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Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : August watch exports surprisingly up, looks like a misleading s...

>August exports show a growth rebound mainly driven by luxury watches - Strange things can happen in August: watch exports are growing even faster than in July at +6.9% y-o-y versus +1.8% the month before (the year-to-date growth remains negative at -1.4%) but this is entirely driven by 14.9% growth in the luxury segment, mainly fuelled by watches incorporating precious metals, according to Fédération Horlogère. The other categories show a significant decline fo...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : August watch exports surprisingly up, looks like a misleading s...

>August exports show a growth rebound mainly driven by luxury watches - Strange things can happen in August: watch exports are growing even faster than in July at +6.9% y-o-y versus +1.8% the month before (the year-to-date growth remains negative at -1.4%) but this is entirely driven by 14.9% growth in the luxury segment, mainly fuelled by watches incorporating precious metals, according to Fédération Horlogère. The other categories show a significant decline fo...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : More limited shareholder returns at T-Mobile US in ...

>Rating downgraded before the October CMD and the group’s fibre plan for Germany - We have downgraded our rating to Neutral: (i) with the share price having achieved our adjusted target price of € 27 (due to the increase in the TMUS share price over the past two months); (ii) T-Mobile US has announced a still good, albeit more modest, shareholder returns than hoped which could mean that at its CMD in October Deutsche Telekom could also announce shareholder returns tha...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : T-Mobile US ne retournera plus autant ; opinion aba...

>Opinion abaissée à Neutre avant le CMD d’octobre et son plan fibre pour l’Allemagne - Nous abaissons notre opinion à Neutre : 1/ le cours ayant désormais atteint notre objectif de cours ajusté à 27 € (en raison de la hausse du cours TMUS ces deux derniers mois); 2/ T-Mobile US a annoncé un retour actionnarial toujours bon mais plus modeste qu’espéré, ce qui pourrait aboutir à ce que Deutsche Telekom annonce aussi lors du CMD d’octobre de retourner moins que les atten...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

Kering : Dégradation sensible de l’environnement, encore un ajustement...

>Environnement plus difficile en Asie avec Gucci et Saint Laurent au creux de la vague : CA S2 attendu à -11% (-5% préc.), CA 2025 à +3.5% (+6.2% préc.) - Le groupe ne donne pas d’informations précises nouvelles sur la marche de ses affaires au T3 mais rappelle que le début du trimestre avait montré une tendance encore moins favorable que celle publiée pour le T2 (CA Gucci à -19% y/y tcc, CA groupe à -11%) et que l’environnement macro-économique s’est dégradé en Chine...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

Kering : Marked deterioration in the environment, further significant ...

>Tougher context in Asia with Gucci and Saint Laurent at bottom of the wave: H2 revenues est. at -11% (-5% before), 2025 revenues at +3.5% est. (+6.2% before) - The group gave no precise new information on business trends in Q3 but recalled that the start of the quarter had been less favorable than the performance reported for Q2 (Gucci revenues at -19% y-o-y cc, group revenues at -11%) and that the macroeconomic environment deteriorated in China over the summer while...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 19 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BASF, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, UNICREDIT. Finalmente la Fed se decanta por los 50 puntos de recorte Sesión de transición con leves caídas en las bolsas europeas, que cortó la racha alcista en el Ibex que le llevó a renovar máximos de 2015. Así, en el STOXX 600 tan sólo Autos y Energía esquivaron las caídas que estuvieron lideradas por Media, Alimentación y B. de Consumo. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la inflación mensual...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Deutsche Telekom (Buy, €36, +36%) After TMUS, what's coming at its o...

T-Mobile’s CMD has just wrapped up – and earlier my colleague Jonathan put out a couple of notes running through the new guidance and some more detailed thoughts on the fundamentals. In this note, we increase our DT target to €36/ share and now review the implications from T-Mobile's CMD for DT and what this could mean for their own CMD on 10/ 11 October.

 PRESS RELEASE

Kering: Monthly statement on the total number of shares and voting rig...

Kering: Monthly statement on the total number of shares and voting rights (September 2024) KeringSociété anonyme with a share capital of €493,683,112Head office: 40, rue de Sèvres – 75007 PARIS552 075 020 RCS PARIS September 16, 2024 Monthly statement on the total number of shares and voting rights(articles L.233-8 of the French Commercial Code and 223-16 of the General Regulation of the French Financial Markets Authority (AMF – Autorité des Marchés Financiers) Date  Total number ofshares Total number of voting rightstheoretical 1exercisable 2September 13, 2024123,420,778176,710,208175,86...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kering : Publication mensuelle du nombre d’actions composant le capita...

Kering : Publication mensuelle du nombre d’actions composant le capital et du nombre total de droits de vote (Septembre 2024) KeringSociété anonyme au capital de 493 683 112 €Siège social : 40, rue de Sèvres – 75007 PARIS552 075 020 RCS PARIS         Le 16 septembre 2024 Publication mensuelle du nombre d’actions composant le capital et du nombre total de droits de vote(articles L. 233-8 du code de commerce et 223-16 du règlement général de l’AMF) Date d’arrêté desinformations   Nombre total d...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Potential UK target ESURE - nice fit, right size. ASML: Highlights of roadshow. Belgian Food Retail: Delhaize CEO interview with Gondola. RELX, Wolters Kluwer: Resilient academic publishing

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector

>Topic of the week: fade to grey - We highlighted last week that taking into account a scenario where growth stalls over H2 2024 and remains below 5% next year would amount in our model for the luxury sector to a 10%/15% cut in estimates for 2025. This scenario looks more and more likely as each week passes. First, we have mounting evidence that the situation in mainland China has deteriorated in Q3 over Q2 with the last piece of evidence released over the weekend re...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector

>Topic of the week: fade to grey - We highlighted last week that taking into account a scenario where growth stalls over H2 2024 and remains below 5% next year would amount in our model for the luxury sector to a 10%/15% cut in estimates for 2025. This scenario looks more and more likely as each week passes. First, we have mounting evidence that the situation in mainland China has deteriorated in Q3 over Q2 with the last piece of evidence released over the weekend re...

Hans D’Haese ... (+2)
  • Hans D’Haese
  • Maxime Stranart

Ahold Delhaize/2Q24 postview: Show me you can grow/HOLD

We reiterate our HOLD rating on Ahold Delhaize but increase our target price from €29 to €32 on the back of higher mid-to-long term sales expectations and a lower WACC. We continue to see limited short-term catalysts for the group, although we note that the company will lap easier comps than in 1H. On the other hand, management stated during its CMD that potential margin gains, especially in the US, will be re-invested in growth, in line with the new ‘Growing Together' programme. At our target p...

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