Analyst William Nestuk thinks Mitsubishi Electric offers an attractive four-fold theme: (1) high-margin data centre [DC] work, (2) defence (including for overseas), (3) restructuring and (4) share buybacks. We see FY27 OP at least doubling that of FY23, which at that time was a record level. Strong cash flow generation should produce another share buyback and higher dividends.
News that Fanuc (6954 JT) is integrating Nvidia’s (NVDA US) robotic tools into its own software solutions is a reminder that, for all the focus on where large language models like ChatGPT can take us, these solutions remain very much in the virtual realm. The next big breakthrough in AI would come when such models can deliver fully spatially aware, autonomous mobile products, be these self-drive cars or industrial robots, and to do so at a price and quality that is commercially viable. Analysts ...
The Japanese stock market’s take on the surprise victory of Sanae Takaichi in the LDP Presidential race suggested that it wasn’t so much a repeat of the “Koizumi Boom” from 20 years ago, but rather a brand new “Takaichi Boom”, and we saw the Nikkei 225 jump +4.8% to just under 48,000. Pelham Smithers compares and contrasts the impact and flags “Takaichi Stocks”. Importantly, market valuations suggest further upside.
Mitsubishi Electric has several positives not well understood by the market in its Infrastructure and Semiconductors Divisions. William Nestuk covers these key points which also addresses tariffs, the firm’s exposure to defence and data centre capex.
In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.
When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
With so much uncertainty over China and the state of its economy, Fanuc's earnings outlook is far from clear. We examine the earnings drivers and possible new engines of growth for this global No. 1 Robotics and top-ranked FA manufacturer.
In our 2010 Japan Perspective, written close to the nadir of the bear market, we discussed what was wrong with Japan, but also what it was starting to do right. Fourteen years on, the Nikkei 225 - though not yet Topix - has hit a new all-time high. This report looks at how Japan built on those things that were going right, while also starting to address what else needed to be done, and looks at whether more is needed to be done if the market rally is to continue from here.
At the beginning of every year we publish our PSA Perspective, a report intended as a long shelf-life look at the year ahead. This year Pelham Smithers discusses Japan's economy, the outlook for the stock market, and some stand-out themes and developments for the year. These include the digital yen and the demise of live action entertainment in Japan. We also update our noted PSA Focus List of stocks. Table of Contents Overview 3 Background: 4 Japan’s Economic Outlook 5 Ja...
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