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Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology: Semiconductor Industry 2025 Outlook

Following the recent results season where several leading semiconductor and SPE companies globally produced either disappointing results or guidance, we look at where the semiconductor industry is at present, where it looks to be headed in 2025 and identify opportunities in the Japanese IC / SPE space.

LOGI LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A.
005930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO. LTD.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TER TERADYNE INC.
ORCL ORACLE CORPORATION
ON ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORPORATION
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
COHR COHERENT INC.
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
MRVL MARVELL TECHNOLOGY GROUP LTD.
7751 CANON INC.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
6383 DAIFUKU CO. LTD.
7735 SCREEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
6501 HITACHI LTD.
000660 SK HYNIX INC
6920 LASERTEC CORP.
6728 ULVAC INC.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
7731 NIKON CORP.
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7105 MITSUBISHI NICHIYU FORKLIFT
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
AIR AIR PARTNER PLC
5930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO LTD
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
00981 SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING INTERNATIONAL CORP.
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
6600 JT KIOXIA HOLDINGS (6600 JT)
ASO ACADEMY SPORTS AND OUTDOORS
CRSR CORSAIR GAMING
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
688728 GALAXYCORE INC
688234 SICC CO LTD
6526 SOCIONEXT INC
6526 JT SOCIONEXT (6526 JT)
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ACCL DOLOMITE HOLDINGS LTD
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q24 – Semicap: 2025 expectations are too high

Today, we are publishing the Semicap section of our 25th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Cloud Infrastructure, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Ride sharing & Delivery, and Foundry. Semicap equipment revenues were up...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology / Semiconductors: Tokyo Electron (8035 JT) FY24 Q2 Resu...

As with Advantest (6857 JT) and Disco (6146 JT), two other beneficiaries of AI, this is an excellent quarter for TEL, with the latter offering a much more tolerable valuation.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology / Semiconductors: Ishiba Unveils ¥10tril (US$65bil) Chi...

Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba set out the first plan of his administration, which is to spend ¥10tril through FY30 further revitalizing Japan’s one-time globally dominant chip industry. The move comes after a ¥2tril package was announced last year and is seen as party of a ¥50tril private-public investment in Japanese chipmaking over the next decade. Pelham Smithers discusses beneficiaries.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services: NRI (4307 JT) FY24 Q2 Results

In response to disappointing Q2 results, a weak performance overseas and a revision down to the Industrial IT Solutions business, NRI shares were sold down -9% on 31 Oct. Lindsay Whipp suggests that close attention to this troubled areas must be monitored and until improvements are evidence, the rich valuations are not justified.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology / Semiconductors: Micron and the AI Bubble

Micron’s FY24 results are a reminder that the chip industry is still doing well. Pelham Smithers considers what is reflected in the shares price of the wafer fab equipment makers and highlights two Japanese plays that offer undemanding valuations.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Nvidia 2FQ25: ROI controversy mis-framed by the sell side; Blackwell d...

As always, during earnings season, we start the week with a wrap-up of what happened in the previous week.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q24 – Semicap: Recovering growth offset by China normalizing.

Today, we are publishing the Semicap Equipment section of our 24th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Cloud Infrastructure, Telecom Equipment, PCs, Enterprise IT, and Ride sharing & Delivery. Semicap equipment revenues were up 6% QoQ, wit...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Nvidia upgrade, SiC to reaccelerate, and more. The Tech Weekly Wrap-up

As always, during earnings season, we start the week with a wrap-up of what happened in the previous week.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology: SPE Strategy - Is a Buying Opportunity Appearing in SP...

Pelham Smithers discusses whether the sell-off as we’ve seen in semiconductor stocks in general, and SPE names in particular, purely on sentiment, and without negative data, creates a buying opportunity, or not.

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