HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)
We take a look at the broad developments in euro-denominated AT1 markets. So far this year the tight trading levels have reflected as banks continuing to remain very active in primary markets. With the uncertain geopolitical landscape, we would remain selective on issuers and in terms of bonds.
A director at GR Sarantis S.A. bought 2,550 shares at 13.240EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: flying with flavour (stays BUY) • Türkiye macro: CBT keeps rates unchanged • Romania macro: negotiations for the next government remain tough • OMV Petrom: signs supply agreement for its biofuels plant NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – 2025 Global Market Accessibility Review
We believe that the merger of OMV's and ADNOC's polyolefins businesses represents a transformative change for OMV. By becoming an equal owner of the world’s fourth-largest polyolefins player with access to low-cost feedstock, a high share of innovative products and world-class technical capabilities, OMV not only accelerates its 2030 growth strategy in the chemicals segment, but also enables its shareholders to benefit from the strong earnings growth and significant synergy potential of a larger...
As we approach summer and reflect upon the already very busy and volatile first half of the year, we review our Credit Markets Outlook for 2025 and offer an update on our views, positioning and forecasts for the remainder of the year. We include our Picks and Pans on the Utilities, TMT, Real Estate and Bank sectors.
Norwegian preferred senior to face some performance boundaries. ECB collateral: Rating rule changes will hardly impact preferred senior. Raiffeisen Bank International completes payment of damages. Commerzbank AT1 tender results
Norwegian preferred senior to face some performance boundaries. ECB collateral: Rating rule changes will hardly impact preferred senior. Raiffeisen Bank International completes payment of damages. Commerzbank AT1 tender results
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
HEADLINES: • Middle Eastern oil services: time to switch horses (ADNOC Drilling downgraded to HOLD, Arabian Drilling upgraded to BUY) • Poland macro: Presidential election – final results and implications • 4iG: 1Q25 results review – 11% yoy increase in reported EBITDA, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • GTC: 1Q25 – some notes, post the results • PCF Group: suspension of development works on Gemini and Bifrost, over 60 people to be laid off NEGATIVE • OMV: to sell stake in Ghasha sour gas proje...
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions? – 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period. RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%. 1Q25 Production was constrained by increased water production preventing the company increasing the speed of the pumps at some of its producing wells. The increased amount of produced water increase...
HEADLINES: • Polish food retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY, Eurocash and Jeronimo stay BUY, Dino stays SELL) • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 adjusted EBIT up 14% yoy, 10% above our forecast POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with our forecast, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, 2% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NE...
We believe that, after the price war-impacted 2024 and the seasonally-challenged 1Q25, Polish grocers should enjoy Easter-supported demand and a leap in the VAT hike in 2Q25E. In our view, the Polish consumer has matured, following the tough experience of the pandemic, and the inflation bubble that followed. With a propensity to consume no longer close to 100%, we see the rollout-led growth as more tangible than pure lfl expansion. Within the high-growth names, we prefer Żabka (initiation with a...
European food retail enjoyed a paradoxical 1.5x P/E expansion vs. deteriorating earnings trend YTD now turning negative, fuelled by a sector rotation with investors looking for defensive stocks. With trade wars easing, we have reviewed the valuation, earnings momentum and sector indicators for each
OMV reported a clean CCS EBIT of EUR 1,160 mn in Q1 2025, down 16% quarter-on-quarter and 22% year-on-year, missing the market consensus of EUR 1,232 mn. The shortfall was primarily driven by the continued weak performance of the refining segment, which also disappointed significantly in Q4.
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