targe...
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
AIY IFAST
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
PTTEP-R PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
FNH FRASER & NEAVE HOLDINGS BHD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
02208 XINJIANG GOLDWIND SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS H
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
1313 CHINA RESOURCES BUILDING MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS LTD
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
Berli Jucker (BJC TB) - Expect yoy Earnings Improvement In 1Q25
We estimate BJC’s core earnings at Bt1.1b for 1Q25, up 6.7% yoy on the back of a higher gross margin, lower interest expenses, and a lower effective tax rate. We still maintain our 2025 earnings forecast of a 9% yoy growth following better top-line and profitability momentum. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt28.00.
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
Thailand Daily - Tuesday, April 29, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results I-TAIL Corporation (ITC TB/HOLD/Bt13.10/Target: Bt13.30) 1Q25: Sluggish earnings; 2025 outlook remains challenging. Downgrade to HOLD. Update Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt23.50/Target: Bt28.00) Expect yoy earnings improvement in 1Q25. PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt99.25/Target: Bt155.00) High dividend yield; steady earnings growth. PTT Oil & Retail Business (OR TB/BUY/Bt13.70/Target: Bt16.00) 1Q25 net profit expected to rise qoq and yoy.
- Jo Yee Ng
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thailand Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 09, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
N1U NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC. SPONSORED ADR
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
SATS SP SATS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
MCH MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS BHD
09888 BAIDU INC
1024 BEIJING KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CO LTD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thailand Research Team
Thailand Daily - Tuesday, March 04, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Diversifying To Defensive Stocks We maintain our cautiously optimistic view on the Thai equity market in Mar 25. We decided to cut losses on AOT, CK and ERW, and add AP and BCH to our portfolio. Sector Oil & Gas 2025 remains a challenging year for the oil and gas business. Update Banpu (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.14/Target: Bt5.00) A more positive outlook for the gas business Berli Ju...
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kate Luang
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Lester Siew
- Malaysia Research Team
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Philip Wong
- Singapore Research Team
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, March 04, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Preview of property policies from two sessions; improvement in sentiment for Hong Kong's primary market. Sector Internet: Potential implications from implementation of social security insurances. Update Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK/BUY/HK$5.22/Target: HK$7.71): Takeaways from luncheon: On the way to becoming a connectivity hub. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp390/Target: Rp480): Key brand might gradually mitigate regula...
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
Berli Jucker (BJC TB) - 4Q24: Results In Line; Core Earnings Improveme...
BJC reported 4Q24 core earnings of Bt1.57b, down 8.8% due to a higher effective tax rate. We saw a strong improvement in 4Q24 EBT which increased 21% yoy on the back of both top-line and profitability improvement. We still saw positive SSS growth of 4% yoy in 1 Jan-15 Feb 25. We foresee core earnings for 2025 growing 9% yoy, improving from a yoy decline in 2023-24. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt28.00.
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