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Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Equity Weekly Insights - 2024 12 24

Meta Platforms (META) is investing heavily to capitalize on the rapidly growing AI market. Uniform Accounting highlights the market's unwarranted pessimism about Meta's likelihood to succeed, while Meta's starting position, and track record, gives reason to think it will succeed, indicating equity upside. Meta has a strong track record of succeeding in its large investments. After spending a combined $20 billion on Instagram and Whatsapp, Meta was able to solidify itself as the largest social m...

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines |AVGO, Memory, Semicap, SNX

The question for capital equipment in general rather, in our view, is how elevated might demand get to in the out years, which will in part demand on the sustainability (and perceived sustainability) of AI data center requirements through 2027 and into the latter parts of this decade, as well as mo

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines |SiPh, TSEM, TSMC, AI

It makes limited sense to us that NVDA would purchase an established PC company given the competition (which would invariably result) with its current customers in the PC and server space, not to mention the negative implications for GMs, as well as the questionable value add (with the bulk of PC s

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines | Memory, INTC, SMCI, Quantum

Our conversations to date suggest (at least in the near-term) that the March news that certain SMCI employees had conspired to ship significant dollars of servers to China is not having a significant impact on operations. At the same time, we still see a probability that customers, suppliers, and/o

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Anthropic/OpenAI ARR growth already covers 2026 AI capex?

Anthropic and OpenAI added ~$30bn of ARR over the past three months and are on track to add >$100bn this year. Click the link for our take and implications for the AI infra value chain.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Anthropic & OpenAI - How much further can frontier lab revenues accele...

Anthropic announced last night that its ARR has reached $30bn, up from $9bn at the end of 2025. In today's one-slider we analyze how much further frontier lab revenues can accelerate.

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