GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: August domestic activities remained weak, more demand-side measures are needed. Sector Banking: 1H24 results wrap-up: Walking a tightrope. Cement: Weekly: Unfavourable weather condition and tail-heavy LGSB issuance holding back cement demand. Construction: The momentum of FAI is yet to improve; awaiting policy supports in 2H24. Update Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$38.15/Target: HK$70.00): Key takeaways from Kuaishou Investor Day 2024. SINGAPORE Update Singa...
For Aug 24, SGX reported that SDAV reached a two-year high, driven by increased market turnover value from both institutional and retail investors. Total derivative traded volumes were also higher, driven by the forex and commodities segments. With a lack of near-term catalysts, we opine that SGX is fairly valued at current price levels. Maintain HOLD but with a higher target price of S$11.62 (S$10.65 previously).
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR SP/BUY/S$2.65/Target: S$3.44): 1H24: Backfilling vacant space at Changi Business Park. Singapore Exchange (SGX SP/HOLD/S$9.82/Target: S$10.65): FY24: Strong results in line as FICC outperforms. Thai Beverage (THBEV SP/BUY/S$0.50/Target:S$0.56): 9MFY24: Stable performance as beer outperforms. TRADERS’ CORNER Thai Beverage (THBEV SP): Trading BUY Venture Corp (VMS SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Worrying fall in core CPI inflation. INDONESIA Results Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ/HOLD/Rp1,665/Target: Rp1,700) 2Q24: Core NPAT rose 20.3% yoy; above expectations. MALAYSIA Update Gas Malaysia (GMB MK/HOLD/RM3.57/Target: RM3.50) Higher demand capacity to offset lower NG prices in 2024; stock offers attractive dividend ...
For FY24, SGX reported higher revenue (+3.1% yoy) and adjusted PATMI (+4.5% yoy), driven by the FICC and platform segments but offset by the cash equities and equities derivatives segments. With a lack of near-term catalysts, SGX is fairly valued at current price levels, in our view. Maintain HOLD but with a higher target price of S$10.65 (S$10.13 previously).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions A fluid situation with oil prices the key worry. Small/Mid Cap Highlights BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$1.94/Target: S$2.42) 1QFY24: Strong results as construction demand recovers. TRADERS’ CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Isdn Holdings (ISDN SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls We remain hedged, adding COSCO Shipping Holdings and Foxconn Industrial Internet to our BUY list, but include additional SELL calls on Li Auto and Xpeng. Sector Automobile: Weekly: EV sales remain lukewarm in the fourth week of 2024. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto. Update Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH/BUY/Rmb273.19/Target: Rmb360.00): Acquires 21.12% stake in APT Medical; embracing tremendous business opportu...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Portfolio Holds Steady Amid Market Weakness. Add YZJ; Remove STM: Our Alpha Picks portfolio traded flat in Jan 24, beating the STI by 2.7ppt on an equal-weighted basis. FEH and SCI were the key outperformers. Sector REITs: S-REITs monthly update (Jan 24). Results Keppel (KEP SP/BUY/S$7.15/Target: S$8.89): 2023: Strong results with a rosy M&A outlook ahead. Singapore Exchange (SGX SP/HOLD/S$9.39/Target:S$10.13): 1HFY24: Results in line as FICC outperforms ...
For 1HFY24, SGX reported higher revenue (+3.6% yoy) and adjusted PATMI (+6.2% yoy), driven by the FICC segment and higher treasury income. Both the cash equities and equity derivatives segments underperformed as total securities traded value and derivative volumes fell. The FICC continued its outperformance, backed by record-high traded volumes in 1HFY24. With a lack of near-term catalysts, we maintain HOLD with a lower target price of S$10.13 (S$10.42 previously).
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: The 5.2% GDP growth hit the 2023 target, despite an uneven recovery. Sector Aviation: Airlines’ Dec 23 operation data: Rebounded from Nov 23’s lows, but 4Q data still missed our projections. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Upgrade China Eastern Airlines to HOLD. INDONESIA Strategy Continuation Of Developments In Indonesia: Our top picks: banking – BBNI, BBTN; property − BSDE, CTRA; technology – BUKA; consumer − MYOR, CMRY; retail – ACES; infrastructure – JSMR...
We expect SGX to report higher 1HFY24 revenue (+12% yoy) and adjusted PATMI (+12% yoy), driven by the FICC segment and higher treasury income. Both the cash equities and equity derivatives segments are poised to underperform as 1HFY24 total securities traded value and volumes fell respectively. The FICC segment is set to post record-high revenue driven by robust volumes. With a lack of near-term catalysts, we maintain HOLD and a lower target price of S$10.42 (S$10.46 previously).
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Tier 1 cities seeing the largest mom decline in property prices since Oct 14. Initiation Coverage Giordano International (709 HK/BUY/HK$3.20/Target: HK$3.89): Booming development in emerging markets; eyeing rebranding in Hong Kong. Results Chongqing Brewery (600132 CH/BUY/Rmb91.72/Target: Rmb108.00): 1H23: Results beat thanks to margin expansion; premiumisation remains intact. Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$52.50/Target: HK$60.50): 2Q23: EBITDA misses; ex...
For FY23, SGX reported higher revenue (+8.7% yoy) and adjusted PATMI (+10.3% yoy), driven by the FICC segment and higher treasury income. The cash equities segment underperformed as total traded value continued its decline. Despite lower traded volumes, higher average fees helped support the equity derivatives segment. With a lack of near-term catalysts, we maintain HOLD but with a higher target price of S$10.46 (S$10.28 previously).
GREATER CHINA Sector Commodities: Weekly: Worsening property crisis weighing on economic recovery outlook. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp9,350/Target: Rp10,300): Plenty of room to grow its assets and NPAT. MALAYSIA Results KLCCP Stapled Group (KLCCSS MK/HOLD/RM6.77/Target: RM7.19): 2Q23: Earnings improve on higher occupancies in retail and hotel. Update TIME dotCom (TDC MK/BUY/RM5.40/Target: RM6.40): 2Q23 results preview: High single-digit growth supported by retail, wholes...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/BUY/S$3.11/Target:S$3.65): 1H23: Earnings miss forecasts, but major negative news priced in; upgrade to BUY. Centurion Corp (CENT SP/BUY/S$0.425/Target: S$0.50): 1H23: Strong tailwinds seen, which should persist well into 2025. Raise target price to S$0.50 and re-iterate BUY. Frencken Group (FRKN SP/BUY/S$0.82/Target: S$1.00): 1H23: Earnings in line with expectations; stable outlook expected for 2H23. Upgrade to BUY. United Hampshire US REIT (UHU S...
For FY23, we expect SGX to report minor yoy growth in revenue and PATMI, driven by higher treasury income and a strong contribution from the FICC segment. A lower contribution from cash equities is likely to drag on overall earnings while equity derivatives would be stable yoy. With a lack of near-term catalysts, we maintain HOLD but with a higher target price of S$10.28 (S$9.57 previously).
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