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William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Industrials / Electrical Equipment: Mitsubishi Electric (6503 JT) ...

Analyst William Nestuk takes a division by division look at Mitsubishi Electric. Overall valuations are benign, while several parts of its business are on song.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly 2024 Q4

When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...

4676 FUJI MEDIA HOLDINGS INC.
6754 ANRITSU CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
3107 DAIWABO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
8473 SBI HOLDINGS INC.
6954 FANUC CORPORATION
4324 DENTSU GROUP INC.
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
4902 KONICA MINOLTA INC.
6988 NITTO DENKO CORP.
7752 RICOH COMPANY LTD.
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
3064 MONOTARO CO. LTD.
5801 FURUKAWA ELECTRIC CO. LTD.
5715 FURUKAWA CO. LTD.
7205 HINO MOTORS LTD.
6501 HITACHI LTD.
6305 HITACHI CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY CO. LTD.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7012 KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD.
9107 KAWASAKI KISEN KAISHA LTD.
6971 KYOCERA CORPORATION
8316 SUMITOMO MITSUI FINANCIAL GROUP INC.
6503 MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC CORP.
5632 MITSUBISHI STEEL MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
5706 MITSUI MINING AND SMELTING COMPANY LIMITED
6966 MITSUI HIGH-TEC INC.
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
4666 PARK24 CO. LTD.
6268 NABTESCO CORPORATION
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8136 SANRIO COMPANY LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
5802 SUMITOMO ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES LTD.
6762 TDK CORPORATION
6976 TAIYO YUDEN CO. LTD.
6315 TOWA CORPORATION
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
4208 UBE INDUSTRIES LTD.
8698 MONEX GROUP INC.
3774 INTERNET INITIATIVE JAPAN
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
2160 GNI GROUP LTD.
3659 NEXON CO. LTD.
3445 RS TECHNOLOGIES CO. LTD.
6269 MODEC INC
3769 GMO PAYMENT
68900 FERROTEC CORPORATION
9519 RENOVA
4385 MERCARI INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
3626 JT TIS INC
9434 SOFTBANK CORP.
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
7071 AMVIS HOLDINGS
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
4443 JT SANSAN (4443 JT)
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3394 JT MONEY FOWARD
4480 MEDLEY
RRRP3 3R PETROLEUM OLEO E GAS
6532 JT BAYCURRENT CONSULTING (6532 JT)
3697 JT SHIFT INCORPORATED (3697 JT)
4483 JMDC
4180 JP APPIER GROUP
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
4194 VISIONAL INC
9552 M&A RESEARCH INSTITUTE
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
9616 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
9552 JT M&A RESEARCH INSTITUTE (9552 JT)
6544 JT JAPAN ELEVATOR SERVICES HOLDINGS (6544 JT)
6200 JT INSOURCE (6200 JT)
2154 JT OPEN UP GROUP (2154 JT)
William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Capital Goods / Machinery: Fanuc (6954 JT) – FA Recovers While Rob...

With so much uncertainty over China and the state of its economy, Fanuc's earnings outlook is far from clear. We examine the earnings drivers and possible new engines of growth for this global No. 1 Robotics and top-ranked FA manufacturer.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Market Strategy: How Japan Transformed from a Bear Market to a Bul...

In our 2010 Japan Perspective, written close to the nadir of the bear market, we discussed what was wrong with Japan, but also what it was starting to do right. Fourteen years on, the Nikkei 225 - though not yet Topix - has hit a new all-time high. This report looks at how Japan built on those things that were going right, while also starting to address what else needed to be done, and looks at whether more is needed to be done if the market rally is to continue from here.

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Fanuc (6954 JT) FY23 Q3 Preview

Ahead of Fanuc's FY23 Q3 results release on 26 Jan, William Nestuk discusses the outlook for each division, with a focus on pricing and demand.

Sid Rajeev
  • Sid Rajeev

GIGA Metals Corporation (TSXV: GIGA / OTCQX: GIGGF / FSE: BRR2) – Conf...

Fundamental Research Corp has issued a report entitled “Confirms Viability as a Potential Long-Term Supplier for Lithium-ion Batteries” and dated September 27, 2023. The full report is now at

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Yaskawa Electric (6506 JT) - Second Straight Record OP ...

With factory automation currently under pressure, Yaskawa is looking like a relatively safe play compared to Fanuc, headed for a second straight year of record OP in FY23. Details in attached report.

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Yaskawa Electric (6506 JT) FY23 Q1 Preview

Ahead of FY23 (Feb yr-end) Q1 results, analyst William Nestuk previews the firm’s earnings drivers.

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Fanuc (6954 JT) Update

Analyst William Nestuk notes that while Fanuc’s Robotics demonstrate pricing power, FA lags.

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Yaskawa Electric (6506 JT): Sudden Cost & Pricing Impro...

Good pricing, high order backlogs and rising US shale oil / gas demand to support FY23 earnings. Our estimates are above consensus.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Market Strategy: Japan Perspective for 2023

At the beginning of every year we publish our PSA Perspective, a report intended as a long shelf-life look at the year ahead. This year Pelham Smithers discusses Japan's economy, the outlook for the stock market, and some stand-out themes and developments for the year. These include the digital yen and the demise of live action entertainment in Japan. We also update our noted PSA Focus List of stocks. Table of Contents Overview 3 Background: 4 Japan’s Economic Outlook 5 Ja...

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Yaskawa Electric (6506 JT): FY22 Outlook / Overview of ...

Analyst William Nestuk reviews the impact of the yen, costs, and pricing for Yaskawa and contrasts it with that of Fanuc. He also discusses global trends in robotics and concludes the landscape looks very promising.

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Fanuc (6954 JT) Top-Line Jump

Fanuc is typically not seen as a yen beneficiary. We argue this is not necessarily the case. While Q1 FY22 looks weak, we anticipate rapid improvement thereafter.

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Yaskawa Electric (6506 JT) - FY22 Outlook, FX, Cost Con...

PSA Machinery: Yaskawa Electric (6606 JT) - FY22 Outlook, FX, Cost Control, i-Cube Our base case FY22-23 is for continued yen weakness and an OP of Y77.0bil for FY22, well ahead of cons at Y69.2bil. The company is expecting an improvement in component shortages from Q2 and we see extremely strong demand for their most profitable customers in N. American shale and oil for Yaskawa’s inverters. We also like their shift in emphasis to Robotic systems as opposed to standalone, the value-add yieldin...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Market Strategy for FY22 Q2

The Japanese stock market is in an interesting phase where the Bank of Japan is supporting the bond market rather than the stock market. While this phase lasts, the dollar should remain above ¥120/$ and perhaps strengthen further against the yen. This report looks at what this phase might mean for the Japanese stock market as a whole, and for stock selection. The PSA Focus List has also been updated.

FANUC reduces its risk exposure and slightly improves to Neutral

The independent financial analyst theScreener just allocated a lower risk rating to FANUC (JP), active in the Industrial Machinery industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 2 out of 4 possible stars. Its market behaviour, however, has slightly improved and can be qualified as moderately risky. theScreener considers that these elements merit an overall rating upgrade to Neutral. As of the analysis date March 22, 2022, the closing price was JPY 21,340.00 and its expecte...

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Yaskawa (6506 JT) – Strong H1 FY22 After FY21 Miss?

Yaskawa (TSE: 6506) - Despite a disappointing Q3, the strong recovery in China orders and the improving supply of semiconductor / components should allow Yaskawa to post record level H1 FY22 sales and OP. A large order backlog and the ongoing transition to high-margin next-gen models for A/C servos and Robotics support the near-term outlook. Yaskawa's share price often over-reacts to sudden improvement in earnings and the weak yen is an additional boost. Please see attached report

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Machinery: Fanuc (6594 JT) – FY21 OP Can Beat Guidance But Costs W...

Fanuc’s FY21 Q3 OP of ¥46.0bil (+40% YoY/ +10% QoQ) came in 7% above consensus and the firm has raised the full-year FY21 OP guidance by 5%. This should provide a floor for the share price. Q4 OP will likely beat guidance we think, and the ensuing quarters should improve successively. While Fanuc is outperforming in some areas, and we are very positive overall, not everything is falling into place at once.

For MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC, the environment deterioration entails a downg...

MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC (JP), a company active in the Industrial Machinery industry, now shows a lower overall rating. The independent financial analyst theScreener just confirmed the fundamental rating of 3 stars out of 4, as well as the stock market behaviour of the title as moderately risky. However, environmental deterioration penalises the general evaluation, which is downgraded to Neutral. As of the analysis date January 21, 2022, the closing price was JPY 1,477.50 and its expected value was e...

YASKAWA ELECTRIC suffers a double requalification, which weighs heavil...

The independent financial analyst theScreener just downgraded the general evaluation of YASKAWA ELECTRIC (JP), active in the Industrial Machinery industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title loses a star(s) and now shows 0 out of 4 stars. Its market behaviour is also negatively reassessed and may be considered as risky. theScreener believes that this double requalification keeps the title under pressure and justifies an overall rating downgrade to Slightly Negative. As of the analys...

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