Estimates down on vessel sales

Scorpio Tankers (Buy, TP: USD72.00) - Discount gone too far

We believe market concerns regarding a potential reversal of initially beneficial disruptions are overdone as much of the benefit for compliant tankers has already eroded. Hence, at an implied value for a 5-year MR at ~USD21m (versus the 15-year low of USD22m), we see a reinforced attractive entry point to the tankers space, with supportive supply/demand fundamentals and risk skewed to the upside. We reiterate our BUY, but have lowered our target price to USD72 (82).

DHT Holdings (Buy, TP: USD13.70) - At the heart of the tanker festival

We maintain our positive stance on the VLCC segment with limited deliveries (~4% expected for 2025–2026) and an ageing fleet. Further, we see potential positive catalysts in successful enforcement of sanctions and a more aggressive phase-in of currently withheld OPEC+ volumes, both of which could noticeably expand the markets for compliant VLCCs. Further, spot markets are showing signs of improvement, with rates rising ~75% since DHT published its Q1 update. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut ou...

Teekay Tankers (Buy, TP: USD63.00) - Asymmetric upside potential

We find Teekay Tankers’ pro forma Q1 cash and fleet scrap value covers ~75% of its share price. Assuming vessel values at the historical average would imply a value of USD47/share, and prevailing asset values USD62/share. Coupled with our healthy view of the market, we thus find the valuation attractive. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to USD63 (61).

Frontline (Buy, TP: NOK280.00) - Front-row ticket to tanker potential

We believe the tanker fundamentals continue to look attractive, in particular for the VLCCs, with a highly manageable ~4% deliveries expected for 2025–2026. Further, we see potential positive catalysts in sanctions further restricting volumes transported on the dark fleet (possibly triggering scrapping postponed by shadow fleet deployment) and signs of a more aggressive volume strategy from OPEC+. Hence, we reiterate our BUY but have reduced out target price to NOK280 (295).

CMB.TECH (No_rec, TP: USD) - Recommendation and target price withdrawn

CMB.TECH and Golden Ocean have signed a term sheet for a contemplated stock-for-stock merger at an exchange ratio of 0.95 CMB.TECH shares for each outstanding Golden Ocean share. Completion is scheduled for Q3, and the companies are scheduled to host CMDs on 24 and 29 April to provide further information. As DNB Markets is acting as financial advisor to Golden Ocean, we have withdrawn our recommendation and target price.

Morning Notes : AKZA NA, BESI NA, CRBN NA, CMBT BB, FLOW NA, RAND NA, ...

: AKZA NA, BESI NA, CRBN NA, CMBT BB, FLOW NA, RAND NA, VPK NA, TKWY NA

CMB.Tech Merger proposal with Golden Ocean

CMB.Tech and Golden Ocean announced they have signed a term sheet for a contemplated stock-for-stock merger, with CMB.Tech as the surviving entity, based on an exchange ratio of 0.95 shares of CMB.Tech for each share of Golden Ocean, subject to customary adjustments. The merger will create one of the largest diversified listed maritime groups in the world with a combined fleet of more than 250 vessels. Early March CMB.Tech acquired an initial stake of 40.8% in Golden Ocean which it increased to ...

Another abrupt change

The US Trade Representative on 17 April published revised US port fees with significant changes to the initial proposal based on industry feedback. In its current form, the fees will primarily discourage use of Chinese-controlled maritime trade services to the US, and directly affect the use of Chinese-built vessels in US ports (with several considerable exemptions to avoid harm to US trade). The previous broader fees based on fleet composition and share of Chinese-built vessels has been scrappe...

CMB.Tech Signing charter agreement with Fortescue for NH3 fitted Newca...

CMB.Tech signed an agreement with the Australian miner Fortescue to charter a new ammonia-powered vessel. The 210k dwt ammonia-powered Newcastlemax will feature a dual fuel engine and is expected to be delivered by the end of 2026. No contract details have been disclosed, but as the Newcastlemax has been bought at risk by CMB a while ago the charter terms are expected to yield appealing IRRs and bring long contract duration. Following the LT charter agreement with MOL announced a few weeks back,...

Morning Notes : AGS BB, CMBT BB, FAGR BB, GREEN BB, SEQUA BB

: AGS BB, CMBT BB, FAGR BB, GREEN BB, SEQUA BB

US Tariffs Navigating the impact on Benelux equities

Trumps reciprocal tariffs caused a massive blow to equity markets, following a pressured period of escalating trade wars. Retaliatory measures can further heavily damage market confidence, as seen Friday when China announced their 34% tarrif of US goods. International trade policies have never moved this erratic and untransparant, with uncertainty and volatility being the baseline for now. In this report we highlight the key stocks in our coverage relevant to this discussion.