GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 10% yoy but up 8.5% wow; EVs gain on subsidy rollout. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisation amid rising geopolitical risks. Internet ...
4Q24 is characterised by stable NIM and seasonally softer non-interest income, such as wealth management fees and net trading income. We expect net profit of S$2,535m for DBS (+12% yoy, -16% qoq) and S$1,748m for OCBC (+8% yoy, -11% qoq). We expect DBS to declare higher quarterly dividend of 60 S cents and special dividend of 50 S cents. We expect OCBC to raise interim dividend by 9.5% yoy to 46 S cents. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY OCBC (Target: S$20.80), followed by DBS (Target: S$46.50).
The Fed is expected to be more cautious when contemplating future rate cuts due to the US economy’s recent strengthening. DBS could declare two special dividends of 50 S cents per share in 4Q24 and 4Q25 and increase quarterly dividend by 6 S cents to 60 S cents in 4Q24 and 66 S cents in 4Q25. OCBC could consider raising its dividend payout ratio to 57%, translating to DPS of 96 cents in 2026. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY DBS (Target: S$46.50), followed by OCBC (Target: S$20.80).
Banks posted strong earnings in 3Q24 (DBS: +15% yoy, OCBC: +9% yoy), supported by a surge in wealth management fees and trading income. They are refocusing on capital management after the implementation of Final Basel III Reforms. DBS and UOB intend to return surplus capital of S$3.0b and S$2.5b to shareholders. OCBC could follow suit. Our top pick is OCBC (Target: S$21.00) due to its focus on ASEAN. BUY DBS (Target: S$46.95) for 2025 yield of 5.7%. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 3Q24 round-up: The race to work the balance sheet harder. Results Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCBC SP/BUY/S$16.06/Target: S$21.00) 3Q24: The tide on capital management has turned. SATS (SATS SP/BUY/S$3.85/Target: S$4.30) 1HFY25: Core earnings beat; stay invested for long-term growth potential. United Overseas Bank (UOB SP/NOT RATED/S$35.69) 3Q24: Uplift in CET-1 CAR reinforces urgency for capital management. Venture Corporation...
Summary Marketline's Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisit...
OCBC should record stronger loan growth of +2.0% yoy than DBS’ +0.2% yoy in 3Q24. OCBC benefits from the appreciation of MYR (+8.2%), while DBS is affected by the depreciation of USD (-5.2%) and HKD (-4.8%). We see a slight erosion in NIM qoq, offset by resilient growth from wealth and trading income. We expect net profit of S$2,713m for DBS (+5% yoy, -3% qoq) and S$1,904m for OCBC (+5% yoy, -2% qoq). Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. BUY OCBC (Target: S$19.40), followed by DBS (Target: S$42.70).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 3Q24 results preview: Healthy growth from wealth management, trading income and strengthening regional currencies. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. TRADERS' CORNER DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP): Trading BUY Venture Corp (VMS SP): Trading SELL
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: Deflationary pressure persists. Strategy Providing greater countercyclical support. Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales dipped due to National Holiday; in line. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Minth, Tuopu and Desay SV. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$100.10/Target: HK$132.30): 3Q24 sales missed expectations but Golden Week sales outperformed; confidence in profit level despite challenging full-year sales targets. Asian Gems Corporate Highligh...
UOB aims to achieve ROE of 14% by 2026 through: a) increased contribution from ASEAN 4 countries (namely Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam and Indonesia) to 30% of total income, b) increased contribution from non-interest income to 37% of total income, driven by wealth management, trade and customer flow for treasury products, and c) improved CIR to 40%. UOB will benefit from growth within ASEAN from relocation of supply chains and strengthening of regional currencies.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Cross Currents We expect the MSCI China index to range trade for the rest of 2024; we prefer TMT, tech hardware and defensives like banks, communication services and utilities. Results Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$5.30) 1H24: In line; shifting focus to offshore WTG and overseas markets. Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$2.49/Target: HK$3.50) 1H24: Result...
UOB aims to achieve ROE of 14% by 2026 through: a) increased contribution from ASEAN 4 countries, namely Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam and Indonesia, to 30%; b) increased contribution from non-interest income to 37%, driven by wealth management, trade and customer flow for treasury products; and c) improved CIR to 40%. Wholesale banking is able to capture connectivity flows through enhanced product platforms. Retail banking aims to increase CASA ratio to 55%.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Market Strategy: Outlining the potential impact of US Fed chairman Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on Singapore stocks. Sector Banking: Jackson Hole Symposium: The time is now. TRADERS’ CORNER Jiutian Chemical Group (JIUC SP): Trading BUY Seatrium (STM SP): Trading BUY
The Fed has switched emphasis to supporting the labour market as “confidence has grown that inflation is on a sustainable path back to 2%”. The new chapter on rate cuts has commenced. We expect two rate cuts of 25bp in 2H24 and four rate cuts of 25bp in 2025 (one rate cut of 25bp every alternate FOMC meeting). We reduce DBS’ and OCBC’s 2025 earnings by 1.6% and 1.1% respectively. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. BUY OCBC (Target: S$18.50), followed by DBS (Target: S$40.75).
Summary Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd - Company Profile and SWOT Analysis, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd (OCBC), is a financial services group that offers a wide range of banking services. The bank's main activities include banking, wealth management, insur...
Banks delivered strong earnings in 2Q24 (DBS: +6% yoy, OCBC: +14% yoy) with single-digit growth in net interest income, continued recovery in fees and benign provisions. DBS and OCBC provide attractive 2025 dividend yields of 6.3% and 7.1% respectively. Our top pick is OCBC (Target: S$18.70) due to organic growth from ASEAN countries and the potential to deploy surplus capital to generate inorganic growth. BUY DBS (Target: S$41.50). Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
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